Surface:
Red clay
Round:
Semifinal
Sebastian Baez
ARG
ATP - 52
0
:
2
Ended
Luciano Darderi
ITA
ATP - 21

Baez vs Darderi Prediction 28 February 2026

    ARG
    Sebastian Baez
    ITA
    Luciano Darderi
    4
    3
    0
    6
    6
    2

    🔊 In the semifinals of the clay court tournament in Santiago, Argentina's Sebastián Báez will face Italy's Luciano Darderi. This match is a significant test for both players as they aim to solidify their positions on the global stage and secure a spot in the final. Clay surfaces are traditionally seen as a stronghold for South American players, but Darderi, being the more experienced competitor, is capable of putting up a formidable challenge.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Throughout their careers, Sebastián Báez and Luciano Darderi have faced each other on the court 8 times, with each claiming victory in four matches.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    44%
    4 Wins
    56%
    5 Wins
    28.02.26
    Chile, Santiago
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    0
    2
    4
    6
    3
    6
    14.02.26
    Argentina Buenos Aires
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    0
    2
    6
    7
    1
    6
    22.01.26
    Australian Open (ATP)
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    1
    3
    3
    6
    6
    1
    4
    6
    3
    6
    18.07.25
    Sweden Bastad
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    0
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    26.08.24
    USO
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    3
    1
    6
    4
    6
    7
    6
    0
    7
    6
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    Sebastian Baez Player Overview

    Sebastian Baez is showcasing impressive form with three wins in his last five matches. His most recent encounter saw him secure a commanding victory over Alejandro Tabilo (6-7, 1-6), highlighting his strong clay-court play. Over his last three matches, Baez has claimed two victories with a set win percentage of 54%. His playing style is marked by aggressive rallies and the ability to exploit opponents' weaknesses. However, Baez should pay attention to his serving errors, as he averages 3% double faults per match. Notably, he has won more than 11.5 games in six consecutive matches in the current tournament.

    Match Results: Sebastian Baez

    07.06.26
    Czech Republic Prostejov, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Alex Molcan
    Alex Molcan
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    W
    06.06.26
    Czech Republic Prostejov, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Nikolas Sanchez-Izquierdo
    Nikolas Sanchez-Izquierdo
    2
    0
    6
    2
    77
    62
    W
    05.06.26
    Czech Republic Prostejov, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Maxim Mrva
    Maxim Mrva
    2
    0
    6
    4
    7
    5
    W
    03.06.26
    Czech Republic Prostejov, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Tristan Boyer
    Tristan Boyer
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    4
    W
    02.06.26
    Czech Republic Prostejov, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Sascha Wayenburg
    Sascha Wayenburg
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    3
    W
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    Luciano Darderi Player Overview

    Luciano Darderi holds a higher ranking position at 21 and recently defeated Juan Manuel Cerundolo with a scoreline of 6-1, 3-6, 6-4. He's shown impressive form with two consecutive wins following a losing streak, indicating a return to competitive shape. His stats reflect a strong first serve percentage at 57% and an ability to dictate the pace of the game with effective cross-court shots. A notable aspect of Darderi's style is his patience in lengthy rallies and his powerful serve, averaging around seven aces per match.

    Match Results: Luciano Darderi

    28.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Francisco Comesana
    Francisco Comesana
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    3
    2
    77
    65
    4
    6
    6
    4
    2
    6
    6
    4
    L
    26.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Sebastian Ofner
    Sebastian Ofner
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    0
    3
    65
    77
    2
    6
    3
    6
    W
    21.05.26
    ATP Hamburg
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    0
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    L
    20.05.26
    ATP Hamburg
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    Yannick Hanfmann
    Yannick Hanfmann
    2
    0
    79
    67
    7
    5
    W
    19.05.26
    ATP Hamburg
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    Roman Andres Burruchaga
    Roman Andres Burruchaga
    2
    0
    6
    3
    77
    64
    W
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    Prediction on the outcome

    Trends
    • Sebastian Baez won with a +2.5 games handicap in last 6 matches (ATP Santiago).
    👉Prediction: Sebastian Baez Handicap (+2.5)(odds: 1.91)

    Prediction on the over/under

    Trends
    • Sebastian Baez has won over 11.5 games in last 6 matches (ATP Santiago).
    👉Prediction: Sebastian Baez Total Over (11.5)(odds: 1.69)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Baez showcases consistency in this tournament, highlighted by his performances against opponents like Cristian Garin and Alejandro Tabilo. However, Darderi holds an edge with his higher ranking and experience against top-tier competition this season. Both players share similar playing styles, focusing on baseline attacks, which could lead to extended rallies, especially on Santiago's clay courts. Considering Sebastian Baez's trend of winning more than 11.5 games consecutively six times, we predict he will surpass this mark once again, despite facing a tough opponent like Luciano Darderi. Our prediction is Baez's individual total over 11.5.

    Our choice
    Sebastian Baez Total Over (11.5) at odds of -152*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (28 February 2026, 09:08)

    Betting Tips: Sebastian Baez - Luciano Darderi

    Sebastian Baez has won the 1st set
    baez-sebastianin 5 of last 6 matches (ATP Santiago).
    1st Set Sebastian Baez Win
    Bovada
    +120
    Under 2.5 sets
    baez-sebastianin 9 of last 10 Sebastian Baez games.
    Sets Total Under (2.5)
    MyBookie
    -182
    Sebastian Baez has won over 11.5 games
    baez-sebastianin last 6 matches (ATP Santiago).
    Sebastian Baez Total Over (11.5)
    MyBookie
    -143
    Luciano Darderi won with a +1.5 sets handicap
    darderi-luciano-1in 9 of last 10 matches.
    Luciano Darderi Sets Handicap (+1.5)
    -417
    View more facts