Surface:
Hard
Round:
1/16
Roman Safiullin
RUS
ATP - 103
2
:
0
Ended
Sebastian Ofner
AUT
ATP - 127

Safiullin vs Ofner Prediction 18 August 2026

Details
The main thing
    RUS
    Roman Safiullin
    AUT
    Sebastian Ofner
    6
    6
    2
    3
    4
    0

    🔊 In the first round of the Challenger in Cancun, Roman Safiullin will play against Sebastian Ofner. The match will be played on outdoor hard court, where both players are well familiar with the surface. The encounter stands out for a clear contrast in the current form of the participants.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The two players have met twice, with the head-to-head record level - one win each. However, in their most recent meeting Safiullin came out on top, winning 2:0.

    Head-to-head statistics Safiullin - Ofner

    67%
    2 Wins
    33%
    1 Win
    18.08.26
    Challenger Cancun
    Roman Safiullin
    Roman Safiullin
    Sebastian Ofner
    Sebastian Ofner
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    4
    25.04.23
    Spain, Madrid
    Roman Safiullin
    Roman Safiullin
    Sebastian Ofner
    Sebastian Ofner
    2
    0
    6
    4
    7
    6
    30.10.20
    ATP Challenger Hamburg, Germany Men Singles
    Roman Safiullin
    Roman Safiullin
    Sebastian Ofner
    Sebastian Ofner
    1
    2
    6
    7
    6
    4
    4
    6
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    Roman Safiullin Player Overview

    Roman Safiullin comes into the match in excellent form - 8 wins in his last 10 matches. Recent results include a fourth-round run at Wimbledon and wins over opponents such as Botic Van de Zandschulp and João Fonseca. Safiullin wins 83% of his service games, which confirms a high level of serve hold on hard courts. In addition, his break-point conversion rate stands at 40%, and he has not been bagelled once in his last ten matches. This set of statistics speaks to his consistency and ability to control the course of a match against virtually any opponent.

    Match Results: Roman Safiullin

    31.08.26
    USO
    Roman Safiullin
    Roman Safiullin
    Carlos Alcaraz
    Carlos Alcaraz
    0
    3
    4
    6
    4
    6
    4
    6
    L
    24.08.26
    WIN
    Roman Safiullin
    Roman Safiullin
    Hugo Grenier
    Hugo Grenier
    1
    2
    66
    78
    6
    4
    3
    6
    L
    21.08.26
    Challenger Cancun
    Roman Safiullin
    Roman Safiullin
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Hubert Hurkacz
    0
    2
    4
    6
    3
    6
    L
    20.08.26
    Challenger Cancun
    Roman Safiullin
    Roman Safiullin
    Stan Wawrinka
    Stan Wawrinka
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    4
    W
    18.08.26
    Challenger Cancun
    Roman Safiullin
    Roman Safiullin
    Sebastian Ofner
    Sebastian Ofner
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    4
    W
    Empty
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    Sebastian Ofner Player Overview

    Sebastian Ofner is on a prolonged losing streak - he has dropped all five of his most recent matches, and has won only three out of ten games overall. His hold rate is below average - only 78% of service games won, and his break-point conversion rate stands at 35%. Problems with winning sets are particularly noticeable: only one of his last ten matches ended without him dropping a set. Recent performances are also discouraging: three consecutive losses even in qualifying at major tournaments.

    Match Results: Sebastian Ofner

    01.09.26
    ATP Challenger Manacor, Mallorca, Spain
    Sebastian Ofner
    Sebastian Ofner
    Edas Butvilas
    Edas Butvilas
    1
    1
    6
    2
    0
    6
    0
    3
    L
    25.08.26
    USO
    Sebastian Ofner
    Sebastian Ofner
    Kei Nishikori
    Kei Nishikori
    1
    2
    1
    6
    6
    2
    2
    6
    L
    18.08.26
    Challenger Cancun
    Roman Safiullin
    Roman Safiullin
    Sebastian Ofner
    Sebastian Ofner
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    4
    L
    12.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Marco Trungelliti
    Marco Trungelliti
    Sebastian Ofner
    Sebastian Ofner
    2
    1
    4
    6
    6
    4
    77
    64
    L
    01.08.26
    Canada Montreal
    Jacob Fearnley
    Jacob Fearnley
    Sebastian Ofner
    Sebastian Ofner
    2
    0
    77
    63
    6
    2
    L
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    Key factors

    • Sebastian Ofner has lost 5 matches in a row.
    • Roman Safiullin has won 8 of his last 10 matches.
    • Safiullin wins 83% of his service games compared to 78% for Ofner.
    • In head-to-head meetings, Safiullin won their last match without dropping a set.
    • Ofner has a low set-winning percentage over his last 10 matches.

    Expected scenario

    The match scenario is built around Safuillin's advantage in form and key performance metrics. His consistent serve and high efficiency allow him to control most rallies. Given Ofner's frequent straight-set losses and low percentage of sets won, the probability of a third set looks low.

    Match Outcome Prediction

    A prolonged losing streak points to serious problems with Ofner's form and confidence heading into this tournament. This strengthens the case for the Russian odds-on favourite.

    ⭐ Editor's prediction

    Safiullin's current form significantly outperforms his opponent's: eight wins without a single bagel defeat confirm his consistency both when holding serve and converting break points. Given Ofner's prolonged losing streak, the bet seems obvious. The pick is Roman Safiullin to win. Wait, I need to redo this without Cyrillic characters slipping in.
    Roman Safiullin Win
    Published: 18/08/2026, 00:24
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Tennis expert
    11
    0
    5
    16 predictions
    Statistics for August 2026

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    Betting Tips: Roman Safiullin - Sebastian Ofner

    Roman Safiullin has won the 2nd set:
    safiullin-romanin 5 of last 6 matches.
    Sebastian Ofner has lost the 2nd set:
    ofner-sebastianin last 5 matches.
    2nd Set Roman Safiullin Win
    -154
    Sebastian Ofner has lost:
    ofner-sebastianin last 5 matches.
    Roman Safiullin Win
    Bovada
    -164
    Roman Safiullin has won over 11.5 games:
    safiullin-romanin 19 of last 20 matches.
    Roman Safiullin Total Over (11,5)
    -370
    Roman Safiullin won with a +1.5 sets handicap:
    safiullin-romanin 19 of last 20 matches.
    Roman Safiullin Sets Handicap (+1,5)
    -400