Surface:
Hard
Round:
1/8
Lorenzo Musetti
ITA
ATP - 16
0
:
2
Ended
Novak Djokovic
SRB
ATP - 5

Musetti vs Djokovic Prediction 25 March 2025

    ITA
    Lorenzo Musetti
    SRB
    Novak Djokovic
    2
    2
    0
    6
    6
    2

    Will Lorenzo Musetti succumb to Novak Djokovic for the fifth consecutive time? Sportbooks almost have no doubt about it. Likewise, we currently see no significant reasons for an upset, fully aligning with the existing odds in our prediction for the fourth-round match of the Miami Open.

    Head-to-Head

    It's worth noting that on hard courts, the players have faced off twice, and on both occasions, the world's fifth-ranked player settled matters in straight sets (6-0, 6-3 and 6-3, 6-3).

    Head-to-head statistics Musetti - Djokovic

    9%
    1 Win
    91%
    10 Wins
    28.01.26
    Australian Open (ATP)
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Novak Djokovic
    Novak Djokovic
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    3
    1
    3
    08.11.25
    ATP Athens, Greece Men Singles
    Novak Djokovic
    Novak Djokovic
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    2
    1
    4
    6
    6
    3
    7
    5
    25.03.25
    MIA
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Novak Djokovic
    Novak Djokovic
    0
    2
    2
    6
    2
    6
    02.08.24
    Olympic Tournament Men Singles
    Novak Djokovic
    Novak Djokovic
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    12.07.24
    Wimbledon (ATP)
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Novak Djokovic
    Novak Djokovic
    0
    3
    4
    6
    6
    7
    4
    6
    Empty
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    Lorenzo Musetti Player Overview

    Musetti has not stayed this long in tournaments at the start of the new season before. However, it's too early to talk about a fantastic progress. Lorenzo's current form still doesn't impress, making it difficult for him to breeze through matches. In Florida, the Italian only managed to defeat Felix Auger-Aliassime and Quentin Halys after five hours, notching up 52 actively won points. His serve was also far from perfect (four breaks and losing a third of the points on his first serve), which posed additional challenges.

    Match Results: Lorenzo Musetti

    01.09.26
    USO
    Arthur Fery
    Arthur Fery
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    0
    3
    3
    6
    3
    6
    5
    7
    W
    21.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Frances Tiafoe
    Frances Tiafoe
    0
    2
    62
    77
    5
    7
    L
    20.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Jaime Faria
    Jaime Faria
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    0
    2
    5
    7
    2
    6
    W
    18.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Michael Zheng
    Michael Zheng
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    0
    2
    1
    6
    3
    6
    W
    16.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Daniel Altmaier
    Daniel Altmaier
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    0
    2
    4
    6
    2
    6
    W
    Empty
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    Novak Djokovic Player Overview

    Djokovic is gradually stepping up his game, aiming to clinch his 100th career title in the foreseeable future. Right after the break, Novak was close to achieving this coveted goal (top-4 at the Australian Open), but he was outplayed by Alexander Zverev. On these courts, however, the Serbian left little chance for two average competitors, showcasing exceptional composure in two tie-breaks. In total, the athlete made 31 unforced errors and converted 6 out of 17 break points.

    Match Results: Novak Djokovic

    30.08.26
    USO
    Mariano Navone
    Mariano Navone
    Novak Djokovic
    Novak Djokovic
    3
    2
    7
    6
    5
    7
    4
    6
    6
    2
    6
    1
    L
    15.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Novak Djokovic
    Novak Djokovic
    Thiago Agustin Tirante
    Thiago Agustin Tirante
    1
    2
    6
    2
    4
    6
    4
    6
    L
    10.07.26
    Wimbledon (ATP)
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Novak Djokovic
    Novak Djokovic
    3
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    6
    4
    L
    07.07.26
    Wimbledon (ATP)
    Felix Auger Aliassime
    Felix Auger Aliassime
    Novak Djokovic
    Novak Djokovic
    2
    3
    610
    712
    6
    3
    3
    6
    77
    64
    64
    710
    W
    05.07.26
    Wimbledon (ATP)
    Roman Safiullin
    Roman Safiullin
    Novak Djokovic
    Novak Djokovic
    1
    3
    66
    78
    3
    6
    6
    3
    3
    6
    W
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    Editorial Prediction

    In this matchup, we believe Musetti will prevent Djokovic from delivering a blowout victory. With age, Novak's speed is noticeably declining, and we think he will struggle considerably against the ambitious Lorenzo this time around. Opting for a victory for the Italian with a +3.5 handicap appears to be the preferred choice for this contest.
    Lorenzo Musetti Handicap (+3,5)
    Published: 24/03/2025, 08:56

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    Betting Tips: Lorenzo Musetti - Novak Djokovic

    Lorenzo Musetti has lost the 1st set:
    musetti-lorenzodjokovic-novakin last 7 matches against Novak Djokovic.
    1st Set Novak Djokovic Win
    Bovada
    -238
    Lorenzo Musetti has lost:
    musetti-lorenzodjokovic-novakin 6 of last 7 matches against Novak Djokovic.
    Novak Djokovic Win
    Bovada
    -286
    Lorenzo Musetti has won over 10.5 games:
    musetti-lorenzoin 7 of last 8 matches.
    Lorenzo Musetti Total Over (10,5)
    MyBookie
    -118
    Under 2.5 sets:
    djokovic-novakin 7 of last 8 Novak Djokovic games.
    Sets Total Under (2,5)
    MyBookie
    -200
    View more facts