Surface:
Hard
Round:
1/16
Qinwen Zheng
CHN
WTA - 26
2
:
1
Ended
Madison Keys
USA
WTA - 18

Qinwen vs Keys Prediction 22 March 2026

    CHN
    Qinwen Zheng
    USA
    Madison Keys
    4
    6
    6
    2
    6
    2
    4
    1

    🔊 Madison Keys faces off against Qinwen Zheng in the third round of the Miami Masters. This is a crucial match for both players: Zheng is aiming for a spot in the world's top 20, while Keys is striving to maintain her position there. However, it seems that Madison has regained some confidence on home soil, which she lost after dropping significant points due to an early exit at the Australian Open. Can the American fully recover from her slip out of the elite ranks of women's tennis? Let's evaluate her chances in our editorial prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The tennis players have faced off only once before, in Washington in 2023. On that occasion, Keys emerged victorious in straight sets.

    Head-to-head statistics Qinwen - Keys

    50%
    1 Win
    50%
    1 Win
    22.03.26
    MIA
    Qinwen Zheng
    Qinwen Zheng
    Madison Keys
    Madison Keys
    2
    1
    4
    6
    6
    2
    6
    4
    02.08.23
    WAS
    Qinwen Zheng
    Qinwen Zheng
    Madison Keys
    Madison Keys
    0
    2
    5
    7
    1
    6
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Qinwen Zheng Player Overview

    Qinwen Zheng started her season later than usual, kicking off at the WTA 1000 event in Doha, and has yet to find her optimal form, securing victories in only half of her four matches so far. The Chinese player's style is built around a powerful serve and excellent court movement. These factors combined enable her to win approximately 70% of points on her service games. However, as the season began, issues with inconsistency became apparent, with unforced errors occurring more frequently than the tour average of 6% in the women's circuit.

    Match Results: Qinwen Zheng

    03.09.26
    USO
    Qinwen Zheng
    Qinwen Zheng
    Yulia Putintseva
    Yulia Putintseva
    2
    1
    6
    4
    2
    6
    6
    1
    W
    31.08.26
    USO
    Qinwen Zheng
    Qinwen Zheng
    Kristina Liutova
    Kristina Liutova
    2
    1
    4
    6
    6
    3
    6
    1
    W
    27.08.26
    USO
    Qinwen Zheng
    Qinwen Zheng
    Elena Pridankina
    Elena Pridankina
    2
    1
    6
    4
    3
    6
    6
    0
    W
    26.08.26
    USO
    Qinwen Zheng
    Qinwen Zheng
    Clara Burel
    Clara Burel
    2
    0
    6
    1
    7
    5
    W
    24.08.26
    USO
    Qinwen Zheng
    Qinwen Zheng
    Xiaodi You
    Xiaodi You
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Madison Keys Player Overview

    Madison Keys started the season strong, ahead of her upcoming opponent, but her campaign saw her drop out of the world's top ten following an early exit from the Australian Open, which she won last year. However, in the first round of the Miami Open, we witnessed the Madison of old as she delivered a "bagel" to Elena-Gabriela Ruse (6-0, 6-3). Keys is renowned for her powerful serve and aggressive baseline shots, making her an ideal competitor on hard courts. Additionally, she's effective on return, converting 56% of her break points.

    Match Results: Madison Keys

    03.09.26
    USO
    Madison Keys
    Madison Keys
    Anna Bondar
    Anna Bondar
    2
    1
    5
    7
    6
    4
    710
    65
    W
    01.09.26
    USO
    Madison Keys
    Madison Keys
    Alina Korneeva
    Alina Korneeva
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    4
    W
    21.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Sara Bejlek
    Sara Bejlek
    Madison Keys
    Madison Keys
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    4
    77
    65
    L
    19.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Madison Keys
    Madison Keys
    Xiyu Wang
    Xiyu Wang
    2
    0
    77
    63
    6
    4
    W
    18.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Katerina Siniakova
    Katerina Siniakova
    Madison Keys
    Madison Keys
    0
    2
    1
    6
    3
    6
    W
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    Prediction on the outcome

    Trends
    • Qinwen Zheng won with a +4.5 games handicap in 21 of last 22 matches.
    👉Prediction: Qinwen Zheng Handicap (+4,5)(odds: 1.45)

    Prediction on the over/under

    Trends
    • Under 21.5 games in last 5 Qinwen Zheng games (WTA Miami).
    👉Prediction: Total Under (21,5)(odds: 1.97)

    Correct score prediction

    Trends
    • Qinwen Zheng has won 2:0 in 4 of last 5 matches (WTA Miami).
    👉Prediction: Correct Score (2:0)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Analyzing the current form and statistics of both tennis players, we can anticipate a likely scenario for the match. Zheng Qinwen started her season late and has yet to find her rhythm on the court. Her struggles with consistency have become apparent this year due to frequent unforced errors. Madison Keys, on the other hand, showcased a return to her former level in Miami, dominating Elena-Gabriela Ruse with her key strengths-powerful serves and effective returns. Remembering how their only head-to-head encounter ended, we anticipate that the upcoming match will also conclude with a total sets under 2.5.

    Sets Total Under (2,5)
    Published: 21/03/2026, 20:39

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    Betting Tips: Qinwen Zheng - Madison Keys

    Madison Keys has won the 1st set:
    keys-madisonin 6 of last 7 matches.
    1st Set Madison Keys Win
    Bovada
    -135
    Under 2.5 sets:
    zheng-qinwenin last 5 Qinwen Zheng games (WTA Miami).
    keys-madisonin 6 of last 7 Madison Keys games.
    Sets Total Under (2,5)
    -189
    Madison Keys has won under 13.5 games:
    keys-madisonin 15 of last 16 matches.
    Madison Keys Total Under (13,5)
    -278
    Under 25.5 games:
    keys-madisonin last 7 Madison Keys games.
    Total Under (25,5)
    -213
    View more facts