Surface:
Hard
Round:
1/8
Marta Kostyuk
UKR
WTA - 29
0
:
2
Ended
Jessica Pegula
USA
WTA - 4

Kostyuk vs Pegula Prediction 24 March 2025

    UKR
    Marta Kostyuk
    USA
    Jessica Pegula
    2
    3
    0
    6
    6
    2

    Marta Kostyuk's youth or Jessica Pegula's experience? This is the key question upon which our final prediction for the fourth-round match at the Miami Open hinges. Sportbooks are firmly convinced of the success of the world's fourth-ranked player. However, we, in turn, will not rush into any hasty assessments.

    Head-to-Head

    In North America, the two women have faced off twice, each managing to upset the other once (7-6; 6-1 and 7-6; 1-6; 2-6).

    Head-to-head statistics Kostyuk - Pegula

    43%
    3 Wins
    57%
    4 Wins
    26.04.26
    Spain Madrid
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    0
    2
    1
    6
    4
    6
    10.01.26
    BRI
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    0
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    01.10.25
    China, Beijing
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    1
    2
    3
    6
    7
    6
    1
    6
    24.03.25
    MIA
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    0
    2
    2
    6
    3
    6
    03.03.24
    WTA San Diego
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    0
    2
    6
    7
    1
    6
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Marta Kostyuk Player Overview

    Kostyuk has yet to closely approach a triumph this season, having only made a decent performance in Doha (quarterfinals). Marta still isn't known for her outstanding emotional stability, which hinders her ability to consistently showcase all her skills. The Ukrainian has never conquered any major tournaments. However, she is capable of making a significant impact over short periods. Yesterday, the athlete demolished Anna Blinkova in just 59 minutes, converting five out of seven break points.

    Match Results: Marta Kostyuk

    30.08.26
    USO
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Storm Sanders
    Storm Sanders
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    1
    W
    22.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Cori Gauff
    Cori Gauff
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    2
    L
    19.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Mirra Andreeva
    Mirra Andreeva
    2
    1
    4
    6
    6
    0
    6
    2
    W
    18.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Sloane Stephens
    Sloane Stephens
    2
    0
    7
    5
    7
    5
    W
    16.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Sofia Kenin
    Sofia Kenin
    2
    1
    4
    6
    6
    3
    7
    5
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Jessica Pegula Player Overview

    Pegula added another trophy to her collection in 2025 (Austin), which did not lead to a decrease in motivation. Jessica's primary goal has long been to triumph at a major, as she has already achieved the maximum results in other competitions. The local crowd provides immense support to the American, pushing her to give her all regardless of the circumstances. Last night, in a series of tough battles, the tennis player prevailed over Anna Kalinskaya, conceding just two points on her first serve in the crucial set without facing any breaks.

    Match Results: Jessica Pegula

    30.08.26
    USO
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Elena Gabriela Ruse
    Elena Gabriela Ruse
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    2
    W
    23.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Cori Gauff
    Cori Gauff
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    4
    L
    22.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    2
    1
    7
    5
    4
    6
    6
    4
    W
    20.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Amanda Anisimova
    Amanda Anisimova
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    1
    2
    4
    6
    6
    2
    64
    77
    W
    19.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Sorana Cirstea
    Sorana Cirstea
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    1
    2
    2
    6
    6
    4
    5
    7
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Editorial Prediction

    In our assessment, this matchup is likely to unfold according to the script laid out by Pegula. Marta's overall performance metrics inspire considerably less confidence, and we believe that this time, she will not be able to handle Jessica's formidable onslaught amid the intense pressure of a hostile crowd. A victory for the US representative with a handicap of -3.5 is our optimal pick for the match.
    Jessica Pegula Handicap (-3,5)
    Published: 23/03/2025, 23:08

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    Betting Tips: Marta Kostyuk - Jessica Pegula

    Jessica Pegula has won:
    pegula-jessicain 9 of last 10 matches.
    Jessica Pegula Win
    Bovada
    -175
    Jessica Pegula has won the 2nd set:
    pegula-jessicain 5 of last 6 matches.
    2nd Set Jessica Pegula Win
    Bovada
    -185
    Jessica Pegula has won the 1st set:
    pegula-jessicain 9 of last 10 matches.
    1st Set Jessica Pegula Win
    Bovada
    -169
    Marta Kostyuk has won the 1st set:
    kostyuk-martain 10 of last 12 matches.
    1st Set Marta Kostyuk Win
    Bovada
    +130
    View more facts