Sakkari vs Kostyuk Prediction 13 October 2026
🔊 Maria Sakkari, a former semi-finalist at the Wuhan Masters, will be the first player from the opening stage of the tournament to contest a second-round match, where she faces Marta Kostyuk. Both players are ranked inside the top 35 in the world and are closely matched on outdoor hard courts, where their head-to-head record is level. The match looks competitive - the statistics between the two are tight. All the more interesting, then, whether Sakkari can pull off an upset despite being the clear underdog according to the bookmakers.
Head-to-Head
📊 Head-to-head, the two players are level at two wins apiece. None of their matches has finished in fewer than 19 games, and the last two went to three sets.
Head-to-head statistics Sakkari - Kostyuk
Maria Sakkari Player Overview
Maria Sakkari arrives in the second round with five wins from her last ten matches - an inconsistent but competitive run of form. She opened the tournament with a straightforward win over Donna Vekic (6-4, 6-2), and before that reached the quarter-finals of the Singapore 500. Over this stretch of the season her numbers are solid: she holds 68% of her service games and wins just over half of all games played (51%). Her set-winning percentage stands at 52%, and she converts 41% of break points. Despite some issues with double faults, Sakkari remains competitive through a balance between her serve and return.
Match Results: Maria Sakkari
Marta Kostyuk Player Overview
Marta Kostyuk is ranked 10th in the world and has won six of her last ten matches. She had a solid North American swing, reaching the second week at both Masters 1000 events in Toronto and Cincinnati, as well as at the US Open. Kostyuk holds serve at 67% and is effective on return, converting more than half of her return opportunities (56%). Her set-winning percentage is also higher, at 64%. She edges her upcoming opponent on average scoring, though the margin is not significant - most of her matches are closely contested.
Match Results: Marta Kostyuk
Key factors
- Maria Sakkari has covered the +4.5 games handicap in 7 of her last 8 matches.
- The head-to-head record is level at two wins apiece.
- The average number of games per match involving both players exceeds 21.
- Maria Sakkari's sets and games won statistics are comparable to her opponent's.
Expected scenario
Each set looks likely to be competitive, with neither player clearly dominant. The average total games in matches involving these two tends to stay above 20, and their head-to-head record reflects an even balance between them. In that context, the margin may well remain small, which suggests Maria Sakkari could continue her run of covering the positive games handicap.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Maria Sakkari's current form allows her to compete with even top-ranked opponents - the overall statistics and hold percentages support this. Her head-to-head matches with Marta Kostyuk have been fairly even, and the average total in those meetings has stayed above the WTA average. Given that scenario, it is hard to imagine a large gap on the scoreboard even if the Ukrainian favourite wins. We suggest backing the underdog: Sakkari - Games Handicap +4.5.
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Betting Tips: Maria Sakkari - Marta Kostyuk
in last 4 matches against Marta Kostyuk..svg)
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