Medvedev vs Gorzny Prediction 2 September 2026
🔊 Sebastian Gorzny was arguably the biggest surprise of the opening round at the US Open, as a wild card beating Rafael Collignon, who sits inside the ATP top 40. In the second round he faces a considerably tougher test in world No. 8 Daniil Medvedev. The two players had contrasting first-round experiences: while the American had to grind through five sets against the Belgian, the Russian dismissed Hugo Gaston without dropping a set. Whether Gorzny can avoid the same fate as the Frenchman remains to be seen.
Head-to-Head
📊 Daniil Medvedev and Sebastian Gorzny have no previous meetings on record.
Daniil Medvedev Player Overview
Daniil Medvedev had a poor summer on the North American hard-court swing, finishing with a negative record of 1-3. It was all the more surprising, then, to see him at his sharpest against Hugo Gaston in the first round of the US Open (6-4, 6-2, 6-4), making up for last year's nightmare when he fell at the opening hurdle at the same Major.
His hold percentage has predictably dipped this summer and currently stands at 68. That said, the serve remains a dangerous weapon for the nearly two-metre-tall Russian, and the modest conversion figures reflect the fact that Daniil takes risks not only on his first serve but on his second as well. On return, however, the world No. 8 is far more cautious, dropping well behind the baseline to receive.
Match Results: Daniil Medvedev
Sebastian Gorzny Player Overview
Sebastian Gorzny had not made any notable mark at senior level before the US Open. He had barely any ATP Tour experience to speak of, apart from a first-round loss at Winston-Salem the previous week, where he had entered as a lucky loser after failing to qualify. Even so, the 22-year-old American came through a five-set thriller against Rafael Collignon in the first round of the current Major (3-6, 6-3, 3-6, 6-3, 7-6).
Gorzny's games-won percentage stands at 51, though the level of opposition he has faced is noticeably lower than Medvedev's. His serving numbers look better - he holds serve in 76% of his service games, and his 193 cm frame allows him to put pressure on opponents with a powerful serve, including, as it turns out, higher-ranked ones. Unlike the Russian, Gorzny tends to play aggressively from the baseline too, preferring not to let rallies drag on.
Match Results: Sebastian Gorzny
Key factors
- Sebastian Gorzny played just one ATP-level match before the US Open.
- Medvedev has won 54% of games and 58% of sets across his last ten matches.
- The gap in experience and level of opposition is clear from the rankings alone.
- The Russian spent considerably less energy in his first-round match.
Expected scenario
Gorzny's style is exactly what Medvedev tends to enjoy playing against. The American will look to break through Daniil's defence with powerful attacking play, but Medvedev's flat, low, grinding counter-hitting is likely to force Sebastian into a high number of unforced errors. On top of that, after a four-hour marathon in the first round, Goffin's aggressive game may quickly suffer as fatigue sets in.
⭐ Editor's Pick
This match looks likely to be firmly under Daniil Medvedev's control, with a comfortable three-set win the most probable outcome. Early on, Sebastián Gorzny may try to impose aggressive tennis - coming to the net frequently - buoyed by the emotion of his win over Collignon and the support of the crowd. Medvedev, though, should adapt quickly to his serve from a deep return position, draw him into extended rallies and force him into a stream of unforced errors, compounded by the physical fatigue carried over from the first round. We expect a scoreline close to one-sided, so our pick is Medvedev - Games Handicap -8.5.
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Betting Tips: Daniil Medvedev - Sebastian Gorzny
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