Surface:
Red clay
Round:
1/16
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR
WTA - 1
2
:
1
Ended
Elise Mertens
BEL
WTA - 26

Sabalenka vs Mertens Prediction 27 April 2025

    BLR
    Aryna Sabalenka
    BEL
    Elise Mertens
    3
    6
    6
    2
    6
    2
    1
    1

    🎾In the women's tournament in Madrid, it's the Round of 32 and a match featuring the world number one. Aryna Sabalenka will face off against Elise Mertens. Both players cruised through the previous round and are in excellent form heading into this clash. Who will come out on top? Check out our prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    Sabalenka and Mertens have faced off eleven times, with Mertens securing just two victories. On clay, they've had only three encounters, and the Belgian has managed to win just once.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    85%
    11 Wins
    15%
    2 Wins
    06.07.25
    Wimbledon (WTA)
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Elise Mertens
    Elise Mertens
    2
    0
    6
    4
    7
    6
    27.04.25
    Spain Madrid
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Elise Mertens
    Elise Mertens
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    2
    6
    1
    19.04.25
    Germany Stuttgart
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Elise Mertens
    Elise Mertens
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    1
    01.09.24
    USO
    Elise Mertens
    Elise Mertens
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    0
    2
    2
    6
    4
    6
    21.01.23
    Australian Open (WTA)
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Elise Mertens
    Elise Mertens
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    3
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    Aryna Sabalenka Player Overview

    After her defeat in the Stuttgart final, Aryna Sabalenka quickly bounced back. In Madrid, there was no trace of that loss. In her opening match of the tournament, she confidently dispatched Anna Blinkova 6-3, 6-4. No one doubted that the Belarusian would navigate the first round in Madrid without any nerves. Now, tougher opponents await, with Mertens being the next test. Sabalenka has faced the Belgian multiple times and usually comes out on top. This season was no exception, as Sabalenka defeated Mertens in Stuttgart in just an hour and twenty minutes.

    Match Results: Aryna Sabalenka

    20.06.26
    Berlin, Germany Women Singles
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    1
    2
    4
    6
    77
    64
    0
    6
    L
    19.06.26
    Berlin, Germany Women Singles
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Nikola Bartunkova
    Nikola Bartunkova
    2
    1
    2
    6
    77
    62
    6
    4
    W
    17.06.26
    Berlin, Germany Women Singles
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Ekaterina Alexandrova
    Ekaterina Alexandrova
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    W
    03.06.26
    Roland-Garros
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Diana Shnaider
    Diana Shnaider
    1
    2
    6
    3
    5
    7
    0
    6
    L
    01.06.26
    Roland-Garros
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Naomi Osaka
    Naomi Osaka
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    3
    W
    Empty
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    Elise Mertens Player Overview

    Mertens also secured a confident victory in her first match in Madrid. She faced Colombian Osorio and overcame her in an hour and a half. Yes, Osorio made quite a few errors, and the second set dragged on for an entire hour, but Mertens managed to navigate through this tricky tennis to claim the win. However, against Sabalenka, her chances are admittedly slim. Even their head-to-head history suggests that the Belgian can at best hope to win just one set and nothing more.

    Match Results: Elise Mertens

    17.06.26
    Berlin, Germany Women Singles
    Elise Mertens
    Elise Mertens
    Nikola Bartunkova
    Nikola Bartunkova
    0
    2
    1
    6
    4
    6
    L
    15.06.26
    Berlin, Germany Women Singles
    Elise Mertens
    Elise Mertens
    Ludmilla Samsonova
    Ludmilla Samsonova
    2
    1
    1
    6
    6
    3
    6
    0
    W
    11.06.26
    WTA S-Hertogenbosch
    Elena Gabriela Ruse
    Elena Gabriela Ruse
    Elise Mertens
    Elise Mertens
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    3
    L
    08.06.26
    WTA S-Hertogenbosch
    Bianca Andreescu
    Bianca Andreescu
    Elise Mertens
    Elise Mertens
    0
    2
    1
    6
    2
    6
    W
    28.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Maja Chwalinska
    Maja Chwalinska
    Elise Mertens
    Elise Mertens
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    0
    L
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    Editorial Prediction

    Sabalenka is aiming for victory in this tournament, and in her draw, Pegula seems to be the only real competition she might face. Mertens is unlikely to pose a challenge, so we don't anticipate any surprises in this match-up. Sabalenka is expected to secure a confident win here. Our bet - Sabalenka Handicap(-5.5).

    Our choice
    Aryna Sabalenka Handicap (-5,5) at odds of -154*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (26 April 2025, 09:57)

    Betting Tips: Aryna Sabalenka - Elise Mertens

    Aryna Sabalenka has won the 1st set:
    aryna-sabalenkamertens-elisein last 10 matches against Elise Mertens.
    aryna-sabalenkain 15 of last 17 matches.
    1st Set Aryna Sabalenka Win
    Bovada
    -455
    Aryna Sabalenka has won:
    aryna-sabalenkamertens-elisein last 8 matches against Elise Mertens.
    Aryna Sabalenka Win
    Bovada
    -667
    Aryna Sabalenka has won the 2nd set:
    aryna-sabalenkamertens-elisein last 7 matches against Elise Mertens.
    2nd Set Aryna Sabalenka Win
    Bovada
    -476
    Elise Mertens has won the 2nd set:
    mertens-elisein 5 of last 6 matches.
    2nd Set Elise Mertens Win
    Bovada
    +320
    View more facts