Jacquet vs Nakashima Prediction 22 October 2026
🔊 Kyrian Jacquet caused an upset in Lyon by beating Matteo Berrettini and now faces fifth seed Brandon Nakashima. The American needs two more wins to match his best result at the French indoor event, which dates back to 2023. That said, stopping Jacquet, who has built up considerable momentum, will be far from easy - his winning run stretches to three matches including qualifying, and during the recent Asian swing he produced several notable upsets, so Nakashima's world ranking of 17 is unlikely to intimidate him.
Head-to-Head
📊 Brandon Nakashima leads the head-to-head record: their only meeting ended in his victory. That said, the match took place back in 2019 at junior level.
Head-to-head statistics Jacquet - Nakashima
Kyrian Jacquet Player Overview
Kyrian Jacquet arrives at the second round in fine form, having won seven of his last ten matches. In Lyon he has already won three matches, coming through qualifying without dropping a set and continuing that run in the first round by beating Matteo Berrettini 7-6, 7-5 against the odds. Before that, he performed well on the Asian swing, reaching the semi-finals of the ATP 250 in Hangzhou and the quarter-finals of the ATP 500 in Tokyo, with notable upsets along the way against Etcheverry and Darderi. His hold percentage stands at 82% and his first-serve percentage at 61%. His return game is also solid, with a break-point conversion rate of 36%.
Match Results: Kyrian Jacquet
Brandon Nakashima Player Overview
Brandon Nakashima is ranked 17th but has won only six of his last ten matches. His recent Asian swing was poor, ending with a negative record of 1-2. In the first round of the current tournament he also struggled, beating world No. 76 Hamad Medjedovic only with difficulty - 7-6, 6-7, 6-2. His hold percentage is slightly lower than Jacquet's at 77%, though his average ace count is higher at 12 per match, and his first-serve percentage stands at 62%. His break-point conversion rate is also high at 40%.
Match Results: Brandon Nakashima
Key factors
- Kyrian Jacquet has covered the +2.5 handicap in his last five matches.
- Brandon Nakashima has won 6 of his last 10 matches; Jacquet has won 7 of his last 10.
- Nakashima spent considerably more energy in his first-round match in Lyon.
- Jacquet has won three matches in a row in Lyon.
Expected scenario
Kyrian Jacquet looks capable of making this competitive - keeping the game count close through a solid serve and a run of encouraging results against strong opponents during the Asian swing. A third set cannot be ruled out entirely; both players have the resources for a prolonged contest, though clear dominance from either side seems unlikely.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Kyrian Jacquet's solid form and a consistent run of matches in which he has stayed close in games - even in defeat - suggest he may cover the handicap again. Brandon Nakashima goes in as the clear favourite, backed by his world No. 17 ranking and serving statistics, but his inconsistency on hard courts this autumn gives the underdog a chance of keeping the final margin tight. The pick is Jacquet - Games Handicap +3.5.
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Betting Tips: Kyrian Jacquet - Brandon Nakashima
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