Surface:
Hard
Round:
1/16
Luciano Darderi
ITA
ATP - 23
06
:
58
:
34
Matteo Arnaldi
ITA
ATP - 36

Darderi vs Arnaldi Prediction 26 October 2026

    🔊 Luciano Darderi and Matteo Arnaldi meet in the round of 32 at the Vienna tournament. Both players arrive on the back of a run of poor results, and their record on this surface has been inconsistent. The match is played on indoor hard courts, which may add pace to the rallies.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 In head-to-head meetings between Luciano Darderi and Matteo Arnaldi, the record is level at one win apiece.

    Head-to-head statistics Darderi - Arnaldi

    50%
    1 Win
    50%
    1 Win
    18.05.24
    ATP Challenger Turin, Italy Men Singles
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    1
    2
    2
    6
    6
    2
    3
    6
    21.03.22
    ATP Challenger Zadar, Croatia Men Singles
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Matteo Arnaldi
    1
    2
    5
    7
    7
    5
    2
    6
    29.06.20
    National Tennis Tour Italy
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    -
    -
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    Luciano Darderi Player Overview

    Luciano Darderi arrives at this match in inconsistent form: five wins and five losses in his last ten matches. His last three matches all ended in defeat, and in none of them did he take the contest to a deciding set. Darderi frequently loses in straight sets - he has suffered five such defeats in his last ten matches. He wins around 77% of his service games, though his set-winning percentage remains below half at 48%. His average of 26 games per match points to a tendency towards shorter encounters without extended runs.

    Match Results: Luciano Darderi

    21.10.26
    ATP Almaty, Kazakhstan Men Singles
    James Duckworth
    James Duckworth
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    2
    0
    7
    5
    79
    67
    L
    10.10.26
    SHA
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    Stefanos Tsitsipas
    Stefanos Tsitsipas
    0
    2
    3
    6
    4
    6
    L
    02.10.26
    TOK
    Kyrian Jacquet
    Kyrian Jacquet
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    2
    0
    6
    3
    7
    6
    L
    01.10.26
    TOK
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    Casper Ruud
    Casper Ruud
    2
    0
    7
    6
    6
    3
    W
    08.09.26
    USO
    Alexander Zverev
    Alexander Zverev
    Luciano Darderi
    Luciano Darderi
    3
    0
    6
    2
    6
    2
    77
    63
    L
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    Matteo Arnaldi Player Overview

    Matteo Arnaldi's recent results are even less convincing: just three wins from his last ten matches. In two of his last three, he lost without much resistance, and he rarely pushes matches to a third set. Despite a slightly higher service games hold rate (78%), his overall efficiency is low - only 38% of sets won and just one bagel victory in that stretch. Arnaldi is averaging 23.3 games per match, which is close to the minimum for a best-of-three format.

    Match Results: Matteo Arnaldi

    19.10.26
    France Lyon
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    0
    2
    1
    6
    4
    6
    L
    10.10.26
    SHA
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Taylor Fritz
    Taylor Fritz
    0
    2
    5
    7
    4
    6
    L
    08.10.26
    SHA
    Bernard Tomic
    Bernard Tomic
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Matteo Arnaldi
    0
    2
    3
    6
    1
    6
    W
    03.10.26
    TOK
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Matteo Arnaldi
    2
    0
    7
    6
    6
    1
    L
    30.09.26
    TOK
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Rei Sakamoto
    Rei Sakamoto
    2
    1
    2
    6
    6
    4
    6
    4
    W
    Empty
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    Key factors

    • In Luciano Darderi's last 5 best-of-3 matches, the total sets were under 2.5.
    • Both players have lost 0-2 in sets at a high rate over their last 10 matches.
    • Matteo Arnaldi and Luciano Darderi are both in inconsistent form and frequently lose without much resistance.
    • Their head-to-head meetings have not produced any extended matches.

    Expected scenario

    Both players tend to finish their matches in straight sets, rarely going to a decider. Given their current form, a third set looks unlikely - the main scenario is a quick match and Total Sets Under the line.

    Total Games Prediction

    Total Sets - Under 2.5 has landed in each of Luciano Darderi's last 5 best-of-three matches. Darderi consistently finishes his matches in straight sets, and the poor form of both players makes a three-set contest less likely.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    The inconsistent results of both Italians mean their matches rarely go to a third set: most end in straight sets for one player or the other. Luciano Darderi has won five consecutive matches in straight sets, which aligns with the main prediction of a quick finish. The pick is Total Sets - Under 2.5.
    Sets Total Under (2,5)
    Thunderpick
    Place a bet-167
    Published: 26/10/2026, 09:02
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Tennis expert
    128
    4
    90
    222 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Luciano Darderi - Matteo Arnaldi

    Luciano Darderi has lost the 1st set:
    darderi-luciano-1in 9 of last 10 matches.
    1st Set Matteo Arnaldi to Win
    Thunderpick
    -115
    Matteo Arnaldi has lost the 1st set:
    matteo-arnaldiin 5 of last 6 matches.
    1st Set Luciano Darderi to Win
    Bovada
    -105
    Luciano Darderi has won under 13.5 games:
    darderi-luciano-1in last 5 matches.
    Luciano Darderi Total Under (13,5)
    Thunderpick
    -270
    Under 2.5 sets:
    darderi-luciano-1in last 5 Luciano Darderi games.
    Sets Total Under (2,5)
    Thunderpick
    -167
    View more facts