Surface:
Hard
Round:
Quarterfinal
Lorenzo Musetti
ITA
ATP - 5
2
:
0
Retired
Winner: Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic
SRB
ATP - 4

Musetti vs Djokovic Prediction 28 January 2026

    ITA
    Lorenzo Musetti
    SRB
    Novak Djokovic
    6
    6
    1
    2
    4
    3
    3
    0

    🔊 In the quarterfinals of the Australian Open, Lorenzo Musetti and Novak Djokovic, ranked 5th and 4th in the world respectively, will face off. Bookmakers have pegged the experienced Serbian as the favorite in this clash. Can the Italian mount a challenge? Let's delve into this match in more detail and provide a prediction on its outcome.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Lorenzo Musetti has proven to be a favorable opponent for Novak Djokovic. The Serbian tennis player has triumphed in nine out of their ten head-to-head clashes, which gives him confidence heading into the quarterfinal match in Melbourne.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    9%
    1 Win
    91%
    10 Wins
    28.01.26
    Australian Open (ATP)
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Novak Djokovic
    Novak Djokovic
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    3
    1
    3
    08.11.25
    ATP Athens, Greece Men Singles
    Novak Djokovic
    Novak Djokovic
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    2
    1
    4
    6
    6
    3
    7
    5
    25.03.25
    MIA
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Novak Djokovic
    Novak Djokovic
    0
    2
    2
    6
    2
    6
    02.08.24
    Olympic Tournament Men Singles
    Novak Djokovic
    Novak Djokovic
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    12.07.24
    Wimbledon (ATP)
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Novak Djokovic
    Novak Djokovic
    0
    3
    4
    6
    6
    7
    4
    6
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    Lorenzo Musetti Player Overview

    🎾 Musetti has never advanced this far at the Australian Open, with this quarterfinal appearance marking a career-best for him. Last year in Melbourne, the Italian exited in the third round after a four-set defeat to Ben Shelton. This season on hard courts, Lorenzo boasts seven victories and just one loss.

    🔔 The current tournament hasn't been a walk in the park for Musetti. His toughest challenge came in the third round, where he needed five sets to overcome Tomas Machac. In the round of 16, Lorenzo cruised past Taylor Fritz with a straightforward 6-2, 7-5, 6-4 win. In that match, the Italian fired 13 aces and maintained a solid first serve accuracy of 68%.

    Match Results: Lorenzo Musetti

    12.05.26
    ROM
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Casper Ruud
    Casper Ruud
    0
    2
    3
    6
    1
    6
    L
    10.05.26
    ROM
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Francisco Cerundolo
    Francisco Cerundolo
    2
    0
    79
    67
    6
    4
    W
    08.05.26
    ROM
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
    Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    W
    28.04.26
    Spain, Madrid
    Jiri Lehecka
    Jiri Lehecka
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    3
    L
    26.04.26
    Spain, Madrid
    Tallon Griekspoor
    Tallon Griekspoor
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    0
    2
    4
    6
    5
    7
    W
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    Novak Djokovic Player Overview

    🎾 For Djokovic, the Australian Open stands as his favorite tournament on the tour, where he has claimed 10 titles. In the past two years, Novak has been halted in Melbourne at the semifinal stage. This season, prior to this tournament, "Nole" hasn't played anywhere else, so his hard court record remains spotless: three wins and no losses.

    🔔 Djokovic advanced to the Round of 16 without any contest, as his opponent Jakub Mensik withdrew from the tournament before their match due to an abdominal muscle injury. Prior to this, Novak didn't drop a single set in three matches. His first serve accuracy in these encounters was 64% or higher, and he delivered five or more aces per match.

    Match Results: Novak Djokovic

    29.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Joao Fonseca
    Joao Fonseca
    Novak Djokovic
    Novak Djokovic
    3
    2
    4
    6
    4
    6
    6
    3
    7
    5
    7
    5
    L
    27.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Valentin Royer
    Valentin Royer
    Novak Djokovic
    Novak Djokovic
    1
    3
    3
    6
    2
    6
    7
    6
    3
    6
    W
    24.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
    Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
    Novak Djokovic
    Novak Djokovic
    1
    3
    7
    5
    5
    7
    1
    6
    4
    6
    W
    08.05.26
    ROM
    Dino Prizmic
    Dino Prizmic
    Novak Djokovic
    Novak Djokovic
    2
    1
    2
    6
    6
    2
    6
    4
    L
    12.03.26
    USA Indian Wells
    Novak Djokovic
    Novak Djokovic
    Jack Draper
    Jack Draper
    1
    2
    6
    4
    4
    6
    65
    77
    L
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    Editorial Prediction

    Musetti's main weapon is his powerful serve, but Djokovic, with his wealth of experience, should handle it with ease, as he is one of the best returners on the tour. The head-to-head history suggests that the Italian is a favorable matchup for Novak, so we anticipate a confident victory from the Serb. Our bet is on Djokovic with a -3 handicap.

    Our choice
    Novak Djokovic Handicap (-3) at odds of -164*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (27 January 2026, 07:23)

    Betting Tips: Lorenzo Musetti - Novak Djokovic

    Lorenzo Musetti has lost the 1st set (bo5 series)
    musetti-lorenzodjokovic-novakin 8 of last 9 matches against Novak Djokovic.
    1st Set Novak Djokovic Win
    Bovada
    -222
    Lorenzo Musetti has lost the 2nd set (bo5 series)
    musetti-lorenzodjokovic-novakin last 4 matches against Novak Djokovic.
    2nd Set Novak Djokovic Win
    -213
    Lorenzo Musetti has won the 2nd set (bo5 series)
    musetti-lorenzoin 9 of last 10 matches.
    Lorenzo Musetti has won the 2nd set
    musetti-lorenzoin last 6 matches (ATP Australian Open).
    2nd Set Lorenzo Musetti Win
    +167
    Lorenzo Musetti has lost (bo5 series)
    musetti-lorenzodjokovic-novakin last 6 matches against Novak Djokovic.
    Novak Djokovic Win
    Everygame
    -278
    View more facts