Surface:
Hard
Round:
Final
Iga Swiatek
POL
WTA - 3
2
:
0
Ended
Jasmine Paolini
ITA
WTA - 9

Swiatek vs Paolini Prediction 18 August 2025

    POL
    Iga Swiatek
    ITA
    Jasmine Paolini
    7
    6
    2
    5
    4
    0

    🎾The Cincinnati tournament final is finally here. Iga Swiatek will face Jasmine Paolini. Both athletes are worthy of the trophy, but the Polish player has been impressing with her form lately. Paolini is also strong on hard courts and could delight her fans. Who will triumph in the final? Read our prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    Świątek and Paolini have faced each other six times, with the Polish player winning all six encounters. They've competed on all surfaces, yet the Italian has managed to win just one set across those six matches.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    88%
    7 Wins
    13%
    1 Win
    10.10.25
    WUH
    Jasmine Paolini
    Jasmine Paolini
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    2
    0
    6
    1
    6
    2
    18.08.25
    USA Cincinnati
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    Jasmine Paolini
    Jasmine Paolini
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    4
    27.06.25
    WTA Bad Homburg Women
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    Jasmine Paolini
    Jasmine Paolini
    2
    0
    6
    1
    6
    3
    19.12.24
    World Tennis League
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    Jasmine Paolini
    Jasmine Paolini
    1
    0
    7
    6
    18.11.24
    Fed Cup
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    Jasmine Paolini
    Jasmine Paolini
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    4
    6
    4
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Iga Swiatek Player Overview

    This season, the Polish player is achieving several firsts in her career. For the first time, she reached the final of a grass-court tournament, won Wimbledon, and advanced to the final in Cincinnati. After a year without reaching any finals and struggling during the initial hard-court segment of the season, Świątek has found her form again. It seems she's undergone a sort of reset. In the semifinals, she managed to defeat Elena Rybakina with her powerful serve, despite a tightly contested first set. Errors from the Kazakh representative allowed Świątek to rally from 3-5 in the first set and eventually win the match. This time, coaching advice from Rybakina's team didn't make a difference. However, the Polish player delivered an outstanding performance, making few mistakes and maintaining consistency over a long stretch. Winning such a match in straight sets is a testament to her high caliber.

    Match Results: Iga Swiatek

    31.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Marta Kostyuk
    Marta Kostyuk
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    1
    L
    29.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Magda Linette
    Magda Linette
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    0
    2
    4
    6
    4
    6
    W
    27.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Sara Bejlek
    Sara Bejlek
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    0
    2
    2
    6
    3
    6
    W
    25.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Emerson Jones
    Emerson Jones
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    0
    2
    1
    6
    2
    6
    W
    14.05.26
    ROM
    Iga Swiatek
    Iga Swiatek
    Elina Svitolina
    Elina Svitolina
    1
    2
    4
    6
    6
    2
    2
    6
    L
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    Jasmine Paolini Player Overview

    Paolini fought through a tough final against Kudermetova. The only slip-up came at the end of the second set when victory was within reach, but the Italian started to feel the pressure. As a result, Kudermetova took the set. However, Jasmine faced no further issues thereafter. The Russian made numerous errors, visibly frustrated, and her coach's motivation fell short. Paolini stayed focused, proving her spot in the world’s top 10 is well-deserved. Jasmine excelled in returns, and despite Kudermetova's ten aces, the Italian managed to handle most of her opponent's serves. This should serve her well in the final. Paolini herself has mentioned that she enjoys the conditions in Cincinnati, finding the game here to be pure joy.

    Match Results: Jasmine Paolini

    27.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Jasmine Paolini
    Jasmine Paolini
    Solana Sierra
    Solana Sierra
    1
    2
    6
    3
    4
    6
    3
    6
    L
    25.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Jasmine Paolini
    Jasmine Paolini
    Dayana Yastremska
    Dayana Yastremska
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    3
    W
    09.05.26
    ROM
    Jasmine Paolini
    Jasmine Paolini
    Elise Mertens
    Elise Mertens
    1
    2
    6
    4
    65
    77
    3
    6
    L
    07.05.26
    ROM
    Jasmine Paolini
    Jasmine Paolini
    Leolia Jeanjean
    Leolia Jeanjean
    2
    1
    64
    77
    6
    2
    6
    4
    W
    25.04.26
    Spain Madrid
    Hailey Baptiste
    Hailey Baptiste
    Jasmine Paolini
    Jasmine Paolini
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    3
    L
    Empty
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    Editor's Prediction

    The head-to-head history favors Świątek, and this will play a significant role, making it difficult for Paolini to handle the pressure. However, since the Italian claims she loves playing in Cincinnati, this might just give her an edge. Nonetheless, the Polish player is in top form right now, and her victory seems almost certain. Our bet is Świątek Handicap(-4.5).

    Our choice
    Iga Swiatek Handicap (-4.5) at odds of -143*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (18 August 2025, 09:04)

    Betting Tips: Iga Swiatek - Jasmine Paolini

    Iga Swiatek has won the 2nd set
    swiatek-igapaolini-jasminein 5 of last 6 matches against Jasmine Paolini.
    swiatek-igain 13 of last 15 matches.
    2nd Set Iga Swiatek Win
    Bovada
    -455
    Jasmine Paolini has won
    paolini-jasminein last 5 matches (WTA Cincinnati).
    Jasmine Paolini Win
    Bovada
    +575
    Iga Swiatek has won
    swiatek-igapaolini-jasminein last 6 matches against Jasmine Paolini.
    swiatek-igain 13 of last 15 matches.
    Iga Swiatek Win
    Bovada
    -769
    Jasmine Paolini has won the 1st set
    paolini-jasminein 6 of last 7 matches.
    1st Set Jasmine Paolini Win
    Bovada
    +315
    View more facts