Houkes vs Gaubas Prediction 4 August 2026
🔊 First round of the Hagen Challenger on clay. Max Hawkes takes on Vilius Gaubas. Both have been playing well recently, and their head-to-head record adds some extra context to this one.
Head-to-Head
📊 Hawkes and Gaubas have met twice before - the Dutchman won both times. For this match, though, that's a supporting factor rather than a decisive edge.
Head-to-head statistics Houkes - Gaubas
Max Houkes Player Overview
🔊 Hawkes arrives in patchy form - four wins from his last ten. That said, his individual game numbers hold up: he averages over 23 games per match and wins 53% of games played. Last time out he lost to Carballés Baena, but before that beat López Morillo comfortably. His hold rate sits at 57% - enough to keep picking up games even against higher-ranked opponents. Eight straight matches with an individual total over 11.5 games backs that up.
Match Results: Max Houkes
Vilius Gaubas Player Overview
Gaubas is ranked higher and has a slightly better recent record - five wins from his last ten. In his last three matches, he beat Olivieri and Monteiro, then lost to Diaz Acosta in the San Marino Challenger semi-final. His hold rate is strong at 80%, well ahead of his opponent. Overall game win rate is lower though - 49% - and a run of bagel losses suggests he doesn't always maintain his level across a full match.
Match Results: Vilius Gaubas
Key factors
- Hawkes has won more than 11.5 games in each of his last 8 matches.
- In head-to-head meetings, Hawkes has beaten Gaubasas twice, including in a three-set match.
- Hawkes averages over 23 games per match.
- His games and sets won rate is higher than his opponent's.
Expected scenario
The match could go the distance - a third set is a real possibility. Hawkes is consistent enough on both serve and return to reach at least twelve games. That lines up well with a bet on his individual total over.
Prediction on the outcome
- Max Houkes won with a +3.5 games handicap in last 9 matches.
Total prediction
Max's individual total has gone over consistently, showing he can rack up the games even against stronger opponents. That trend only adds to the case for backing his individual total over here.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Max Hawkes hasn't been winning matches at a high rate, but he keeps covering the games line - even against ranked opponents. Eight straight matches where he's cleared the ITB1 threshold. His set win rate and a positive head-to-head record both point the same way. The bet - Max Hawkes individual total over 11.5 games.
No comments
Betting Tips: Max Houkes - Vilius Gaubas
.svg)
Other predictions
