Surface:
Grass
Round:
1/8
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR
WTA - 1
2
:
0
Ended
Elise Mertens
BEL
WTA - 23

Sabalenka vs Mertens Prediction 6 July 2025

    BLR
    Aryna Sabalenka
    BEL
    Elise Mertens
    6
    7
    2
    4
    6
    0

    In the fourth round of Wimbledon, Aryna Sabalenka and Elise Mertens will battle for a spot in the quarterfinals. This clash features two seasoned players, each eager for success on the grass courts. This stage of the tournament holds particular significance for both athletes: Aryna aims to reaffirm her status as the world number one, while Elise seeks redemption after a previous defeat to Sabalenka. The grass surface will favor aggressive play and quick rallies, which could be crucial in determining the outcome of this encounter.

    Head-to-Head

    Sabalenka and Mertens have faced off twelve times, with the Belgian securing just two wins. However, on grass, they've only clashed once, a match that Sabalenka won. This encounter took place at the Eastbourne tournament in 2018, where the Belarusian triumphed 2-1.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    85%
    11 Wins
    15%
    2 Wins
    06.07.25
    Wimbledon (WTA)
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Elise Mertens
    Elise Mertens
    2
    0
    6
    4
    7
    6
    27.04.25
    Spain Madrid
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Elise Mertens
    Elise Mertens
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    2
    6
    1
    19.04.25
    Germany Stuttgart
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Elise Mertens
    Elise Mertens
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    1
    01.09.24
    USO
    Elise Mertens
    Elise Mertens
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    0
    2
    2
    6
    4
    6
    21.01.23
    Australian Open (WTA)
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Elise Mertens
    Elise Mertens
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    3
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    Aryna Sabalenka Player Overview

    Sabalenka is the undeniable frontrunner at Wimbledon. With each match, the odds on her winning the championship are dropping. In the previous round, she managed to defeat Emma Raducanu, once again showcasing her signature style. Sabalenka had a tough start, with the first set going to a tiebreak, but then she found her rhythm, picked up the pace, and secured the victory. Remarkably, Sabalenka committed just one double fault, but also recorded 32 unforced errors against 31 winners. It wasn't her best performance, but she clearly understands the need to conserve energy for truly formidable opponents ahead.

    Match Results: Aryna Sabalenka

    20.06.26
    Berlin, Germany Women Singles
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Jessica Pegula
    Jessica Pegula
    1
    2
    4
    6
    77
    64
    0
    6
    L
    19.06.26
    Berlin, Germany Women Singles
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Nikola Bartunkova
    Nikola Bartunkova
    2
    1
    2
    6
    77
    62
    6
    4
    W
    17.06.26
    Berlin, Germany Women Singles
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Ekaterina Alexandrova
    Ekaterina Alexandrova
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    W
    03.06.26
    Roland-Garros
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Diana Shnaider
    Diana Shnaider
    1
    2
    6
    3
    5
    7
    0
    6
    L
    01.06.26
    Roland-Garros
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Naomi Osaka
    Naomi Osaka
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    3
    W
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    Elise Mertens Player Overview

    Elise Mertens is in solid form, having secured four victories in her last five matches. In the previous round, she managed to defeat Elina Svitolina, even though the Ukrainian seemed to be the clear favorite. The Belgian is not the most consistent player, making her matches challenging to predict. However, she has been performing well on grass this season. Mertens clinched the title in 's-Hertogenbosch and has yet to face significant competition at Wimbledon. Nevertheless, her tendency to lose focus remains her main issue.

    Match Results: Elise Mertens

    17.06.26
    Berlin, Germany Women Singles
    Elise Mertens
    Elise Mertens
    Nikola Bartunkova
    Nikola Bartunkova
    0
    2
    1
    6
    4
    6
    L
    15.06.26
    Berlin, Germany Women Singles
    Elise Mertens
    Elise Mertens
    Ludmilla Samsonova
    Ludmilla Samsonova
    2
    1
    1
    6
    6
    3
    6
    0
    W
    11.06.26
    WTA S-Hertogenbosch
    Elena Gabriela Ruse
    Elena Gabriela Ruse
    Elise Mertens
    Elise Mertens
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    3
    L
    08.06.26
    WTA S-Hertogenbosch
    Bianca Andreescu
    Bianca Andreescu
    Elise Mertens
    Elise Mertens
    0
    2
    1
    6
    2
    6
    W
    28.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Maja Chwalinska
    Maja Chwalinska
    Elise Mertens
    Elise Mertens
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    0
    L
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    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Analyzing the playing styles and current form of the tennis players, we anticipate an exhilarating match filled with tense service games from both sides. Sabalenka's aggression will clash with Mertens' resilience; expect plenty of extended rallies due to the Belgian's counterattacking strategy. However, Sabalenka is likely to deliver her typical performance-perhaps with a tiebreak-without much trouble. Therefore, we foresee a high number of games. Our bet is on total match games over 19.

    Our choice
    Total Over (19) at odds of -192*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (5 July 2025, 18:16)

    Betting Tips: Aryna Sabalenka - Elise Mertens

    Aryna Sabalenka has won the 1st set:
    aryna-sabalenkamertens-elisein 10 of last 11 matches against Elise Mertens.
    aryna-sabalenkain 12 of last 13 matches.
    1st Set Aryna Sabalenka Win
    Bovada
    -345
    Aryna Sabalenka has won:
    aryna-sabalenkamertens-elisein last 9 matches against Elise Mertens.
    Aryna Sabalenka Win
    Bovada
    -455
    Elise Mertens has won:
    mertens-elisein 8 of last 9 matches.
    Elise Mertens Win
    Bovada
    +350
    Aryna Sabalenka has won the 2nd set:
    aryna-sabalenkamertens-elisein last 8 matches against Elise Mertens.
    2nd Set Aryna Sabalenka Win
    Bovada
    -345
    View more facts