Zhukayev vs Alkaya Prediction 12 August 2026

Details
The main thing
    KAZ
    Beibit Zhukayev
    TUR
    Mert Alkaya
    3
    4
    0
    6
    6
    2

    🔊 In the Round of 16 of the challenger in Astana, Beibut Zhukayev and Mert Alkaya will meet. Both players are competing on outdoor hard court, where their statistics do not highlight a clear favorite in terms of serve or long sets. The upcoming match promises to be pragmatic from a gameplay scenario perspective.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Zhukayev and Alkaya have never played each other before, so head-to-head record cannot influence the outlook of this match.

    Head-to-head statistics Zhukayev - Alkaya

    0%
    0 Wins
    100%
    1 Win
    12.08.26
    Kazakhstan Astana, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Beibit Zhukayev
    Beibit Zhukayev
    Mert Alkaya
    Mert Alkaya
    0
    2
    3
    6
    4
    6
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Beibit Zhukayev Player Overview

    Beibut Zhukayev comes into the match with 6 wins in his last 10 games. In the previous round of the tournament he beat Amir Omарkhanov, which adds confidence heading into this encounter. His average service games won percentage stands at 78%, which can be considered a solid figure for the challenger level, though it does not provide an overwhelming advantage - his overall points won percentage over the last 10 matches is just 51%. On average, Zhukayev's matches fall roughly within the total line range - around 24 games - and he has recorded five straight-sets wins during this period, indicating that two-set outcomes are common for him.

    Match Results: Beibit Zhukayev

    12.08.26
    Kazakhstan Astana, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Beibit Zhukayev
    Beibit Zhukayev
    Mert Alkaya
    Mert Alkaya
    0
    2
    3
    6
    4
    6
    L
    11.08.26
    Ended
    Amir Omarkhanov
    Amir Omarkhanov
    Beibit Zhukayev
    Beibit Zhukayev
    0
    2
    3
    6
    4
    6
    26.04.26
    ATP Challenger Jiujiang, China Men Singles
    Beibit Zhukayev
    Beibit Zhukayev
    Yusuke Takahashi
    Yusuke Takahashi
    1
    2
    67
    79
    77
    64
    2
    6
    L
    21.04.26
    Challenger Gwangju
    Liam Broady
    Liam Broady
    Beibit Zhukayev
    Beibit Zhukayev
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    1
    L
    20.04.26
    Challenger Gwangju
    Beibit Zhukayev
    Beibit Zhukayev
    Hiroki Moriya
    Hiroki Moriya
    2
    0
    79
    67
    6
    4
    W
    Empty
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    Mert Alkaya Player Overview

    Mert Alkaya has won only four of his last ten matches and is alternating between successful and poor performances. In the first round of the current tournament he got past Siddharth Rawat, but before that he lost to Kenta Miyeshi. On his serve Alkaya wins roughly two thirds of games (64%), which points more to an average level of serve hold for the professional tour. At the same time his matches rarely go long: the average number of games is just above twenty, and four defeats came by a bagel. This confirms a tendency toward short matches without extended sets.

    Match Results: Mert Alkaya

    14.08.26
    Kazakhstan Astana, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Khumoyun Sultanov
    Khumoyun Sultanov
    Mert Alkaya
    Mert Alkaya
    2
    0
    77
    65
    6
    3
    L
    12.08.26
    Kazakhstan Astana, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Beibit Zhukayev
    Beibit Zhukayev
    Mert Alkaya
    Mert Alkaya
    0
    2
    3
    6
    4
    6
    W
    11.08.26
    Kazakhstan Astana, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Rawat Sidharth
    Rawat Sidharth
    Mert Alkaya
    Mert Alkaya
    0
    2
    2
    6
    4
    6
    W
    06.08.26
    ATP Challenger Istanbul II, Turkey
    Kenta Miyoshi
    Kenta Miyoshi
    Mert Alkaya
    Mert Alkaya
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    2
    L
    04.08.26
    ATP Challenger Istanbul II, Turkey
    Saba Purtseladze
    Saba Purtseladze
    Mert Alkaya
    Mert Alkaya
    0
    2
    62
    77
    4
    6
    W
    Empty
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    Key factors

    • In 6 of Mert Alkay's last 7 matches, the total was under 23.5 games.
    • The average number of games in both players' matches is close to the 23.5 line.
    • Neither player has a pronounced serving advantage, which reduces the likelihood of extended sets.
    • The bagel win and loss statistics point to frequent two-set matches.

    Expected scenario

    A two-set scenario is expected with a low overall game count: both players often finish matches quickly and rarely play long sets. The probability of a third set is assessed as low, so the under fits well with this kind of development.

    Total Prediction

    Alcaya consistently plays short matches - this directly affects the overall total in the match against Zhukayev and increases the probability of the under hitting.

    ⭐ Editor's prediction

    Zhukaev's form looks more consistent, but both players tend to finish matches quickly without a third set or long tie-breaks. The serve level of both players supports an expectation of no extended stretches during the match. Given this combination of statistics, a bet on a limited number of games played looks justified. The pick is total games under 23.5.
    Total Under (23,5)
    Published: 11/08/2026, 16:11
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Tennis and football specialist
    302
    0
    221
    523 predictions
    Statistics for August 2026

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    Betting Tips: Beibit Zhukayev - Mert Alkaya

    Beibit Zhukayev has won the 2nd set:
    zhukayev-beibitin 6 of last 7 matches.
    2nd Set Beibit Zhukayev Win
    +117
    Mert Alkaya has won under 13.5 games:
    alkaya-mertin 6 of last 7 matches.
    Mert Alkaya Total Under (13,5)
    -217
    Under 2.5 sets:
    alkaya-mertin 6 of last 7 Mert Alkaya games.
    Sets Total Under (2,5)
    -185
    Under 23.5 games:
    alkaya-mertin 6 of last 7 Mert Alkaya games.
    Total Under (23,5)
    -145
    View more facts