Burruchaga vs Khachanov Prediction 31 August 2026
🔊 Roman Andrés Burruchaga is making his US Open main draw debut, having failed to come through qualifying in each of the previous two years. He opens against former semi-finalist Karen Khachanov, though the Russian is going through a difficult spell and has slipped to around the 50th-ranking mark after once being a top-ten player. That makes it all the more interesting to see whether Khachanov can find his way out of his current slump on the courts where he once reached the last four.
Head-to-Head
📊 The two players have met once before, with Karen Khachanov coming out on top. That match took place last year on clay at the Rome Masters, with Khachanov winning 6-4, 5-7, 6-1 in three sets.
Roman Andres Burruchaga Player Overview
Burruchaga arrives at this tournament on a four-match losing streak stretching back to the summer clay swing. Three hard-court events in North America yielded nothing either - not even the Cancún Challenger, where the Argentine went out in the first round. His set-winning and game-winning rates are modest at 35% and 48% respectively. A natural clay-courter, Burruchaga is not particularly effective on serve, holding in just 74% of his service games. He tends to push play into long, grinding rallies from the outset, content to trade baseline shots and wait for his opponent to err.
Match Results: Roman Andres Burruchaga
Karen Khachanov Player Overview
Khachanov has the stronger overall numbers: six wins from his last ten matches, with a games-won rate of 54% and a sets-won rate of 61%, both ahead of his opponent's figures. He holds serve in four out of five service games - above the ATP Tour average - averages more than 13 aces per match, and keeps his double faults below two. In rallies, Khachanov tends to dictate with his powerful forehand. That said, it has not been working on the recent hard-court swing: heading into the US Open, he carries the same four-match losing streak across three ATP 250-level and above events as Burruchaga.
Match Results: Karen Khachanov
Key factors
- Buruchaga has failed to reach 17.5 games in 13 of his best-of-five matches.
- Khachanov has won more than half of both games and sets across his last ten matches.
- Khachanov has already beaten Buruchaga in their head-to-head, and did so on clay - Buruchaga's preferred surface.
Expected scenario
Khachanov will look to seize control early, leaning on his big first serve and aggressive forehand to keep rallies short and offset his poor recent form on hard courts. Burruchaga, schooled in the classic Argentine clay-court tradition, will try to slow the match down, defend deep and drag his opponent into long, grinding exchanges. The match looks set to be an attritional affair, with the outcome likely hinging on which player makes fewer errors.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Given Khachanov's inconsistency and Burruchaga's tenacity as a defender, this match is unlikely to be settled in three sets. Khachanov will probably drop a set or two during his inevitable dips in level, but his vast experience in five-set matches at Grand Slams and the heavier weight of his ball should see him grind the Argentine down in the decisive stages. At the available odds, backing the Russian to win outright doesn't make much sense. We'd rather side with the underdog's strengths - even during his current poor run, Burruchaga has taken a set off his opponent in 3 of his last 4 matches. That points to a long match and a Total Games - Over 34.5.
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Betting Tips: Roman Andres Burruchaga - Karen Khachanov
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