Surface:
Red clay
Round:
Semifinal
Sebastian Baez
ARG
ATP - 34
0
:
2
Ended
Luciano Darderi
ITA
ATP - 22

Baez vs Darderi Prediction 14 February 2026

    ARG
    Sebastian Baez
    ITA
    Luciano Darderi
    62
    1
    0
    77
    6
    2

    🔊In the Buenos Aires tournament semifinals, Sebastián Báez and Luciano Darderi are set to face off. Both players are in solid form and eager to reach the final, making this match crucial for them. The clay court could be a decisive factor, as both tennis players favor long rallies and endurance-based play.

    Head-to-Head

    📊Throughout their careers, Sebastián Báez and Luciano Darderi have faced off on the court 7 times, with the Argentine leading 4-3.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    44%
    4 Wins
    56%
    5 Wins
    28.02.26
    Chile, Santiago
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    0
    2
    4
    6
    3
    6
    14.02.26
    Argentina Buenos Aires
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    0
    2
    6
    7
    1
    6
    22.01.26
    Australian Open (ATP)
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    1
    3
    3
    6
    6
    1
    4
    6
    3
    6
    18.07.25
    Sweden Bastad
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    0
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    26.08.24
    USO
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    3
    1
    6
    4
    6
    7
    6
    0
    7
    6
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    Sebastian Baez Player Overview

    Sebastian Baez is showcasing consistent form, having secured three victories in his last five matches, including two consecutive wins leading up to this semifinal. In his previous encounter against Camilo Ugo Carabelli, Baez confidently triumphed with a scoreline of 6-7, 2-6. On clay, Sebastian feels at ease-his playing style features powerful baseline strokes and an ability to maintain rally rhythm. Over his last ten matches, he boasts a high first serve success rate at 75% and wins 71% of his service games. An intriguing stat: Baez clinches the second set in nine out of his last ten matches, highlighting his ability to adapt as the match progresses.

    Match Results: Sebastian Baez

    07.06.26
    Czech Republic Prostejov, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Alex Molcan
    Alex Molcan
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    W
    06.06.26
    Czech Republic Prostejov, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Nikolas Sanchez-Izquierdo
    Nikolas Sanchez-Izquierdo
    2
    0
    6
    2
    77
    62
    W
    05.06.26
    Czech Republic Prostejov, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Maxim Mrva
    Maxim Mrva
    2
    0
    6
    4
    7
    5
    W
    03.06.26
    Czech Republic Prostejov, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Tristan Boyer
    Tristan Boyer
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    4
    W
    02.06.26
    Czech Republic Prostejov, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Sascha Wayenburg
    Sascha Wayenburg
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    3
    W
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    Luciano Darderi Player Overview

    Luciano Darderi is hitting his stride with four wins in his last five matches, including a commanding victory over Pedro Martinez Portero, 5-7, 1-6. Known for his powerful strokes and an impressive average of 10.1 aces per match, Darderi's game thrives on aggressive play from the very first strike after serve or return. While his first serve percentage stands at a lower 59%, he makes up for it with a strong 62% win rate on second serves.

    Match Results: Luciano Darderi

    28.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Francisco Comesana
    Francisco Comesana
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    3
    2
    77
    65
    4
    6
    6
    4
    2
    6
    6
    4
    L
    26.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Sebastian Ofner
    Sebastian Ofner
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    0
    3
    65
    77
    2
    6
    3
    6
    W
    21.05.26
    ATP Hamburg
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    0
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    L
    20.05.26
    ATP Hamburg
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    Yannick Hanfmann
    Yannick Hanfmann
    2
    0
    79
    67
    7
    5
    W
    19.05.26
    ATP Hamburg
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    Roman Andres Burruchaga
    Roman Andres Burruchaga
    2
    0
    6
    3
    77
    64
    W
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    Prediction on the outcome

    Trends
    • Sebastian Baez won with a +4.5 games handicap in last 11 matches.
    👉Prediction: Sebastian Baez Handicap (+4.5)(odds: 1.35)

    Prediction on the over/under

    Trends
    • Luciano Darderi has won under 13.5 games in 12 of last 14 matches.
    👉Prediction: Luciano Darderi Total Under (13.5)(odds: 1.39)

    Correct score prediction

    Trends
    • Sebastian Baez has won 2:0 in 5 of last 6 matches.
    👉Prediction: Correct Score (2:0)(odds: 3.54)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Both sides enter this semifinal in good form, but considering the current performance of the players, Luciano Darderi might have the edge with his aggressive playing style and high first-serve efficiency. However, the key will be the clash of styles-Baez's solid defense against Darderi's attacking approach, leading to a tense battle for every game, especially given the heavy court surface that often favors prolonged baseline exchanges. We anticipate a swift match and suggest betting on a set total under 2.5.

    Our choice
    Sets Total Under (2.5) at odds of -175*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (14 February 2026, 07:39)

    Betting Tips: Sebastian Baez - Luciano Darderi

    Sebastian Baez has won the 2nd set
    baez-sebastianin 9 of last 10 matches.
    2nd Set Sebastian Baez Win
    +116
    Sebastian Baez has won
    baez-sebastianin 9 of last 10 matches.
    Sebastian Baez Win
    MyBookie
    +155
    Sebastian Baez has won the 1st set
    baez-sebastianin 5 of last 6 matches.
    1st Set Sebastian Baez Win
    Bovada
    +110
    Luciano Darderi has won under 13.5 games
    darderi-luciano-1in 12 of last 14 matches.
    Luciano Darderi Total Under (13.5)
    -250
    View more facts