Surface:
Hard
Round:
Qualifying Round 2
Andrea Guerrieri
ITA
ATP - 169
2
:
1
Ended
Joel Josef Schwarzler
AUT
ATP - 185

Guerrieri vs Schwarzler Prediction 26 August 2026

Details
Key points
    ITA
    Andrea Guerrieri
    AUT
    Joel Josef Schwarzler
    3
    6
    6
    2
    6
    4
    1
    1

    🔊 Andrea Guerrieri and Josef Schwarzler meet in the second round of US Open qualifying on hard courts. Both players arrive with similar recent records, which makes this an intriguing contest. Neither man holds a clear surface advantage, and their recent results bear that out.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The two players have met just once before, with Josef Schwarzler taking the win.

    Head-to-head statistics Guerrieri - Schwarzler

    50%
    1 Win
    50%
    1 Win
    26.08.26
    USO
    Andrea Guerrieri
    Andrea Guerrieri
    Joel Josef Schwarzler
    Joel Josef Schwarzler
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    4
    6
    1
    09.08.26
    ATP Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Poland Men Singles
    Joel Josef Schwarzler
    Joel Josef Schwarzler
    Andrea Guerrieri
    Andrea Guerrieri
    2
    0
    77
    64
    6
    1
    Empty
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    Andrea Guerrieri Player Overview

    Andrea Guerrieri has gone 6-4 in his last ten matches, a steady run without any notable dips or surges in form. Most recently he came through a US Open qualifying round with confidence, and before that alternated wins and losses on the Challenger circuit. On serve, he holds around three-quarters of his service games - a solid hold rate - though his ace count is lower than his opponent's. His share of sets and games won sits close to half across recent matches, and there is no significant edge in break-point conversion either way. Overall, it is a balanced game without any obvious weaknesses.

    Match Results: Andrea Guerrieri

    29.09.26
    ATP Challenger Porto 2, Portugal Men Singles
    Anton Matusevich
    Anton Matusevich
    Andrea Guerrieri
    Andrea Guerrieri
    1
    2
    4
    6
    6
    4
    0
    6
    W
    24.09.26
    ATP Challenger Saint Tropez, France Men Singles
    Andrea Guerrieri
    Andrea Guerrieri
    Jesper De Jong
    Jesper De Jong
    1
    2
    6
    3
    68
    710
    62
    77
    L
    21.09.26
    ATP Challenger Saint Tropez, France Men Singles
    Andrea Guerrieri
    Andrea Guerrieri
    Francesco Maestrelli
    Francesco Maestrelli
    2
    1
    6
    3
    64
    77
    6
    3
    W
    02.09.26
    USO
    Andrea Guerrieri
    Andrea Guerrieri
    Alex De Minaur
    Alex De Minaur
    0
    3
    2
    6
    2
    6
    4
    6
    L
    27.08.26
    USO
    Aziz Dougaz
    Aziz Dougaz
    Andrea Guerrieri
    Andrea Guerrieri
    0
    2
    2
    6
    4
    6
    W
    Empty
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    Joel Josef Schwarzler Player Overview

    Josef Schwarzler also has six wins from his last ten matches, though that run is punctuated by occasional early-round losses. He came through the first round of US Open qualifying and showed a good level on hard courts. His serve is the stronger weapon: he hits more aces and holds serve at a slightly higher rate than his opponent - around 78%. He edges Guerrieri in sets won (57%), but across the other key metrics the gap is minimal. Overall, the two players look closely matched in terms of consistency and capability.

    Match Results: Joel Josef Schwarzler

    29.09.26
    France Mouilleron-Le-Captif, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Alberto Barroso Campos
    Alberto Barroso Campos
    Joel Josef Schwarzler
    Joel Josef Schwarzler
    0
    2
    3
    6
    5
    7
    W
    22.09.26
    ATP Challenger Plovdiv 4, Bulgaria Men Singles
    Maxime Chazal
    Maxime Chazal
    Joel Josef Schwarzler
    Joel Josef Schwarzler
    2
    1
    2
    6
    6
    4
    711
    69
    L
    03.09.26
    ATP Challenger Manacor, Mallorca, Spain
    Luca Potenza
    Luca Potenza
    Joel Josef Schwarzler
    Joel Josef Schwarzler
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    2
    L
    01.09.26
    ATP Challenger Manacor, Mallorca, Spain
    Max Basing
    Max Basing
    Joel Josef Schwarzler
    Joel Josef Schwarzler
    1
    2
    3
    6
    77
    64
    4
    6
    W
    26.08.26
    USO
    Andrea Guerrieri
    Andrea Guerrieri
    Joel Josef Schwarzler
    Joel Josef Schwarzler
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    4
    6
    1
    L
    Empty
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    Key factors

    • Both players average more than 21 games per match, suggesting they tend to go deep into sets.
    • In their most recent head-to-head meeting the players completed two sets, and both consistently win around half their sets and games.
    • Over their last 10 matches, both players have almost identical win-loss records.
    • Serving and return statistics offer no clear edge to either player.
    • The ranking gap between them is minimal, which points to a closely contested match.

    Expected scenario

    This looks like a tight match - both players have posted similar games and sets won over their recent run of form. A third set is a possibility, though the match could equally go the distance in two long sets.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Both players are in similar form - each has won six of their last ten matches, with no clear edge in serving statistics or service games held. Schwarzler leads the head-to-head, but the overall balance remains even given the minimal ranking gap and the consistency both players have shown. Regardless of the final set score, this looks like a lengthy match with plenty of games played. Our pick is Total Games - Over 22.5.
    Total Over (22,5)
    Odds-154
    Published: 25/08/2026, 19:40
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Tennis expert
    0
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    0 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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