Sun vs Mercury Prediction 6 September 2025

    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    87
    84
    26
    21
    17
    23
    18
    32
    13
    21

    🔊 The matchup between the Connecticut Sun and the Phoenix Mercury promises to be an exciting event in the WNBA. The game will take place on Connecticut's home court, adding an extra layer of intrigue to this clash. The hosts find themselves as underdogs, having lost their playoff hopes, while the visitors are battling for a better position within the Top 8 of the regular season standings. Can the Sun throw a wrench in the plans of the favorites?

    Head-to-Head

    📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the Connecticut Sun (W) and Phoenix Mercury (W):

    • They have played 45 games;
    • Victories (including overtime): the current home team has 26 wins, while the visitors have 19;
    • The home team averages 83.04 points per game, while the visitors average 80.84;
    • The average total score per game is 163.89.

    The last encounter took place on 06 August 2025 at the Phoenix Mercury's court and ended with a score of 82-66.

    Head-to-head statistics Sun - Mercury

    59%
    29 Wins
    41%
    20 Wins
    07.08.26
    WNBA
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    75
    72
    18
    27
    14
    13
    17
    9
    26
    23
    19.07.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    72
    63
    18
    12
    25
    21
    11
    16
    18
    14
    18.07.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    83
    96
    21
    26
    16
    28
    22
    19
    24
    23
    06.09.25
    WNBA
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    87
    84
    26
    18
    21
    32
    17
    13
    23
    21
    06.08.25
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    82
    66
    26
    6
    18
    22
    20
    20
    18
    18
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Connecticut Sun (W) Team Overview

    The Connecticut Sun are navigating a challenging stretch, having secured just one win in their last five outings. A recent three-game losing streak highlights their inconsistency, but their latest victory might spark a turnaround. On average, the team struggles to score while conceding significantly more points, pointing to a shaky defense and an inefficient offense. Key issues revolve around shot execution and offensive organization. Interestingly, this team has occasionally stunned stronger opponents with unexpected victories, even under such difficult circumstances.

    Match Results: Connecticut Sun (W)

    28.08.26
    WNBA
    Indiana Fever (W)
    Indiana Fever (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    111
    91
    19
    28
    39
    15
    21
    23
    32
    25
    L
    26.08.26
    WNBA
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Golden State Valkyries (W)
    Golden State Valkyries (W)
    64
    89
    11
    26
    16
    29
    25
    25
    12
    9
    L
    25.08.26
    WNBA
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Chicago Sky (W)
    Chicago Sky (W)
    87
    81
    16
    8
    28
    21
    27
    24
    16
    28
    W
    23.08.26
    WNBA
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    77
    68
    32
    22
    12
    14
    22
    10
    11
    22
    L
    21.08.26
    WNBA
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    101
    78
    25
    24
    23
    23
    27
    16
    26
    15
    L
    Empty
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    Phoenix Mercury (W) Team Overview

    Phoenix Mercury are on a roll, showcasing their confident play with five consecutive victories that affirm their excellent form. This winning streak has solidified their position among the league's frontrunners. The team boasts a reliable defense and consistent offense, regularly scoring over 80 points per game while significantly limiting their opponents' offensive opportunities. Particularly impressive are their recent results against strong opponents-Mercury's players have consistently succeeded through accurate long-range shooting and controlling the game's tempo.

    Match Results: Phoenix Mercury (W)

    30.08.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Toronto Tempo (W)
    Toronto Tempo (W)
    101
    69
    27
    17
    31
    18
    30
    14
    13
    20
    W
    28.08.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Washington Mystics (W)
    Washington Mystics (W)
    73
    80
    18
    20
    19
    20
    20
    13
    16
    27
    L
    26.08.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Washington Mystics (W)
    Washington Mystics (W)
    84
    94
    15
    24
    18
    27
    27
    26
    24
    17
    L
    23.08.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    89
    99
    18
    29
    17
    21
    33
    23
    21
    26
    L
    16.08.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Portland Fire (W)
    Portland Fire (W)
    85
    88
    22
    18
    20
    18
    22
    25
    21
    27
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 45;
    • Home victories - 26, Away victories - 19.
    Trends
    • Phoenix Mercury (W) have won 8 of their last 9 matches (WNBA).
    👉Prediction: Phoenix Mercury (W) Win (inc. OT) (odds: 1.16)

    Total Points Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Average points scored per match by the home team - 83.04, by the visitors - 80.84;
    • Average total points in head-to-head matches - 163.89.

    Statistics: Connecticut Sun (W) vs. Phoenix Mercury (W)

    • Average total in the tournament: 163.11 vs. 164.36;
    • Average points scored: 76.86 vs. 83.81;
    • Average points conceded: 86.24 vs. 80.56;
    • Average points scored in the first half: 39.03 vs. 42.36;
    • Average points scored in the second half: 37.59 vs. 41.44;
    • Connecticut Sun (W): Average points scored at home in the tournament - 79.56;
    • Phoenix Mercury (W): Average points scored away in the tournament - 83;
    • Last 10 games (average points scored): 79.5 (home - 75.4) vs. 81.4 (away - 84).
    Trends
    • The total has been under 164.5 points in 6 of Phoenix Mercury's last 7 games (WNBA).
    👉Prediction: Phoenix Mercury (W) Total points Under (85,5) (odds: 1.61)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Expect a hard-fought contest in the upcoming match, with both teams focusing on their defensive strategies. Connecticut will aim to impose their game through strong resistance in the paint, but Phoenix have every chance to extend their winning streak thanks to their powerful offense and well-organized defense. The visitors' overall form inspires confidence-they perform well both at home and on the road, and recent trends suggest a tendency for low-scoring encounters when these teams face each other. Based on recent match statistics and the current state of the clubs, we recommend betting on total under 164.5.

    Total points Under (164,5)
    Published: 05/09/2025, 02:25

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    Betting Tips: Connecticut Sun (W) - Phoenix Mercury (W)

    Phoenix Mercury (W) have won:
    phoenix-mercuryin 8 of last 9 games (WNBA).
    Phoenix Mercury (W) Win (inc. OT)
    Everygame
    -588
    Connecticut Sun (W) lost the 4th quarter:
    connecticut-sunin last 6 games (WNBA).
    4th Quarter Phoenix Mercury (W) Win
    -179
    Connecticut Sun (W) lost the 2nd half:
    connecticut-sunin 5 of last 6 home games (WNBA).
    2nd Half Phoenix Mercury (W) Win
    -204
    Under 164.5 points scored:
    phoenix-mercuryin 6 of last 7 Phoenix Mercury (W) games (WNBA).
    Total points Under (164,5)
    -154
    View more facts

    Sun - Mercury Table position

    Group stage Commissioner's Cup Eastern Conference
    gWLForm
    1.
    Indiana Fever (W)
    Indiana Fever (W)
    541
    2.
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    541
    3.
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    532
    4.
    Washington Mystics (W)
    Washington Mystics (W)
    523
    5.
    Chicago Sky (W)
    Chicago Sky (W)
    514
    6.
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    514