Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 2 November 2026
🔊 UTC de Cajamarca have already lost their place in the Peruvian Primera, but with three rounds remaining, they still have a chance to salvage some pride. The hosts sit at the bottom of the Clausura standings, while Deportivo Garcilaso are fifth with 25 points. The visitors trail the leaders by just three points and remain firmly in the hunt for a top spot. In the reverse fixture, the Cusco side came out on top and now aim to repeat that success away from home. However, UTC de Cajamarca’s recent victory - snapping a run of nine straight defeats - proved that even a relegated underdog can still spring a surprise.
Head-to-Head
Deportivo Garcilaso defeated UTC de Cajamarca in their most recent Primera clash on 17 May 2026, securing a 2-0 victory with both goals coming after the break. Despite UTC de Cajamarca enjoying 55% possession compared to Garcilaso’s 45% and earning six corners to just one, they fell short on shots on target, trailing 3 to 5.
In seven official head-to-head clashes, both sides have claimed two wins and shared three draws. Home advantage has proven decisive so far: UTC de Cajamarca have secured both their victories on home soil, while Deportivo Garcilaso’s two triumphs have also come at their own ground. Neither team has managed to win away in this fixture yet.
Head-to-head statistics Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso
UTC de Cajamarca have suffered nine defeats in their last ten matches.
In their previous Primera fixture, UTC de Cajamarca secured a 3-1 away victory over UT de Cajamarca. Despite both sides registering five shots on target, the visitors found the net three times. The hosts, meanwhile, had more attacking moves - 103 to 94 - but failed to convert their chances.
UTC de Cajamarca are enduring a disastrous second half of the season, managing just one win in their last ten outings. The other nine matches have all ended in defeat, with their defense conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game. Their attack has also struggled for consistency, netting only 1.3 goals over the same stretch. Home form has been particularly concerning - UTC de Cajamarca have scored no more than once in eight of their last nine league fixtures on their own turf. Even after snapping their losing streak, there are few signs suggesting a dramatic turnaround is on the horizon.
Match Results: UTC de Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso: potent attack, but struggles on the road
After conceding three goals in the first half, Deportivo Garcilaso managed to pull two back but ultimately fell short against Alianza Atletico on the road, losing 2-3. In their latest Primera match, Deportivo Garcilaso actually outshot their opponents 17 to 16 and struck the woodwork twice.
Deportivo Garcilaso have looked far more convincing recently, picking up five wins, four defeats, and a draw in their last ten outings. Over this stretch, they average 2.1 goals scored and concede 1.3 per match. However, much of their attacking firepower comes at home, where they net an impressive 3.2 goals per game. On the road, their forward line is less prolific, averaging just a single goal across the same ten-match span. This disparity has made it difficult for the visitors to consistently collect points in the title race.
Match Results: Deportivo Garcilaso
Prediction for the 1st half
UTC de Cajamarca have consistently struggled defensively at home, often conceding early in matches. In four of their last five league games on home turf, the hosts have allowed at least one goal before halftime. Deportivo Garcilaso possess enough attacking firepower to capitalize on such vulnerabilities. However, it's worth noting that in nine of their last ten away fixtures, Deportivo Garcilaso have gone into the break level, which slightly tempers confidence in this prediction. Bet: Deportivo Garcilaso over 0.5 goals in the first half at odds of 1.94*.
Total Goals Prediction
Deportivo Garcilaso's away fixtures rarely turn into high-scoring affairs. In six of their last seven matches on the road, both sides have combined for no more than two goals. Notably, the visitors themselves have managed to score more than once in just one of their previous 18 away games. On the other hand, UTC de Cajamarca have conceded an average of 2.4 goals per game in their last ten home outings, which is a significant counterargument against this bet. Still, Deportivo Garcilaso's persistent struggles in front of goal away from Cusco temper expectations. Our pick: Deportivo Garcilaso under 1.5 goals (individual total) at odds of 1.73*.
Corners Prediction
Deportivo Garcilaso consistently generate pressure down the flanks and rack up corners. In six of their last seven Primera matches, they have earned at least five corners per game - a trend that holds regardless of the final score. UTC de Cajamarca often concede possession, which should allow the visitors to push forward and win more set pieces. Back Deportivo Garcilaso over 4.5 corners (individual total) at odds of 1.82*.
Safer Bet
Deportivo Garcilaso rarely suffer heavy defeats, even amid a run of inconsistent results. In 22 of their last 23 matches, they have avoided losing by more than a single goal. On the other hand, UTC de Cajamarca have struggled to find the net at home. Given these trends, it's unlikely the hosts will secure a comfortable margin against a top-half opponent. Prediction: Deportivo Garcilaso +1.5 handicap at 1.13*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the three most likely outcomes are: 1-1 (12.34%), 0-1 (8.99%), and 1-2 (8.24%). The most anticipated result is a 1-1 draw. The other two scenarios point to a narrow win for Deportivo Garcilaso, with a one-goal margin.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
UTC de Cajamarca are no longer under the pressure of a relegation battle, but that’s unlikely to spark a sudden attacking surge. Deportivo Garcilaso have looked stronger over the course of the season, though they rarely produce the same firepower on the road as they do at home. If the visitors stay solid at the back and capitalize on one of the underdog’s mistakes, that could be enough. The hosts have also struggled to convert chances, so don’t expect a high-scoring affair. Predicted scoreline: 0-1. Main bet: under 2.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: UTC de Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso
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