Jodar vs Musetti Prediction 31 July 2026
🔊 Rafael Jodar is having an outstanding season - career-high ranking of 24, and he's only 19. At the start of the year he had just two ATP wins to his name. This quarter-final in Washington will be his sixth at that level. Waiting for him is Lorenzo Musetti, who has been dealing with injuries and is reaching a quarter-final for the first time since April. The question is whether the Italian has held his physical condition together - so far, the Washington courts haven't been kind to him.
Head-to-Head
📊 Rafael Chodar and Lorenzo Musetti have never played each other before.
Rafael Jodar Player Overview
Rafael Jodar arrives at this quarterfinal in strong form - eight wins from his last ten matches. That consistency has been there all season: he won his first ATP title in Marrakesh, having started the year outside the top 100. In Washington, he's already beaten Arthur Fils and Kei Nishikori without dropping a set. Solid on serve and dangerous on return - 43% break-point conversion. That all-round game shows up in the numbers: 56% of games won, 64% of sets.
Match Results: Rafael Jodar
Lorenzo Musetti Player Overview
Musetti has won seven of his last ten matches, but hadn't played since before Washington - over two months off the court. Injuries have disrupted most of his season. When fit, though, his numbers aren't far off his next opponent's - 51% of games won, 63% of sets. His serve hold rate is above average at 76%, but still trails Khachanov's. On his way to the quarter-finals, Musetti beat Matteo Arnaldi and Alexander Vukic. The win over his compatriot came with some luck - Arnaldi retired in the second set. Against the world No. 105 from Australia, it took over two hours: 6:3, 5:7, 6:3.
Match Results: Lorenzo Musetti
Key factors
- Rafael Jodar has won 8 of his last 10 matches.
- Jodar's game and set win rates are both high.
- The Spaniard's run to the quarterfinal was more convincing than the Italian's.
Expected scenario
Khodar should have the edge here - his form through the season has been more consistent, and the metrics back that up. But Musetti won't be easy to put away. The former world No. 5, now ranked 15th, plays a style that mirrors Khodar's in several ways - expect breaks as well as holds, not just a serve-dominated exchange.
⭐ Editor's prediction
Rafael Jodar has been in solid form - a recent winning run backed by strong game and set win rates. He doesn't have a massive edge over Lorenzo Musetti in the key metrics, but he's had consistent match practice through the season, and that's shown in how he's moved through the Washington draw. Musetti's record speaks for itself, but the Spaniard looks the more likely winner here. A blowout scoreline seems unlikely, so the cautious play is Jodar handicap (-1.5).
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Betting Tips: Rafael Jodar - Lorenzo Musetti
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