Belgium vs Germany Prediction 26 June 2026

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The main thing

    🔊 The clash between Belgium and Germany is shaping up to be one of the most unpredictable fixtures of the matchday. While Germany traditionally carry more pedigree, it's Belgium who have looked more convincing throughout this Nations League campaign. Both sides are still in the hunt for a top-half finish in the standings, making the stakes even higher. Will Germany reaffirm their historical dominance, or can Belgium spring another surprise against one of the tournament favorites?

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The head-to-head record favors Germany. Over a longer stretch, Germany have claimed 12 victories, while Belgium have managed just five wins. Their most recent official meeting came back in 2023, when Germany edged out a 3-2 victory. However, several seasons have passed since then, and both squads have seen significant changes, so past results don’t necessarily reflect the current balance of power.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    29%
    5 Wins
    71%
    12 Wins
    03.09.23
    European Championship
    Belgium
    Belgium
    Germany
    Germany
    2
    3
    25
    22
    25
    17
    15
    25
    22
    25
    12
    15
    06.01.20
    Olymp. Games, QF Europe
    Belgium
    Belgium
    Germany
    Germany
    0
    3
    18
    25
    23
    25
    24
    26
    0
    3
    14.09.19
    European Championship
    Germany
    Germany
    Belgium
    Belgium
    2
    3
    23
    25
    17
    25
    25
    22
    25
    15
    13
    15
    2
    3
    22.07.17
    WC Qualification
    Belgium
    Belgium
    Germany
    Germany
    3
    0
    25
    16
    25
    16
    25
    17
    3
    0
    05.01.16
    Olymp. Games, QF Europe
    Belgium
    Belgium
    Germany
    Germany
    0
    3
    26
    28
    19
    25
    24
    26
    0
    3
    Empty
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    Belgium Team Overview

    Belgium’s national team are enjoying one of their finest tournaments in recent years. The squad are making the most of their star player Ferre Reggers, but it’s their resilience and fighting spirit that truly set them apart. Even when up against higher-ranked opponents, Belgium rarely lose focus and consistently battle for every set.

    After five matches, Belgium sit ninth in the standings with three wins, nine points, and a 13:13 set ratio. In the previous round, they defeated China 3-1-a result that’s less impressive given China’s struggles this season. More telling was their earlier clash with Poland, where Belgium pushed one of the tournament favourites to the limit, taking two sets off them in a hard-fought contest.

    Match Results: Belgium

    25.06.26
    Nations League
    China
    China
    Belgium
    Belgium
    1
    3
    28
    26
    21
    25
    21
    25
    20
    25
    W
    24.06.26
    Nations League
    Poland
    Poland
    Belgium
    Belgium
    3
    2
    21
    25
    23
    25
    25
    19
    28
    26
    15
    13
    L
    14.06.26
    Nations League
    Belgium
    Belgium
    Iran
    Iran
    3
    2
    25
    23
    25
    22
    23
    25
    17
    25
    15
    12
    W
    12.06.26
    Nations League
    Belgium
    Belgium
    Serbia
    Serbia
    1
    3
    18
    25
    26
    24
    21
    25
    22
    25
    L
    11.06.26
    Nations League
    Brazil
    Brazil
    Belgium
    Belgium
    3
    1
    25
    19
    23
    25
    25
    15
    25
    20
    L
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    Germany Team Overview

    Germany boast a deeper squad and remain a highly dangerous opponent. The team is anchored by leaders Torwie, Zimmermann, and Krick, who form the core around which the tactical setup is built. Traditionally, Germany excel at blocking and serving, but this tournament has exposed their ongoing struggles with consistency.

    The Germans opened their second week of play with a painful 2-3 defeat to Argentina. For the South American side, it was their first win of this Nations League campaign, making the result one of the round’s biggest surprises. Once again, this match highlighted that Germany are prone to dropping points even when they enter as clear favourites.

    Match Results: Germany

    24.06.26
    Nations League
    Argentina
    Argentina
    Germany
    Germany
    3
    2
    25
    21
    15
    25
    25
    15
    18
    25
    15
    13
    L
    14.06.26
    Nations League
    Germany
    Germany
    France
    France
    3
    1
    40
    38
    19
    25
    25
    20
    25
    22
    W
    12.06.26
    Nations League
    Germany
    Germany
    USA
    USA
    0
    3
    22
    25
    15
    25
    20
    25
    L
    11.06.26
    Nations League
    Germany
    Germany
    Italy
    Italy
    1
    3
    20
    25
    25
    20
    21
    25
    31
    33
    L
    10.06.26
    Nations League
    Canada
    Canada
    Germany
    Germany
    2
    3
    26
    24
    19
    25
    25
    20
    21
    25
    13
    15
    W
    Empty
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    Total Points Prediction

    Trends
    • Germany have scored over 86.5 points in 11 of their last 12 games (Nations League, men).
    👉Prediction: Germany Total Over (86,5) (odds: 1.52)

    Editorial Prediction

    While Germany have historically dominated this head-to-head, the current form of both teams paints a very different picture. Belgium are enjoying a strong tournament run, consistently challenging top opposition and proving they can compete on level terms with the frontrunners of the Nations League. In contrast, Germany are coming off a loss to Argentina-a side that had yet to register a win all season-which hardly inspires confidence in the Germans’ prospects here. The stats back up this outlook: Belgium have surpassed the individual total of 85.5 points in four games during this tournament alone. Given Belgium’s momentum and the likelihood of a close contest, the most reasonable prediction is to back Belgium’s individual total over 85.5 points.
    Our choice
    Belgium Total Over (85,5) at odds of -189*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (25 June 2026, 20:28)

    Will this prediction come true?

    Total votes cast: 0

    Betting Tips: Belgium - Germany

    Belgium have won the 2nd set:
    belgium-1in 14 of last 15 games.
    belgium-1in last 6 games (Nations League).
    2nd Set Belgium Win
    +105
    Belgium have lost the 3rd set:
    belgium-1germany-1in 16 of last 17 games against Germany.
    3rd Set Germany Win
    -152
    Germany have lost the 3rd set:
    germany-1in 6 of last 7 games (Nations League).
    3rd Set Belgium Win
    +106
    Over 3.5 sets:
    belgium-1in last 6 Belgium games (Nations League).
    germany-1in 16 of last 17 Germany games (Nations League).
    Sets Total Over (3,5)
    -256
    View more facts

    Belgium - Germany Table position

    Nations League 2026
    gWLGDPForm
    10.
    Bulgaria
    Bulgaria
    63312-129
    11.
    Belgium
    Belgium
    63313-139
    12.
    France
    France
    63311-156
    13.
    Germany
    Germany
    5239-126
    14.
    Canada
    Canada
    51410-136