Alcaraz vs Paul Prediction 25 January 2026
🔊 Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul are set to face off in the Round of 16 at the Australian Open on the outdoor hard courts. In the ATP rankings, Alcaraz and Paul are positioned at 1st and 20th, respectively, making the Spanish player the clear favorite with the bookmakers. This match holds significant importance for both athletes, as it not only offers a chance to advance towards the title but also to assert their ambitions for the current season. Carlos aims to solidify his position at the top of the world rankings, while Tommy is eager to prove he can compete with the world's best. The hard court surface is expected to favor an aggressive style of play from both competitors.
Head-to-Head
📊 Throughout their careers, Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul have faced each other on the court 7 times, with the Spanish player leading the head-to-head 5-2.
Head-to-head statistics Alcaraz - Paul
Carlos Alcaraz Player Overview
Carlos Alcaraz is in exceptional form, having won his last five matches in a row. In his most recent outing, he confidently defeated Corentin Moutet with a scoreline of 6-2, 6-4, 6-1. On hard courts, Alcaraz boasts impressive stats: a high service game win percentage of 68% and a break success rate of 42%. His strengths lie in his powerful baseline play and ability to vary the pace. Over the past five matches, he has showcased a perfect balance between offense and defense, dropping just one set. Notably, his win percentage after taking the first set stands at an astounding 100%, underscoring his ability to control the match.
Match Results: Carlos Alcaraz
Tommy Paul Player Overview
Tommy Paul is also in fine form, boasting four wins in his last five matches. His recent victory over Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, with a scoreline of 6-1, 6-1 (retirement), showcased his confidence and consistency on the court. Paul's strengths include his first serve, with a 59% accuracy rate, and his ability to maintain focus during crucial moments, converting 45% of break points. However, against top-tier players, he might lack aggression on return, as reflected in his double fault statistics (5%). Despite this, Tommy has repeatedly demonstrated his ability to adapt to various opponents' playing styles.
Match Results: Tommy Paul
Prediction on the outcome
- Tommy Paul won with a +7.5 games handicap (bo5 series) in last 8 matches.
Prediction on the over/under
- Carlos Alcaraz has won under 19.5 games in 10 of last 11 matches (ATP Australian Open).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The upcoming match promises to be intense, given the high level of preparation from both tournament contenders. Carlos Alcaraz holds an edge with his top ranking and consistent form, having remained unbeaten in his last five matches. However, Tommy Paul could put up a challenge with his strong first serve and ability to endure lengthy rallies. Most likely, the match will conclude in under four sets due to Alcaraz's high level of play-a trend supported by his recent results, finishing with fewer than three sets in nine out of ten encounters. Our prediction is a set total under 3.5.
No comments
Betting Tips: Carlos Alcaraz - Tommy Paul
.svg)
Other predictions
