Yankees vs Mets Prediction 12 September 2026
📡 The Yankees kicked off the Subway Series just as they've played all September: seizing an early lead and forcing their rivals to play catch-up. Their 6-4 victory marks their ninth win in the last 12 games, with Cody Bellinger smashing a three-run homer in the second inning. Now, the hosts send Gerrit Cole to the mound against Zack Thornton, eyeing another chance to strengthen their grip at home.
Head-to-Head
📊 Prior to this series, the Mets held a 6-4 edge in the last 10 head-to-head matchups, but Friday’s Yankees win has evened things up in the recent stretch. The Mets took two out of three games earlier this spring, but this time the series shifts to the Bronx, where the hosts are in notably better form. The Yankees head into game two riding a four-game home winning streak.
Head-to-head statistics Yankees - Mets
New York Yankees Team Overview
The Yankees have improved to 85-62, closing in once again on the top of the American League. Bellinger delivered the decisive blow on Friday, Ben Rice launched his 37th home run of the season, and Spencer Jones continues to provide depth in the heart of the lineup. Over their last four games, New York have racked up 27 runs-scoring 5, 6, 10, and 6. Even when their top two hitters aren't having a perfect night, the bottom of the order consistently steps up to produce.
Match Results: New York Yankees
New York Mets Team Overview
The Mets' four-game winning streak came to an end as they dropped to 68-79. On Friday, their offense didn't go silent - they put up four runs and created several late opportunities - but Nolan McLean allowed the Yankees to score five over five innings. Francisco Lindor and Juan Soto remain the primary threats, yet once again the team is forced to make up for their pitching woes with their bats.
Match Results: New York Mets
⚾ Starting Pitchers
Gerrit Cole takes the mound for the hosts, entering with an 8-8 record, a 3.41 ERA, and 113 strikeouts. His current form gives the Yankees a more reliable starting platform than what the Mets had in Game 1. Cole’s value is especially pronounced at home, where New York can look to build an early edge and control the tempo from the outset.
Zack Thornton gets the start for the Mets-he’s 3-5 with a 3.53 ERA and 51 strikeouts. While his numbers are respectable, the relatively low strikeout total means the Yankees are likely to put plenty of balls in play. For a lineup that’s been punishing contact lately, that opens up plenty of scoring opportunities.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
The Yankees have taken nine of their last twelve and opened the series with a confident 6-4 win. Cole gives the hosts a clear edge in both experience and quality on the mound, while New York’s offense has put up at least five runs in four consecutive games. The Mets can keep things close, but lately they’ve had to overcome too many pitching issues. Right now, the Yankees look like the more complete team at home. We’re backing a New York Yankees win.
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Betting Tips: New York Yankees - New York Mets
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