Fery vs Fearnley Prediction 26 October 2026
🔊 A purely British derby in the opening round of the ATP 500 in Vienna - always intriguing, especially when the two players know each other's strengths and weaknesses well from Davis Cup matches together. Arthur Fery and Jacob Fearnley meet for a place in the second round, and this match promises to be a classic contest between match practice and tournament freshness.
Head-to-Head
📊 Arthur Fery and Jacob Fearnley have not previously met.
Arthur Fery Player Overview
Arthur Fery is going through an inconsistent spell - 5 wins and 5 losses in his last 10 matches. In his previous match he lost to Borna Gojo in the opening round in Lyon; before that he lost to Karen Khachanov after beating Marin Cilic. His matches average just over 22 games, with three wins without dropping a set and three losses without winning one. He holds serve at a high rate (78%), but double faults are a recurring issue, averaging 3% of points played. His set-winning percentage stands at 45%, which points to a lack of consistent dominance over opponents at this level.
Match Results: Arthur Fery
Jacob Fearnley Player Overview
Jacob Fearnley has hit a good run of form: seven wins from his last ten matches, including a successful qualifying campaign in Vienna and a recent victory over Pablo Carreño Busta. His matches have been notably short, averaging just 18.8 games. He has often wrapped things up quickly - five wins without dropping a set and only two defeats without taking a set in that period. He holds 72% of his service games, has won 70% of his sets, and converts 48% of his break points.
Match Results: Jacob Fearnley
Key factors
- In 12 of Jacob Fearnley's last 14 matches, the total games were under 22.5.
- The average number of games per match is 22.3 for Arthur Fery and 18.8 for Jacob Fearnley.
- Both players frequently finish matches in straight sets: Arthur Fery has 3 straight-set wins and 3 straight-set losses, while Jacob Fearnley has 5 straight-set wins and 2 straight-set losses.
- Jacob Fearnley's set-winning percentage is 70%.
Expected scenario
The most likely scenario is a two-set match without lengthy sets: both players tend to finish matches relatively quickly, and their average game counts stay below the total line even when sets are closely contested. The low probability of a third set further reduces the chances of the total being exceeded.
Total Games Prediction
Total Games - Under 22.5 has landed in 12 of Jacob Fearnley's last 14 matches. Matches involving Fearnley tend not to produce many extended sets or prolonged finishes - the streak reflects a consistent pattern of low game totals.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Recent results from both players suggest a tendency to finish matches fairly quickly: the average number of games played rarely exceeds the chosen line, even when the sets are close. Arthur Fery lacks consistent control over opponents, while Jacob Fearnley tends to win convincingly and rarely lets sets go to tie-breaks. With the trend comfortably on side, the pick is Total Games - Under 25.5.
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Betting Tips: Arthur Fery - Jacob Fearnley
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