Surface:
Hard
Round:
Semifinal
Daniil Medvedev
RUS
ATP - 18
1
:
2
Ended
Arthur Rinderknech
FRA
ATP - 54

Medvedev vs Rinderknech Prediction 11 October 2025

    RUS
    Daniil Medvedev
    FRA
    Arthur Rinderknech
    6
    2
    4
    1
    4
    6
    6
    2

    🔊 In the second semifinal of the men's tennis tournament in Shanghai, Daniil Medvedev and Arthur Rinderknech will face off. In the ATP rankings, these competitors hold the 18th and 54th spots, respectively. The Russian tennis player is the bookmakers' favorite in this clash. But can he truly demonstrate his superiority on the court? You can find a prediction for the outcome of this match in our article.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 These opponents have faced each other just once before. That match took place at the 2022 US Open, where the Russian tennis player secured a commanding victory in straight sets.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    50%
    1 Win
    50%
    1 Win
    11.10.25
    SHA
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Arthur Rinderknech
    Arthur Rinderknech
    1
    2
    6
    4
    2
    6
    4
    6
    01.09.22
    USO
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    Arthur Rinderknech
    Arthur Rinderknech
    3
    0
    6
    2
    7
    5
    6
    3
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Daniil Medvedev Player Overview

    🎾 Medvedev isn't having the best season of his career, but it's not too late to turn things around-winning this tournament would be a good start. Daniil knows how to triumph in Shanghai; he claimed the title here in 2019 and reached the quarterfinals last year. His performance on hard courts is relatively solid, with 20 wins and 11 losses.

    🏆 As Medvedev advances through the tournament in Shanghai, he's dropped just one set, which happened in the round of 16 against American Learner Tien. In the quarterfinals, the Russian tennis star overcame Australia's Alex De Minaur in straight sets (6-4, 6-4). During that match, Medvedev landed 61% of his first serves and won 79% of those points, hitting 5 aces.

    Match Results: Daniil Medvedev

    26.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Adam Walton
    Adam Walton
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    3
    2
    6
    2
    1
    6
    6
    1
    1
    6
    6
    4
    L
    15.05.26
    ROM
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    2
    1
    6
    2
    5
    7
    6
    4
    L
    14.05.26
    ROM
    Martin Landaluce
    Martin Landaluce
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    1
    2
    6
    1
    4
    6
    5
    7
    W
    12.05.26
    ROM
    Thiago Agustin Tirante
    Thiago Agustin Tirante
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    0
    2
    3
    6
    2
    6
    W
    11.05.26
    ROM
    Pablo Llamas Ruiz
    Pablo Llamas Ruiz
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    1
    2
    6
    3
    4
    6
    2
    6
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Arthur Rinderknech Player Overview

    🎾 Despite being relatively seasoned at 30, Rinderknech has only made two appearances at the Shanghai tournament and hasn't achieved significant success here. His best result was reaching the second round. This season on hard courts, the Frenchman holds a record of 13 wins and 14 losses.

    🔔 Rinderknech is having an impressive run in the current tournament, dropping just one set, which came in the third round against German tennis player Alexander Zverev. In the quarterfinals, Arthur left no room for Canadian Felix Auger-Aliassime, defeating him in straight sets (6-3, 6-4). In that match, the Frenchman delivered 5 aces and had a first serve accuracy of around 63%.

    Match Results: Arthur Rinderknech

    28.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Arthur Rinderknech
    Arthur Rinderknech
    Matteo Berrettini
    Matteo Berrettini
    0
    3
    4
    6
    4
    6
    4
    6
    L
    25.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Arthur Rinderknech
    Arthur Rinderknech
    Jurij Rodionov
    Jurij Rodionov
    3
    0
    77
    65
    6
    2
    6
    3
    W
    21.05.26
    Switzerland Geneva
    Arthur Rinderknech
    Arthur Rinderknech
    Alexander Bublik
    Alexander Bublik
    1
    2
    7
    5
    4
    6
    2
    6
    L
    20.05.26
    Switzerland Geneva
    Arthur Rinderknech
    Arthur Rinderknech
    Laslo Djere
    Laslo Djere
    2
    1
    4
    6
    77
    64
    6
    1
    W
    18.05.26
    Switzerland Geneva
    Arthur Rinderknech
    Arthur Rinderknech
    Thiago Agustin Tirante
    Thiago Agustin Tirante
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    1
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Editor’s Prediction

    This season hasn't been smooth for Medvedev, but he's found his stride towards the end, as evidenced by his performance against De Minaur. Rinderknech poses a challenge, yet the Russian has defeated him comfortably in the past. It's worth noting that the Frenchman has a losing record on hard courts. We believe Daniil's experience will be crucial here, and he's set to win the upcoming match with a comfortable margin in games. Our bet is on Medvedev to win with a -2.5 game handicap.

    Our choice
    Daniil Medvedev Handicap (-2.5) at odds of -161*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (10 October 2025, 21:17)

    Betting Tips: Daniil Medvedev - Arthur Rinderknech

    Daniil Medvedev has won the 1st set
    medvedev-daniilin last 15 matches.
    medvedev-daniilin last 4 matches (ATP Shanghai).
    1st Set Daniil Medvedev Win
    Bovada
    -227
    Arthur Rinderknech has won the 2nd set
    arthur-rinderknechin last 6 matches.
    arthur-rinderknechin last 5 matches (ATP Shanghai).
    2nd Set Arthur Rinderknech Win
    +167
    Arthur Rinderknech has won
    arthur-rinderknechin last 5 matches (ATP Shanghai).
    Arthur Rinderknech Win
    Bovada
    +225
    Daniil Medvedev has won
    medvedev-daniilin 7 of last 8 matches.
    Daniil Medvedev Win
    Bovada
    -286
    View more facts