Surface:
Grass
Round:
Semifinal
Iga Swiatek
POL
WTA - 8
2
:
0
Ended
Jasmine Paolini
ITA
WTA - 4

Swiatek vs Paolini Prediction 27 June 2025

    POL
    Iga Swiatek
    ITA
    Jasmine Paolini
    6
    6
    2
    1
    3
    0

    🎾Iga Swiatek has yet to reach the finals of a grass-court tournament, but she now has a chance. In the semifinals of Bad Homburg, she faces Jasmine Paolini, who reached the Wimbledon final last year. It might seem like a straightforward match, but the bookmakers think differently. Who will come out on top in this clash? Find out in our prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    Swiatek and Paolini have faced each other five times, with the Polish player winning all five encounters. However, their upcoming match will mark their first-ever meeting on grass in their head-to-head history.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    88%
    7 Wins
    13%
    1 Win
    10.10.25
    WUH
    Jasmine Paolini
    Jasmine Paolini
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    2
    0
    6
    1
    6
    2
    18.08.25
    USA Cincinnati
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    Jasmine Paolini
    Jasmine Paolini
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    4
    27.06.25
    WTA Bad Homburg Women
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    Jasmine Paolini
    Jasmine Paolini
    2
    0
    6
    1
    6
    3
    19.12.24
    World Tennis League
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    Jasmine Paolini
    Jasmine Paolini
    1
    0
    7
    6
    18.11.24
    Fed Cup
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    Jasmine Paolini
    Jasmine Paolini
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    4
    6
    4
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Iga Swiatek Player Overview

    Swiatek engaged in a gripping match against Ekaterina Alexandrova that stretched over two hours. In her prime, the Polish player would have swiftly dispatched the Russian and moved on to the next round, but Swiatek is currently experiencing a dip in form. She recorded four double faults, five aces, and delivered a rather unremarkable performance. Alexandrova seemed more nervous, despite having opportunities to clinch the match. Statistically, they were nearly even, with similar numbers on both serve and return. The second set featured a tiebreak, which was tightly contested as well. It's been quite some time since Iga has been at her peak level, with a year passing without reaching any tournament finals, psychological issues affecting her play, and all of this significantly impacting her performance and results.

    Match Results: Iga Swiatek

    31.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    1
    L
    29.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Magda Linette
    Magda Linette
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    0
    2
    4
    6
    4
    6
    W
    27.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Sara Bejlek
    Sara Bejlek
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    0
    2
    2
    6
    3
    6
    W
    25.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Emerson Jones
    Emerson Jones
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    0
    2
    1
    6
    2
    6
    W
    14.05.26
    ROM
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    1
    2
    4
    6
    6
    2
    2
    6
    L
    Empty
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    Jasmine Paolini Player Overview

    Paolini advanced to the semifinals after defeating Haddad Maia in a match that lasted an hour and a half. Despite the encounter featuring 24 games, which is quite high, the contest was remarkably even. The Brazilian has found her stride this season and looks formidable. While her grass-court results haven't matched her clay performances, a victory over Svitolina speaks volumes. Paolini overcame a strong opponent, although her rival did contribute with seven double faults. For Jasmine, grass is one of her favorite surfaces; she reached the Wimbledon final last year and knows what it takes to win on this turf.

    Match Results: Jasmine Paolini

    27.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Jasmine Paolini
    Jasmine Paolini
    Solana Sierra
    Solana Sierra
    1
    2
    6
    3
    4
    6
    3
    6
    L
    25.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Jasmine Paolini
    Jasmine Paolini
    Dayana Yastremska
    Dayana Yastremska
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    3
    W
    09.05.26
    ROM
    Jasmine Paolini
    Jasmine Paolini
    Elise Mertens
    Elise Mertens
    1
    2
    6
    4
    65
    77
    3
    6
    L
    07.05.26
    ROM
    Jasmine Paolini
    Jasmine Paolini
    Leolia Jeanjean
    Leolia Jeanjean
    2
    1
    64
    77
    6
    2
    6
    4
    W
    25.04.26
    Spain Madrid
    Hailey Baptiste
    Hailey Baptiste
    Jasmine Paolini
    Jasmine Paolini
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    3
    L
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    Editor's Prediction

    This match is incredibly difficult to predict, yet history tells us a lot. Iga Świątek has never reached the finals of grass tournaments, and it's unlikely that will change here. Paolini currently appears much stronger than her opponent-both in gameplay and mental fortitude. Our bet is on Jasmine Paolini to win the match.

    Our choice
    Jasmine Paolini Win at odds of +250*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (26 June 2025, 18:35)

    Betting Tips: Iga Swiatek - Jasmine Paolini

    Iga Swiatek has won
    swiatek-igapaolini-jasminein last 5 matches against Jasmine Paolini.
    swiatek-igain 7 of last 8 matches.
    Iga Swiatek Win
    Bovada
    -278
    Jasmine Paolini has won the 1st set
    paolini-jasminein 8 of last 9 matches.
    1st Set Jasmine Paolini Win
    Bovada
    +185
    Iga Swiatek has won the 2nd set
    swiatek-igain last 8 matches.
    2nd Set Iga Swiatek Win
    Bovada
    -263
    Jasmine Paolini has won over 10.5 games
    paolini-jasminein 12 of last 13 matches.
    Jasmine Paolini Total Over (10.5)
    -105
    View more facts