Surface:
Hard
Round:
1/64
Luka Pavlovic
FRA
ATP - 207
2
:
1
Ended
Juan Pablo Varillas
PER
ATP - 236

Pavlovic vs Varillas Prediction 24 August 2026

Details
The main thing
    FRA
    Luka Pavlovic
    PER
    Juan Pablo Varillas
    6
    63
    7
    2
    3
    77
    5
    1

    🔊 Luka Pavlović and Juan Pablo Varillas open the first round of US Open qualifying. Both players are closely ranked and have posted comparable results on hard courts. Given their current form and recent tournament statistics, this looks like a competitive match.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The head-to-head record between Pavlovich and Varillas stands at one match, which the Frenchman won in three sets.

    Head-to-head statistics Pavlovic - Varillas

    100%
    2 Wins
    0%
    0 Wins
    24.08.26
    USO
    Luka Pavlovic
    Luka Pavlovic
    Juan Pablo Varillas
    Juan Pablo Varillas
    2
    1
    6
    3
    6
    7
    7
    5
    11.04.25
    Mexico Mexico City, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Juan Pablo Varillas
    Juan Pablo Varillas
    Luka Pavlovic
    Luka Pavlovic
    1
    2
    3
    6
    6
    0
    4
    6
    Empty
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    Luka Pavlovic Player Overview

    Luca Pavlovich arrives at US Open qualifying having won six of his last ten matches. His recent challenger results have been mixed - a run to the final in Segovia was followed by two early exits. On serve, he holds 78% of his service games, a solid figure at his level. His break-point conversion rate stands at 32%, suggesting he can trouble opponents on return, though consistency remains an issue.

    Match Results: Luka Pavlovic

    26.08.26
    USO
    Jacob Fearnley
    Jacob Fearnley
    Luka Pavlovic
    Luka Pavlovic
    2
    1
    6
    4
    64
    77
    6
    4
    L
    24.08.26
    USO
    Luka Pavlovic
    Luka Pavlovic
    Juan Pablo Varillas
    Juan Pablo Varillas
    2
    1
    6
    3
    63
    77
    7
    5
    W
    17.08.26
    Challenger Cancun
    Felipe Meligeni Alves
    Felipe Meligeni Alves
    Luka Pavlovic
    Luka Pavlovic
    2
    0
    77
    62
    77
    61
    L
    28.07.26
    ATP Challenger San Marino, San Marino
    Vilius Gaubas
    Vilius Gaubas
    Luka Pavlovic
    Luka Pavlovic
    2
    0
    6
    1
    7
    5
    L
    26.07.26
    Spain Segovia, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Matteo Martineau
    Matteo Martineau
    Luka Pavlovic
    Luka Pavlovic
    1
    2
    4
    6
    6
    3
    1
    6
    W
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    Juan Pablo Varillas Player Overview

    Varillas has won seven of his last ten matches, taking the first set in 70% of them. His serve is slightly less dominant - he has held 74% of his service games - but his break-point conversion rate of 41% means he creates consistent pressure on return. His matches average close to 25 games, and he has won 63% of his sets, a profile that tends to produce tight, extended contests.

    Match Results: Juan Pablo Varillas

    31.08.26
    Italy Como, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Juan Pablo Varillas
    Juan Pablo Varillas
    Jan Kumstat
    Jan Kumstat
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    3
    W
    24.08.26
    USO
    Luka Pavlovic
    Luka Pavlovic
    Juan Pablo Varillas
    Juan Pablo Varillas
    2
    1
    6
    3
    63
    77
    7
    5
    L
    01.08.26
    ATP Challenger San Marino, San Marino
    Mili Poljicak
    Mili Poljicak
    Juan Pablo Varillas
    Juan Pablo Varillas
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    4
    L
    31.07.26
    ATP Challenger San Marino, San Marino
    Juan Pablo Varillas
    Juan Pablo Varillas
    Timofey Skatov
    Timofey Skatov
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    W
    30.07.26
    ATP Challenger San Marino, San Marino
    Francesco Maestrelli
    Francesco Maestrelli
    Juan Pablo Varillas
    Juan Pablo Varillas
    1
    2
    65
    77
    6
    4
    3
    6
    W
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    Key factors

    • Their most recent head-to-head went to three sets.
    • Both players are averaging more than 22 games per match.
    • Both have been winning roughly half the sets and games in their recent matches.
    • Serve and return statistics don't point to a clear favourite.

    Expected scenario

    This match could be a closely contested affair, with neither player likely to dominate. The chances of a third set are rated as moderate, which adds to the case for the total going over the selected line. Both players' games-played statistics support expectations of a high final game count.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Both players consistently feature in long matches: their average games-per-match figures exceed the stated line, and their only head-to-head meeting went to a third set. With neither player holding a clear edge on serve or return, Total Games - Over 20.5 looks the stronger side.
    Total Over (20,5)
    Published: 24/08/2026, 07:53
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Tennis expert
    12
    0
    9
    21 predictions
    Statistics for August 2026

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    Betting Tips: Luka Pavlovic - Juan Pablo Varillas

    Juan Pablo Varillas has lost the 1st set (bo5 series):
    varillas-juan-pabloin 10 of last 11 matches.
    Juan Pablo Varillas has lost the 1st set:
    varillas-juan-pabloin last 4 matches (ATP US Open).
    1st Set Luka Pavlovic Win
    Bovada
    -227
    Juan Pablo Varillas has lost (bo5 series):
    varillas-juan-pabloin last 5 matches.
    Luka Pavlovic Win
    Bovada
    -278
    Juan Pablo Varillas has lost the 2nd set (bo5 series):
    varillas-juan-pabloin last 5 matches.
    2nd Set Luka Pavlovic Win
    -217