Surface:
Grass
Round:
1/16
Hubert Hurkacz
POL
ATP - 96
3
:
1
Ended
Tommy Paul
USA
ATP - 25

Hurkacz vs Paul Prediction 3 July 2026

Details
The main thing
    POL
    Hubert Hurkacz
    USA
    Tommy Paul
    4
    77
    7
    6
    3
    6
    65
    5
    2
    1

    🔊Hubert Hurkacz and Tommy Paul are set to clash in the third round at Wimbledon, serving up a classic battle between a dominant serve and relentless return game. The towering Pole, despite a modest current ranking, always seems to find another gear on grass and has already knocked out Casper Ruud from the draw. The American, meanwhile, is riding a wave of momentum and looks poised to punish any lapses from the baseline. The key question in this intriguing contest: will Hurkacz’s booming serves or Paul’s lightning-fast counterpunching prove more effective?

    Head-to-Head

    📊 These two players know each other well: they've met six times, with each claiming three wins. Tommy Paul came out on top in their most recent encounter. The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced, giving neither player a clear edge, but that latest victory could give the American a psychological boost.

    Head-to-head statistics Hurkacz - Paul

    50%
    4 Wins
    50%
    4 Wins
    15.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Hubert Hurkacz
    2
    1
    6
    4
    6
    7
    6
    3
    03.07.26
    Wimbledon (ATP)
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    3
    1
    4
    6
    7
    6
    7
    5
    6
    2
    15.05.25
    ROM
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    0
    2
    6
    7
    3
    6
    16.05.24
    ROM
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    1
    2
    5
    7
    6
    3
    3
    6
    13.03.23
    USA Indian Wells
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    1
    2
    6
    4
    2
    6
    4
    6
    Empty
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    Hubert Hurkacz Player Overview

    Hubert Hurkacz heads into this match with five wins from his last ten outings. At Wimbledon, he dispatched both Casper Ruud and Sebastian Ofner in the opening rounds, showcasing reliable serving: his ace count remains high, and he holds the vast majority of his service games. Still, Hurkacz has struggled at times against top-tier opponents, as evidenced by a few straight-set defeats. Notably, the Pole rarely lets matches go the distance; his overall set-winning percentage suggests that even in losses, contests tend not to be drawn-out battles.

    Match Results: Hubert Hurkacz

    31.08.26
    USO
    Damir Dzumhur
    Damir Dzumhur
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Hubert Hurkacz
    1
    3
    4
    6
    6
    4
    1
    6
    1
    6
    W
    24.08.26
    Challenger Cancun
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Hubert Hurkacz
    1
    2
    6
    4
    0
    6
    3
    6
    W
    22.08.26
    Challenger Cancun
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Moez Echargui
    Moez Echargui
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    4
    W
    21.08.26
    Challenger Cancun
    Roman Safiullin
    Roman Safiullin
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Hubert Hurkacz
    0
    2
    4
    6
    3
    6
    W
    20.08.26
    Challenger Cancun
    Henrique Rocha
    Henrique Rocha
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Hubert Hurkacz
    1
    2
    2
    6
    6
    4
    4
    6
    W
    Empty
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    Tommy Paul Player Overview

    Tommy Paul is in impressive form, having won eight of his last ten matches, including a strong start at Wimbledon. The American consistently comes out on top thanks to a high break-point conversion rate and a reliable first serve. Notably, he hasn’t lost a match in straight sets over his past ten outings, underlining his ability to dictate play against opponents of varying calibre. Paul's stats for games and sets won further highlight his edge over many rivals at the mid-match stage.

    Match Results: Tommy Paul

    30.08.26
    USO
    Chak Lam Coleman Wong
    Chak Lam Coleman Wong
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    1
    3
    7
    6
    1
    6
    3
    6
    3
    6
    W
    20.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    Flavio Cobolli
    Flavio Cobolli
    1
    2
    6
    2
    3
    6
    4
    6
    L
    19.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Alexander Zverev
    Alexander Zverev
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    1
    2
    6
    4
    66
    78
    4
    6
    W
    18.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
    Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    3
    6
    4
    W
    15.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Tommy Paul
    Tommy Paul
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Hubert Hurkacz
    2
    1
    6
    4
    63
    77
    6
    3
    W
    Empty
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    Key factors

    • In 8 of Tommy Paul's last 9 best-of-five matches, the total number of games played has been under 41.5.
    • Both players tend to wrap up their matches in three or four sets.
    • The stats for sets and games won point to a clear advantage for the favorite and suggest there are rarely long, drawn-out battles.

    Expected scenario

    Based on the analytical scenario, this match is not expected to feature long sets, most sets should stay within the standard number of games, with the contest likely wrapping up in three or four sets. The odds of a fifth set are considered moderate, but there are no clear signs that the match will turn into a marathon or be packed with tiebreaks. This pattern best fits a bet on total under.

    Editor's Pick

    Tommy Paul consistently stays under this total, which suggests a moderate number of games without the match turning into a marathon five-setter. His playing style and recent results support picking a line below the usual maximum for best-of-five encounters.

    ⭐ Editor’s Pick

    Tommy Paul’s current form allows him to take control of matches against most opponents, often wrapping things up efficiently without being dragged into long sets or extended battles. This is reflected both in his overall games-won statistics and his tendency to finish under the typical total set for five-setters. Hubert Hurkacz also tends to keep his matches short when facing similar levels of opposition. The pick here is under 41.5 total games.

    Total Under (41,5)
    Published: 03/07/2026, 02:47

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    Betting Tips: Hubert Hurkacz - Tommy Paul

    Tommy Paul has won the 2nd set (bo5 series):
    paul-tommyin 11 of last 12 matches.
    2nd Set Tommy Paul Win
    -149
    Hubert Hurkacz has won the 1st set (bo5 series):
    hurkacz-hubertin last 4 matches.
    1st Set Hubert Hurkacz Win
    Bovada
    +120
    Tommy Paul has won the 1st set:
    paul-tommyin last 7 matches (ATP Wimbeldon).
    Tommy Paul has won the 1st set (bo5 series):
    paul-tommyin last 4 matches.
    1st Set Tommy Paul Win
    Bovada
    -154
    Tommy Paul has won the 3rd set (bo5 series):
    paul-tommyin 4 of last 5 matches.
    3rd Set Tommy Paul Win
    -156
    View more facts