Samuel vs Harris Prediction 26 August 2026
🔊 Toby Samuel and Billy Harris meet in the second round of US Open qualifying on hard courts. It's an all-British affair, with Samuel the favourite - though Harris has a track record of picking up games even against higher-ranked opponents. The serving data and average game counts for both players make this an interesting match to analyse from an individual totals perspective.
Head-to-Head
📊 The pair have met once before, last season, with Toby Samuel coming out on top.
Toby Samuel Player Overview
Toby Samuel arrives in good form, having won seven of his last ten matches. In the previous qualifying round he came through comfortably against Francesco Maestrelli. His service numbers are solid - he holds 73% of his service games and converts 45% of break points. Over those ten matches he has won 58% of games and 71% of sets, giving him control in the majority of his matches. That said, he has not been entirely dominant: he dropped at least one set in three of those ten matches.
Match Results: Toby Samuel
Billy Harris Player Overview
Billy Harris sits lower in the rankings and his recent form is modest - just 5 wins from his last 10 matches. That said, his serve is a genuine weapon: he averages 7.1 aces per match and holds serve at an impressive 80%. In the first round of US Open qualifying he beat Gonzalo Bueno comfortably, and his individual game totals have been trending over the line across recent tournaments. He picks up a solid number of games even in defeat, and the average total games in his matches runs to nearly 26.
Match Results: Billy Harris
Key factors
- Harris has won more than 9.5 games in six consecutive matches.
- Matches involving Harris have averaged 25.8 games.
- Harris has been consistent on serve: 7.1 aces per match and 80% of service games held.
- Samuel has dropped at least one set in three of his last ten matches.
- Harris took a set off Samuel in their head-to-head meeting.
Expected scenario
Toby Samuel is expected to have the better of this match on the back of stronger current form and a higher ranking, but Billy Harris's serve could earn him a decent share of games regardless of the result. The chances of a third set are rated as moderate; the underdog may well take at least one set or reach double figures in total games, given his ability on hard courts.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Toby Samuel's recent form makes him the favourite here, backed by a winning streak and strong numbers on serve and break-point conversion. That said, Billy Harris's game - built above all on a reliable serve - gives him a solid platform to accumulate games regardless of the final result or the ranking gap. Our pick is Billy Harris - Player Total Games Over 8.5.
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Betting Tips: Toby Samuel - Billy Harris
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