Berrettini vs Rune Prediction 16 January 2025

Is the sportbooks' assessment fair that there is no clear favorite in the second-round clash of the Australian Open between Matteo Berrettini and Holger Rune? Perhaps, yes. In all head-to-head battles, it never ended in a rout, which was considered in our prediction based on useful information.

Matteo Berrettini

Berrettini made it far in Melbourne a few years ago (top-4). However, he is not close to those conditions now. Due to frequent injuries, Matteo has to approach matters with utmost caution, which prevents him from performing consistently over the long haul. Yesterday, the Italian spent exactly three hours dealing with Cameron Norrie, playing brilliantly in service games (0 breaks, 32 aces, and 15% points lost on the first attempt). Previously, the athlete left Brisbane at the hands of Jordan Thompson, which did not lead to a deterioration in morale.

Holger Rune

Rune also does not boast exemplary stability, which does not allow him to end a two-year title drought. Before the break, Holger almost conquered the Masters in Paris (semifinal), but failed to break Alexander Zverev's resistance. On these courts, the Dane lost two sets to Zhizhen Zhang, marking 62 actively won points against 39 unforced errors. The Scandinavian has not yet come close to winning a major, having only made it to the quarterfinals of Roland Garros and Wimbledon.

Editorial Prediction

In this pair, Rune looks slightly more favorable. In both personal meetings of the tennis players, which took place in 2024, Berrettini was left empty-handed, and we believe that he will once again make a series of unforgivable mistakes in critical situations. Victory for the representative from Denmark is the preferred option for the match.