Surface:
Hard
Round:
1/8
Marta Kostyuk
UKR
WTA - 28
1
:
2
Ended
Jessica Pegula
USA
WTA - 7

Kostyuk vs Pegula Prediction 1 October 2025

    UKR
    Marta Kostyuk
    USA
    Jessica Pegula
    3
    7
    1
    1
    6
    6
    6
    2

    In the upcoming round of 16 match in Beijing, Marta Kostyuk from Ukraine will face off against Jessica Pegula from the USA. The match promises to be thrilling as both players are in great form and hold high positions in the world rankings. For Kostyuk, it's an opportunity to assert her ambitions against a formidable opponent, while for Pegula, it's a chance to solidify her standing in the top 10. The game will take place on outdoor hard courts, which could play a significant role given the playing styles of both athletes.

    Head-to-Head

    Kostyuk and Pegula have faced each other four times, with the Ukrainian securing just one victory.

    Head-to-head statistics Kostyuk - Pegula

    43%
    3 Wins
    57%
    4 Wins
    26.04.26
    Spain Madrid
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    0
    2
    1
    6
    4
    6
    10.01.26
    BRI
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    0
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    01.10.25
    China, Beijing
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    1
    2
    3
    6
    7
    6
    1
    6
    24.03.25
    MIA
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    0
    2
    2
    6
    3
    6
    03.03.24
    WTA San Diego
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    0
    2
    64
    77
    1
    6
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Marta Kostyuk Player Overview

    Marta Kostyuk is showcasing impressive form, with four consecutive wins before her latest defeat highlighting her confidence and tenacity on the court. Over her last five matches, she has suffered only one loss, achieving an 80% success rate during this period. Her most recent victory was against Aliaksandra Sasnovich, with a scoreline of 4-6, 2-6. On hard courts, she feels at ease, thanks to her powerful serve and an excellent first serve win percentage of 66%. Despite some issues with double faults, she compensates with an aggressive playing style that allows her to convert a significant number of break points (46%). Notably, her ability to win first sets stands at 78%, making her a formidable opponent right from the start of the match.

    Match Results: Marta Kostyuk

    17.09.26
    WTA Guadalajara, Mexico Women
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Ludmila Samsonova
    Ludmila Samsonova
    1
    2
    6
    4
    2
    6
    5
    7
    L
    16.09.26
    WTA Guadalajara, Mexico Women
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Taylor Townsend
    Taylor Townsend
    -
    -
    W
    06.09.26
    USO
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Linda Noskova
    Linda Noskova
    1
    2
    5
    7
    7
    5
    4
    6
    L
    04.09.26
    USO
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Ekaterina Alexandrova
    Ekaterina Alexandrova
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    2
    W
    02.09.26
    USO
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Sloane Stephens
    Sloane Stephens
    2
    0
    6
    1
    7
    5
    W
    Empty
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    Jessica Pegula Player Overview

    Jessica Pegula is also in good form, boasting a 60% success rate with three wins and two losses in her last five matches. In her most recent outing, she secured a hard-fought victory over Emma Raducanu, with a scoreline of 6-3, 6-7, 0-6. Pegula's playing style is marked by consistency and adaptability during long rallies. Her first serve percentage stands slightly above average at 67%, but it's her ability to capitalize on break points that truly stands out, winning an impressive 48% of them. While there's been some minor inconsistency in her recent performances, her strong overall stats bolster her chances of success.

    Match Results: Jessica Pegula

    10.09.26
    USO
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    2
    L
    09.09.26
    USO
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Emma Navarro
    Emma Navarro
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    4
    6
    3
    W
    06.09.26
    USO
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Sorana Cirstea
    Sorana Cirstea
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    4
    W
    04.09.26
    USO
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Leylah Fernandez
    Leylah Fernandez
    2
    1
    1
    6
    6
    4
    6
    3
    W
    02.09.26
    USO
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Sofia Kenin
    Sofia Kenin
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    1
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Analyzing the play of both competitors, we can anticipate a hard-fought match with potential for extended rallies and a battle for every game. Considering Marta Kostyuk's tendency to start matches energetically and her streak of winning opening sets (including the trend of "winning the first set"), the beginning of this encounter is likely to be intense for both sides. The predicted scenario suggests that Jessica Pegula will put up strong resistance in the second set after potentially dropping the first. Based on this analysis of player form and current betting trends, the most reasonable prediction is to back Marta Kostyuk to win the first set. Our bet is on Kostyuk to win the first set.

    1st Set Marta Kostyuk to Win
    Odds+117
    Published: 29/09/2025, 17:54

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    Betting Tips: Marta Kostyuk - Jessica Pegula

    Marta Kostyuk has won:
    kostyuk-martain 7 of last 8 matches.
    Marta Kostyuk to Win
    Bovada
    +140
    Marta Kostyuk has won the 2nd set:
    kostyuk-martain last 6 matches.
    2nd Set Marta Kostyuk to Win
    +119
    Marta Kostyuk has won the 1st set:
    kostyuk-martain last 4 matches.
    1st Set Marta Kostyuk to Win
    Bovada
    +120
    Marta Kostyuk has won over 11.5 games:
    kostyuk-martain last 8 matches.
    Marta Kostyuk Total Over (11,5)
    MyBookie
    -139
    View more facts