Surface:
Hard
Round:
1/8
Marta Kostyuk
UKR
WTA - 28
1
:
2
Ended
Jessica Pegula
USA
WTA - 7

Kostyuk vs Pegula Prediction 1 October 2025

    UKR
    Marta Kostyuk
    USA
    Jessica Pegula
    3
    7
    1
    1
    6
    6
    6
    2

    In the upcoming round of 16 match in Beijing, Marta Kostyuk from Ukraine will face off against Jessica Pegula from the USA. The match promises to be thrilling as both players are in great form and hold high positions in the world rankings. For Kostyuk, it's an opportunity to assert her ambitions against a formidable opponent, while for Pegula, it's a chance to solidify her standing in the top 10. The game will take place on outdoor hard courts, which could play a significant role given the playing styles of both athletes.

    Head-to-Head

    Kostyuk and Pegula have faced each other four times, with the Ukrainian securing just one victory.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    43%
    3 Wins
    57%
    4 Wins
    26.04.26
    Spain Madrid
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    0
    2
    1
    6
    4
    6
    10.01.26
    BRI
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    0
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    01.10.25
    China, Beijing
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    1
    2
    3
    6
    7
    6
    1
    6
    24.03.25
    MIA
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    0
    2
    2
    6
    3
    6
    03.03.24
    WTA San Diego
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    0
    2
    6
    7
    1
    6
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Marta Kostyuk Player Overview

    Marta Kostyuk is showcasing impressive form, with four consecutive wins before her latest defeat highlighting her confidence and tenacity on the court. Over her last five matches, she has suffered only one loss, achieving an 80% success rate during this period. Her most recent victory was against Aliaksandra Sasnovich, with a scoreline of 4-6, 2-6. On hard courts, she feels at ease, thanks to her powerful serve and an excellent first serve win percentage of 66%. Despite some issues with double faults, she compensates with an aggressive playing style that allows her to convert a significant number of break points (46%). Notably, her ability to win first sets stands at 78%, making her a formidable opponent right from the start of the match.

    Match Results: Marta Kostyuk

    04.06.26
    Roland-Garros
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Mirra Andreeva
    Mirra Andreeva
    0
    2
    1
    6
    3
    6
    L
    02.06.26
    Roland-Garros
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    1
    2
    3
    6
    6
    2
    2
    6
    W
    31.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    1
    W
    29.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Viktorija Golubic
    Viktorija Golubic
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    3
    W
    27.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Katie Volynets
    Katie Volynets
    2
    1
    64
    77
    6
    3
    6
    3
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Jessica Pegula Player Overview

    Jessica Pegula is also in good form, boasting a 60% success rate with three wins and two losses in her last five matches. In her most recent outing, she secured a hard-fought victory over Emma Raducanu, with a scoreline of 6-3, 6-7, 0-6. Pegula's playing style is marked by consistency and adaptability during long rallies. Her first serve percentage stands slightly above average at 67%, but it's her ability to capitalize on break points that truly stands out, winning an impressive 48% of them. While there's been some minor inconsistency in her recent performances, her strong overall stats bolster her chances of success.

    Match Results: Jessica Pegula

    26.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Kimberly Birrell
    Kimberly Birrell
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    2
    1
    1
    6
    6
    3
    6
    3
    L
    13.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    0
    2
    1
    6
    2
    6
    L
    11.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Anastasia Potapova
    Anastasia Potapova
    2
    0
    78
    66
    6
    2
    W
    10.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Rebeka Masarova
    Rebeka Masarova
    2
    0
    6
    0
    6
    0
    W
    08.05.26
    ROM
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Zeynep Sonmez
    Zeynep Sonmez
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    0
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Analyzing the play of both competitors, we can anticipate a hard-fought match with potential for extended rallies and a battle for every game. Considering Marta Kostyuk's tendency to start matches energetically and her streak of winning opening sets (including the trend of "winning the first set"), the beginning of this encounter is likely to be intense for both sides. The predicted scenario suggests that Jessica Pegula will put up strong resistance in the second set after potentially dropping the first. Based on this analysis of player form and current betting trends, the most reasonable prediction is to back Marta Kostyuk to win the first set. Our bet is on Kostyuk to win the first set.

    Our choice
    1st Set Marta Kostyuk Win at odds of +117*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (29 September 2025, 17:54)

    Betting Tips: Marta Kostyuk - Jessica Pegula

    Marta Kostyuk has won
    kostyuk-martain 7 of last 8 matches.
    Marta Kostyuk Win
    Bovada
    +140
    Marta Kostyuk has won the 2nd set
    kostyuk-martain last 6 matches.
    2nd Set Marta Kostyuk Win
    +119
    Marta Kostyuk has won the 1st set
    kostyuk-martain last 4 matches.
    1st Set Marta Kostyuk Win
    Bovada
    +120
    Marta Kostyuk has won over 11.5 games
    kostyuk-martain last 8 matches.
    Marta Kostyuk Total Over (11.5)
    MyBookie
    -139
    View more facts