Surface:
Hard
Round:
Final
Daniil Medvedev
RUS
ATP - 11
0
:
2
Ended
Jannik Sinner
ITA
ATP - 2

Medvedev vs Sinner Prediction 15 March 2026

    RUS
    Daniil Medvedev
    ITA
    Jannik Sinner
    66
    64
    0
    78
    77
    2

    🔊 In the final of the men's tennis tournament at Indian Wells, Daniil Medvedev and Jannik Sinner will face off. In the ATP Tour rankings, they hold the 11th and 2nd spots, respectively, making the Italian player the bookmakers' favorite in this matchup. Can Medvedev find a way to challenge the world number two? Let's delve into the details.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Daniil Medvedev and Jannik Sinner have faced each other 16 times, with the Italian holding a 9-7 lead in their head-to-head. Their most recent encounter was at the ATP Finals 2024, where Sinner defeated his opponent in straight sets.

    Head-to-head statistics Medvedev - Sinner

    39%
    7 Wins
    61%
    11 Wins
    15.05.26
    ROM
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    2
    1
    6
    2
    5
    7
    6
    4
    15.03.26
    USA Indian Wells
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    0
    2
    6
    7
    6
    7
    14.11.24
    Turin, Italy
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    4
    16.10.24
    Riyadh Exhibition
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    0
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    10.10.24
    SHA
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    2
    0
    6
    1
    6
    4
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    Daniil Medvedev Player Overview

    🎾 Medvedev has reached the final here twice (2023 and 2024), only to be defeated by Alcaraz on both occasions. However, this time his nemesis is out of the picture, as Daniil overcame him in the previous round. Despite this, the challenge remains formidable. It's worth noting that the Russian recently claimed victory at the Dubai tournament, extending his current winning streak to 10 matches.

    🔔 In Indian Wells, Medvedev has wrapped up each of his matches in straight sets, showcasing his exceptional physical condition. In the semifinals, Daniil dispatched Carlos Alcaraz with a scoreline of 6-3, 7-6. During that encounter, his first serve wasn't particularly accurate, hitting just 59% of targets, yet he managed to win 64% of those points and delivered 4 aces.

    Match Results: Daniil Medvedev

    25.08.26
    WIN
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Martin Damm
    Martin Damm
    0
    2
    5
    7
    3
    6
    L
    18.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Brandon Nakashima
    Brandon Nakashima
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    2
    1
    63
    77
    77
    64
    6
    1
    L
    16.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Marco Trungelliti
    Marco Trungelliti
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    0
    2
    4
    6
    5
    7
    W
    05.08.26
    Canada Montreal
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Botic Van De Zandschulp
    Botic Van De Zandschulp
    0
    2
    3
    6
    6
    7
    L
    03.07.26
    Wimbledon (ATP)
    Jan-Lennard Struff
    Jan-Lennard Struff
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    3
    0
    77
    64
    77
    65
    7
    5
    L
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    Jannik Sinner Player Overview

    🎾 Sinner is set to play in the final of the Indian Wells tournament for the first time, having previously been halted at the semifinal stage twice. This year, the Italian tennis player boasts a solid record with 12 wins and 3 losses. If he triumphs in the tournament, he could slightly close the gap on world number one Carlos Alcaraz in the global rankings.

    🔔 Sinner has wrapped up all his matches in this tournament in straight sets, facing challenges only in the round of 16 against Brazilian Joao Fonseca (7-6, 7-6). In the semifinals, Jannik confidently defeated Alexander Zverev (6-2, 6-4), packing up his opponent's racket in under an hour and a half. In that encounter, the Italian delivered 8 aces and achieved a 57% first serve accuracy.

    Match Results: Jannik Sinner

    12.07.26
    Wimbledon (ATP)
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Alexander Zverev
    Alexander Zverev
    3
    1
    67
    79
    77
    62
    6
    3
    6
    4
    W
    10.07.26
    Wimbledon (ATP)
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Novak Djokovic
    Novak Djokovic
    3
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    6
    4
    W
    07.07.26
    Wimbledon (ATP)
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Jan-Lennard Struff
    Jan-Lennard Struff
    3
    0
    7
    5
    77
    64
    6
    3
    W
    05.07.26
    Wimbledon (ATP)
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Shintaro Mochizuki
    Shintaro Mochizuki
    3
    0
    6
    3
    7
    6
    6
    3
    W
    03.07.26
    Wimbledon (ATP)
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Jenson Brooksby
    Jenson Brooksby
    3
    0
    6
    4
    6
    3
    6
    4
    W
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    Editor's Prediction

    Bookmakers are almost certain of Sinner's victory, which seems rather odd given Medvedev's recent performances on the tour, especially his match against Alcaraz. Daniil's serve is currently as effective as Sinner's, and he feels quite confident on the courts of Indian Wells. We believe the Russian will definitely put up a fight, so we're backing Medvedev with a +5 handicap.

    Daniil Medvedev Handicap (+5)
    Published: 15/03/2026, 08:50

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    Betting Tips: Daniil Medvedev - Jannik Sinner

    Daniil Medvedev has lost the 1st set:
    medvedev-daniilsinner-jannikin 9 of last 10 matches against Jannik Sinner.
    Jannik Sinner has won the 1st set:
    sinner-jannikin 17 of last 18 matches.
    sinner-jannikin last 5 matches (ATP Indian Wells).
    1st Set Jannik Sinner Win
    Bovada
    -312
    Daniil Medvedev has won the 1st set:
    medvedev-daniilin 9 of last 10 matches.
    medvedev-daniilin last 5 matches (ATP Indian Wells).
    1st Set Daniil Medvedev Win
    Bovada
    +225
    Daniil Medvedev has won:
    medvedev-daniilin 9 of last 10 matches.
    medvedev-daniilin last 5 matches (ATP Indian Wells).
    Daniil Medvedev Win
    Bovada
    +325
    Daniil Medvedev has lost:
    medvedev-daniilsinner-jannikin 9 of last 10 matches against Jannik Sinner.
    Jannik Sinner has won:
    sinner-jannikin 25 of last 26 matches.
    sinner-jannikin last 5 matches (ATP Indian Wells).
    Jannik Sinner Win
    MyBookie
    -400
    View more facts