Sun vs Mercury Prediction 6 September 2025
🔊 The matchup between the Connecticut Sun and the Phoenix Mercury promises to be an exciting event in the WNBA. The game will take place on Connecticut's home court, adding an extra layer of intrigue to this clash. The hosts find themselves as underdogs, having lost their playoff hopes, while the visitors are battling for a better position within the Top 8 of the regular season standings. Can the Sun throw a wrench in the plans of the favorites?
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the Connecticut Sun (W) and Phoenix Mercury (W):
- They have played 45 games;
- Victories (including overtime): the current home team has 26 wins, while the visitors have 19;
- The home team averages 83.04 points per game, while the visitors average 80.84;
- The average total score per game is 163.89.
The last encounter took place on 06 August 2025 at the Phoenix Mercury's court and ended with a score of 82-66.
Head-to-head statistics Sun - Mercury

Connecticut Sun (W) Team Overview
The Connecticut Sun are navigating a challenging stretch, having secured just one win in their last five outings. A recent three-game losing streak highlights their inconsistency, but their latest victory might spark a turnaround. On average, the team struggles to score while conceding significantly more points, pointing to a shaky defense and an inefficient offense. Key issues revolve around shot execution and offensive organization. Interestingly, this team has occasionally stunned stronger opponents with unexpected victories, even under such difficult circumstances.
Match Results: Connecticut Sun (W)

Phoenix Mercury (W) Team Overview
Phoenix Mercury are on a roll, showcasing their confident play with five consecutive victories that affirm their excellent form. This winning streak has solidified their position among the league's frontrunners. The team boasts a reliable defense and consistent offense, regularly scoring over 80 points per game while significantly limiting their opponents' offensive opportunities. Particularly impressive are their recent results against strong opponents-Mercury's players have consistently succeeded through accurate long-range shooting and controlling the game's tempo.
Match Results: Phoenix Mercury (W)
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 45;
- Home victories - 26, Away victories - 19.
- Phoenix Mercury (W) have won 8 of their last 9 matches (WNBA).
Total Points Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Average points scored per match by the home team - 83.04, by the visitors - 80.84;
- Average total points in head-to-head matches - 163.89.
Statistics: Connecticut Sun (W) vs. Phoenix Mercury (W)
- Average total in the tournament: 163.11 vs. 164.36;
- Average points scored: 76.86 vs. 83.81;
- Average points conceded: 86.24 vs. 80.56;
- Average points scored in the first half: 39.03 vs. 42.36;
- Average points scored in the second half: 37.59 vs. 41.44;
- Connecticut Sun (W): Average points scored at home in the tournament - 79.56;
- Phoenix Mercury (W): Average points scored away in the tournament - 83;
- Last 10 games (average points scored): 79.5 (home - 75.4) vs. 81.4 (away - 84).
- The total has been under 164.5 points in 6 of Phoenix Mercury's last 7 games (WNBA).