Surface:
Red clay
Round:
Quarterfinal
Marco Trungelliti
ARG
ATP - 90
06
:
47
:
16
Matej Dodig
HRV
ATP - 138

Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig Prediction 23 October 2026

    🔊 In the quarter-finals of the Lisbon Challenger on clay, Marco Trungelliti takes on Matej Dodig. Both players came through the earlier rounds, but their recent results differ noticeably. The match should reveal which of the two is better placed to make the most of their current form.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Marco Trungelliti and Matej Dodig have no previous meetings on record.

    Marco Trungelliti Player Overview

    Marco Trungelliti arrives at this match with mixed results - six wins and four losses over his last ten matches. In his two most recent matches at this tournament he beat Thiago Pereira and Carlo Alberto Caniato, though last week he lost to Francesco Passaro in the quarter-finals of another Challenger. On average he wins just over half of his games (54%) and sets (54%) per match, with a hold percentage of 75%. Despite those numbers, consistency has been an issue: two straight-sets wins alternating with two defeats without taking a set. Over this recent run he has also struggled with break-point conversion, succeeding on only 41% of opportunities.

    Match Results: Marco Trungelliti

    21.10.26
    Lisbon
    Marco Trungelliti
    Marco Trungelliti
    Carlo Alberto Caniato
    Carlo Alberto Caniato
    2
    1
    4
    6
    77
    63
    6
    3
    W
    20.10.26
    Lisbon
    Marco Trungelliti
    Marco Trungelliti
    Tiago Pereira
    Tiago Pereira
    2
    1
    77
    65
    4
    6
    6
    1
    W
    16.10.26
    ATP Challenger Maia, Portugal
    Marco Trungelliti
    Marco Trungelliti
    Francesco Passaro
    Francesco Passaro
    1
    2
    6
    2
    5
    7
    65
    77
    L
    15.10.26
    ATP Challenger Maia, Portugal
    Marco Trungelliti
    Marco Trungelliti
    Milos Karol
    Milos Karol
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    0
    W
    13.10.26
    ATP Challenger Maia, Portugal
    Marco Trungelliti
    Marco Trungelliti
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    2
    1
    4
    6
    6
    1
    6
    4
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Matej Dodig Player Overview

    Matej Dodig is in excellent form, winning 9 of his last 10 matches. He came through his two previous rounds in Lisbon comfortably, and before that reached the semi-finals of a challenger in Maia. His set-winning percentage over this period stands at an impressive 79%, and his game-winning percentage at 62%. He has also taken the first set in 90% of matches, and his level has been high on both serve and return. He has not suffered a heavy defeat in this run, which reflects the consistency of his results.

    Match Results: Matej Dodig

    21.10.26
    Lisbon
    Matej Dodig
    Matej Dodig
    Marco Cecchinato
    Marco Cecchinato
    2
    1
    6
    1
    4
    6
    6
    2
    W
    20.10.26
    Lisbon
    Matej Dodig
    Matej Dodig
    Joao Domingues
    Joao Domingues
    2
    0
    6
    1
    6
    3
    W
    17.10.26
    ATP Challenger Maia, Portugal
    Francesco Passaro
    Francesco Passaro
    Matej Dodig
    Matej Dodig
    2
    1
    5
    7
    6
    1
    6
    4
    L
    16.10.26
    ATP Challenger Maia, Portugal
    Matej Dodig
    Matej Dodig
    Tristan Boyer
    Tristan Boyer
    2
    0
    6
    4
    77
    64
    W
    15.10.26
    ATP Challenger Maia, Portugal
    Matej Dodig
    Matej Dodig
    Lukas Neumayer
    Lukas Neumayer
    2
    1
    6
    4
    4
    6
    6
    3
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Key factors

    • Matej Dodig has won 10 of his last 11 matches.
    • Matej Dodig has shown high consistency in sets and games won.
    • In his last 10 matches, Matej Dodig has nine wins and one defeat.
    • Marco Trungelliti has been less consistent, losing 4 of his last 10 matches.
    • Matej Dodig's sets-won percentage is significantly higher than Marco Trungelliti's.

    Expected scenario

    The match looks to favour Matej Dodig on the basis of his form and key statistics. His strong set-winning record suggests he may build an advantage without the match going to a third set - a scenario that aligns with a prediction on the Croatian to win.

    Match Result Prediction

    Matej Dodig has won 10 of his last 11 matches. That run of results makes him the favourite here against an inconsistent opponent.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Marco Trungelliti has shown inconsistent results despite some individual strong performances. Matej Dodig stands out with ten wins from eleven matches and a high set-winning percentage, giving him a clear advantage across all the key metrics for this pair. The expectation is that the Croatian player controls the match without needing a prolonged fight for each set. The pick is Matej Dodig to Win.
    Matej Dodig to Win
    Odds-137
    Published: 22/10/2026, 11:57
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Tennis expert
    105
    4
    74
    183 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Marco Trungelliti - Matej Dodig

    Matej Dodig has won the 1st set:
    matej-dodigin 10 of last 11 matches.
    1st Set Matej Dodig to Win
    Bovada
    -154
    Matej Dodig has won:
    matej-dodigin 10 of last 11 matches.
    Matej Dodig to Win
    Bovada
    -175
    Over 20.5 games:
    trungelliti-marcoin 18 of last 19 Marco Trungelliti games.
    Total Over (20,5)
    -208
    Matej Dodig has won over 11.5 games:
    matej-dodigin last 11 matches.
    Matej Dodig Total Over (11,5)
    -385
    View more facts