China (W) vs Italy (W) Prediction 12 July 2026
🔊 In the final round of the preliminary stage, two sides who have already secured their main objectives go head-to-head. Italy have booked their place in the Finals with a game to spare, while China are guaranteed a spot in the decisive stage as tournament hosts. Still, this fixture loses none of its significance. For China, it’s a valuable chance to test themselves against the reigning world champions, while Italy will be looking to reinforce their status as one of the tournament’s top contenders.
Head-to-Head
📊 Between 2023 and 2025, the national teams have faced off three times, with Italy coming out on top in all three encounters. Two of those matches ended in commanding 3-0 wins, underscoring Italy’s dominance in recent years. Nevertheless, China consistently push their opponents to the limit, especially when backed by their home crowd.
Head-to-head statistics China (W) - Italy (W)
China (W) Team Overview
China remain one of the most organized teams in the tournament. They rely on fast, combination volleyball, strong blocking, and a high tempo in rallies. Despite personnel issues, Wang Yuanyuan and Tang Xin continue to lead the team from the front.
However, the losses have been significant. Mengjie is missing the entire Nations League campaign due to a knee injury, while captain Gong Xiangyu suffered a foot injury ahead of the third week of play. As a result, the coaching staff have had to turn to their bench far more often. Still, China continue to fight hard in nearly every match and rarely go down without a battle.
Match Results: China (W)
Italy (W) Team Overview
Italy head into their final match in excellent form. Julio Velasco's squad boasts one of the strongest lineups in the tournament and have suffered virtually no personnel losses. Paola Egonu, Ekaterina Antropova, Sarah Luisa Fahr, and Miriam Sylla continue to perform at a high level, while the team’s depth allows them to maintain a relentless tempo without any noticeable drop in quality.
Italy’s main strength lies in their versatility. They are equally dangerous attacking through the middle or from the wings, and their imposing block consistently poses serious problems even for the tournament’s top contenders.
Match Results: Italy (W)
Editor's Pick
Trends- China (W) have covered the +13.5 point spread in 36 of their last 37 games.
- China (W) have covered the +13.5 point spread in 28 of their last 29 matches in the Women's Nations League.
- China (W) have covered the +13.5 point spread at home in 23 of their last 24 games.
- China (W) have covered the +13.5 point spread at home in 19 of their last 20 Women's Nations League matches.
Editor's Pick
At first glance, Italy seem like the obvious pick here. But when it comes to betting value, the set handicap market is far more intriguing. It's important to look beyond the gap in quality between these teams: China rarely lose in straight sets, especially on home soil. The stats back this up-China have covered a +2.5 sets handicap in six of their last seven home head-to-heads against Italy, in 19 of their last 20 matches overall, in 15 of their last 16 Nations League fixtures, and in six consecutive home games in this tournament. With the backing of their home crowd and a proven ability to push even the strongest opponents, the smart play is to back China with a +2.5 set handicap.
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Betting Tips: China (W) - Italy (W)
in last 7 games against Italy (W).in last 5 games against Italy (W) (Nations League, Women).in 13 of last 15 games (Nations League, Women).in last 6 away games (Nations League, Women).in last 6 games against Italy (W).in last 4 games against Italy (W) (Nations League, Women).in 6 of last 7 games (Nations League, Women).
in 5 of last 6 away games against China (W).
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