Surface:
Red clay
Round:
Semifinal
Jannik Sinner
ITA
ATP - 1
2
:
1
Ended
Daniil Medvedev
RUS
ATP - 9

Sinner vs Medvedev Prediction 15 May 2026

Details
The main thing
    ITA
    Jannik Sinner
    RUS
    Daniil Medvedev
    6
    5
    6
    2
    2
    7
    4
    1

    🔊 Jannik Sinner and Daniil Medvedev are set to face off in the semifinals of a major tennis tournament in Rome. The two players currently sit at No. 1 and No. 9 in the world rankings, respectively, which is why bookmakers are heavily favoring the Italian star. You’ll find a detailed analysis and our prediction for this match in the article below.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Jannik Sinner and Daniil Medvedev have faced each other 17 times, with the Italian holding a 10-7 edge in their head-to-head record. Notably, they've never met on clay before-this will be their first-ever showdown on this surface.

    📊 Jannik Sinner and Daniil Medvedev have faced each other 17 times, with the Italian leading the head-to-head 10-7. Notably, they've never squared off on clay before-this will be their first-ever encounter on this surface.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    61%
    11 Wins
    39%
    7 Wins
    15.05.26
    ROM
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    2
    1
    6
    2
    5
    7
    6
    4
    15.03.26
    USA Indian Wells
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    0
    2
    6
    7
    6
    7
    14.11.24
    Turin, Italy
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    4
    16.10.24
    Riyadh Exhibition
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    0
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    10.10.24
    SHA
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    2
    0
    6
    1
    6
    4
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Jannik Sinner Player Overview

    🎾 Sinner keeps racking up victories, and with his perennial rival Carlos Alcaraz sidelined by injury, he stands as the clear favorite at every tournament, including Rome. He’s yet to drop a match on clay this season-15 straight wins. Last year in Rome, he lost the final to Alcaraz, but now he has a golden opportunity to lift the trophy.

    🔔 On his way to the final, Sinner hasn’t dropped a set, and there’s been little reason to believe he would-he’s looked in cruise control, dispatching every opponent with ease. In the quarterfinals, Jannik comfortably saw off Rublev (6-2, 6-4). Despite landing just 49% of his first serves in that match, the Italian still fired 4 aces.

    Match Results: Jannik Sinner

    28.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Juan Manuel Cerundolo
    Juan Manuel Cerundolo
    2
    3
    6
    3
    6
    2
    5
    7
    1
    6
    1
    6
    L
    26.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Clement Tabur
    Clement Tabur
    3
    0
    6
    1
    6
    3
    6
    4
    W
    17.05.26
    ROM
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Casper Ruud
    Casper Ruud
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    W
    15.05.26
    ROM
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    2
    1
    6
    2
    5
    7
    6
    4
    W
    14.05.26
    ROM
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    4
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Daniil Medvedev Player Overview

    🎾 Medvedev’s performances on clay have consistently raised questions, and it’s not just a matter of this season’s stats. The Russian has openly criticized his own game on this surface, and the numbers back it up. With seven matches on clay this year and just five wins, his record pales in comparison to Jannik’s fifteen victories.

    🔔 Medvedev often finds himself dragged into three-set battles, struggling to close them out. Clay simply doesn’t suit the Russian’s style-a fact evident both in his play and in his overall results. In the semifinals, Medvedev narrowly avoided an upset against world No. 94 Martin Landaluce, dropping the opening set before regrouping to take the next two.

    Match Results: Daniil Medvedev

    26.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Adam Walton
    Adam Walton
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    3
    2
    6
    2
    1
    6
    6
    1
    1
    6
    6
    4
    L
    15.05.26
    ROM
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    2
    1
    6
    2
    5
    7
    6
    4
    L
    14.05.26
    ROM
    Martin Landaluce
    Martin Landaluce
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    1
    2
    6
    1
    4
    6
    5
    7
    W
    12.05.26
    ROM
    Thiago Agustin Tirante
    Thiago Agustin Tirante
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    0
    2
    3
    6
    2
    6
    W
    11.05.26
    ROM
    Pablo Llamas Ruiz
    Pablo Llamas Ruiz
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    1
    2
    6
    3
    4
    6
    2
    6
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    👀 Expected Match Scenario

    The Italian is tipped to make an immediate impact, applying early pressure on his opponent’s serve. Given Daniil’s recent struggles on serve, there’s every chance he drops games in both the first and second sets. This one shouldn’t go the distance-expect a straight-sets outcome.

    Editor’s Prediction

    Medvedev typically relies on his serve, but on clay it’s far less effective-and considering Sinner’s return game, the Russian looks almost powerless here. It’s tough to find any real arguments in Medvedev’s favour against Sinner’s outstanding form right now. We expect Sinner to seal a confident victory in straight sets, and this match shouldn’t turn into a marathon-back the under 19.5 games in total.
    Our choice
    Total Under (19.5) at odds of -133*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (15 May 2026, 10:17)

    Betting Tips: Jannik Sinner - Daniil Medvedev

    Jannik Sinner has won
    sinner-jannikmedvedev-daniilin 10 of last 11 matches against Daniil Medvedev.
    sinner-jannikin 47 of last 48 matches.
    Jannik Sinner Win
    Bovada
    -1667
    Jannik Sinner has won the 1st set
    sinner-jannikmedvedev-daniilin last 7 matches against Daniil Medvedev.
    sinner-jannikin 26 of last 27 matches.
    sinner-jannikin last 4 matches (ATP Rome).
    1st Set Jannik Sinner Win
    Bovada
    -769
    Daniil Medvedev has won the 2nd set
    medvedev-daniilin 5 of last 6 matches.
    2nd Set Daniil Medvedev Win
    +450
    Jannik Sinner has won the 2nd set
    sinner-jannikmedvedev-daniilin last 4 matches against Daniil Medvedev.
    sinner-jannikin 47 of last 48 matches.
    sinner-jannikin last 4 matches (ATP Rome).
    2nd Set Jannik Sinner Win
    -667
    View more facts