Ostapenkov vs Bax Prediction 5 August 2026

    BLR
    Daniil Ostapenkov
    FRA
    Florent Bax
    77
    66
    1
    1
    64
    78
    6
    2

    🔊 Daniil Ostapenko and Florent Bax meet in the round of 16 at the Istanbul 2 Challenger on hard court. Both players tend to keep matches short - their recent results reflect that. The surface doesn't give either man a clear edge here.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Danil Ostapenko and Florent Bax have never met before. Head-to-head record won't factor into this prediction.

    Head-to-head statistics Ostapenkov - Bax

    0%
    0 Wins
    100%
    1 Win
    05.08.26
    ATP Challenger Istanbul II, Turkey
    Daniil Ostapenkov
    Daniil Ostapenkov
    Florent Bax
    Florent Bax
    1
    2
    7
    6
    6
    7
    1
    6
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Daniil Ostapenkov Player Overview

    У Остапенкова за последние 10 матчей - 6 побед при 4 поражениях. Стабильный, если не выдающийся, уровень. В последнем матче он обыграл Константина Биттуна Кузьмина, до этого прошёл квалификацию, потеряв лишь одну встречу - против Коки Мацуды. Большинство его недавних матчей заканчиваются в двух сетах: показатель выигранных сетов - 59%. Среднее количество геймов за матч - около 21-22, что вписывается в выбранную линию. Проблемы с удержанием подачи есть - держит лишь около трети геймов на своей подаче, - но общий процент выигранных очков чуть выше 50%. Такой стиль укорачивает матчи.

    Match Results: Daniil Ostapenkov

    09.08.26
    Kazakhstan Astana, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Daniil Ostapenkov
    Daniil Ostapenkov
    Egor Agafonov
    Egor Agafonov
    0
    0
    1
    3
    L
    05.08.26
    ATP Challenger Istanbul II, Turkey
    Daniil Ostapenkov
    Daniil Ostapenkov
    Florent Bax
    Florent Bax
    1
    2
    77
    64
    66
    78
    1
    6
    L
    04.08.26
    ATP Challenger Istanbul II, Turkey
    Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
    Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
    Daniil Ostapenkov
    Daniil Ostapenkov
    1
    2
    6
    3
    3
    6
    61
    77
    W
    03.08.26
    ATP Challenger Istanbul II, Turkey
    Koki Matsuda
    Koki Matsuda
    Daniil Ostapenkov
    Daniil Ostapenkov
    2
    0
    78
    66
    6
    3
    L
    02.08.26
    ATP Challenger Istanbul II, Turkey
    Yurii Dzhavakian
    Yurii Dzhavakian
    Daniil Ostapenkov
    Daniil Ostapenkov
    0
    2
    63
    77
    1
    6
    W
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    Florent Bax Player Overview

    Florent Baques has also won six of his last ten matches and sits at world No. 247. In the previous round, he beat Arthur Weber comfortably after losing to Gabriel Debru in Samsun. Set win rate stands at 61%, with an average total of around 22 games per match - pointing toward short, tight affairs without extended rallies or frequent third sets. On serve, the Frenchman wins just over a third of games, with a steady 61% first-serve rate. Double fault numbers look cleaner than his opponent's, and he tends to take the initiative in the second set.

    Match Results: Florent Bax

    18.08.26
    ATP Challenger Kingston, Jamaica Men Singles
    Daniil Glinka
    Daniil Glinka
    Florent Bax
    Florent Bax
    2
    1
    2
    6
    6
    3
    6
    0
    L
    07.08.26
    ATP Challenger Istanbul II, Turkey
    Ilia Simakin
    Ilia Simakin
    Florent Bax
    Florent Bax
    2
    1
    6
    0
    67
    79
    6
    4
    L
    05.08.26
    ATP Challenger Istanbul II, Turkey
    Daniil Ostapenkov
    Daniil Ostapenkov
    Florent Bax
    Florent Bax
    1
    2
    77
    64
    66
    78
    1
    6
    W
    04.08.26
    ATP Challenger Istanbul II, Turkey
    Arthur Weber
    Arthur Weber
    Florent Bax
    Florent Bax
    0
    2
    3
    6
    4
    6
    W
    29.07.26
    ATP Challenger Samsun, Turkiye Men Singles
    Gabriel Debru
    Gabriel Debru
    Florent Bax
    Florent Bax
    2
    1
    6
    4
    3
    6
    6
    2
    L
    Empty
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    Key factors

    • In 16 of Daniil Ostapenko's last 18 matches, the total games stayed under 22.5.
    • Both players regularly finish matches in two sets, which keeps the game count low.
    • The average number of games in recent matches for both players doesn't exceed the selected line.
    • Set win rates and streaks both point to short matches being the norm here.

    Expected scenario

    Two sets, low game count. Both players finish matches without a third set regularly and rarely go past twenty-two games. That fits the bet on under the listed line.

    Total Prediction

    Daniil Ostapenko plays short matches consistently - only twice in eighteen has he gone past 22.5 games. That matters here specifically, since neither player tends to stick around past two sets.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Both players tend to finish matches quickly and in straight sets. Average game counts for both sit below the line, and a third set is rare - for Ostapenko and Bax alike. The pick: under 22.5 games.

    Total Under (22,5)
    Bovada
    Place a bet-125
    Published: 05/08/2026, 04:34
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Tennis and football specialist
    310
    1
    280
    591 predictions
    Statistics for August 2026

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    Betting Tips: Daniil Ostapenkov - Florent Bax

    Florent Bax has won the 2nd set:
    bax-florentin 6 of last 7 matches.
    2nd Set Florent Bax Win
    -169
    Under 2.5 sets:
    ostapenkov-daniil-1in 16 of last 18 Daniil Ostapenkov games.
    Sets Total Under (2,5)
    -189
    Under 22.5 games:
    ostapenkov-daniil-1in 16 of last 18 Daniil Ostapenkov games.
    Total Under (22,5)
    Everygame
    -125
    Daniil Ostapenkov won with a +4.5 games handicap:
    ostapenkov-daniil-1in 7 of last 8 matches.
    Daniil Ostapenkov Handicap (+4,5)
    -256
    View more facts