Racing Club vs Real Madrid Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 1 November 2026
🔊 Santander is gearing up for one of its most anticipated football nights in recent years. Racing Santander are set to host Real Madrid in La Liga for the first time since 2011. The home side remain unbeaten at their own ground this season, but now face the daunting task of defending that record against a Real Madrid side fresh off a victory over Barcelona and firmly back in the title race. Madrid trail the leaders by just three points and are about to face an opponent with the league's weakest defence. For José Mourinho, it’s a prime opportunity to extend his winning run, while Racing Santander will be dreaming of an upset that could be remembered in Santander for years to come.
🔁 Ahead of the match, it’s important to consider not only the stats but also the latest team news. We’ll be monitoring developments and updating our prediction right up until kick-off.
Real Madrid have not lost to Racing Santander since 2007.
📊 The last head-to-head clash between these sides dates back to February 2012, when Racing Santander suffered a heavy 0-4 defeat. After that season, Racing Santander were relegated from La Liga, bringing their rivalry with Real Madrid to a halt for over 14 years. The hosts' most recent victory came in April 2007, when they pulled off a surprise 2-1 win.

Racing Santander remain unbeaten at home
Racing Santander’s return to La Liga has been a mixed bag so far. After ten rounds, José Alberto López’s side sit 13th in the table with 11 points, having picked up three wins, two draws, and suffered five defeats. Most of their positive results have come at El Sardinero, where Racing are unbeaten in five home matches - three wins and two draws. Even Espanyol, who put up a strong fight in the last round, eventually fell to the hosts (2-1). However, Racing are yet to earn a single point away from home.
Their main issue lies at the back. Racing have conceded 26 goals - more than any other club in the league. They particularly struggle against teams with potent attacks: Barcelona hammered them 7-2, while Celta Vigo put five unanswered goals past them. Still, López’s men remain committed to playing bold, attacking football. Yassir Zabbiri already has eight goals to his name, while the experienced Sergio Canales continues to pull the strings in midfield. On Thursday, Racing also advanced past Ribadesella in the Copa del Rey (2-0), with most of their regular starters given a rest ahead of the clash with Real Madrid.
Match Results: Racing

Real Madrid: El Clásico reignites title ambitions
The victory over Barcelona (2-1) was more than just a statement win for the Madrid side. José Mourinho’s men have now closed the gap on the Catalans to just three points and solidified their position in third place. After ten rounds, Real Madrid have racked up eight wins and two losses, scoring 25 goals while conceding 10. The team are riding a five-match winning streak across all competitions, including three La Liga fixtures and two Champions League clashes. The autumn slump is firmly in the rearview mirror, and their recent results once again underline their credentials as genuine title contenders.
Mourinho has gradually found the right balance between defensive solidity and creative freedom for his attacking players. In El Clásico, Madrid didn’t try to outplay Barça in terms of possession, but instead punished them time and again by exploiting open spaces. Their rapid transitions from defense to attack were particularly dangerous throughout. Even without the suspended Vinícius Júnior, Real Madrid maintained their attacking edge.
Match Results: Real Madrid
Latest news
Racing
❌ Jorge Salinas will miss the match due to suspension.
Real Madrid
🚑 Rodrigo and Raúl Asencio are sidelined with injuries, while Vinícius Júnior is serving a suspension. Ferland Mendy remains unavailable, but Federico Valverde is nearing a return to action.
Predicted Lineups
Racing Santander’s projected starting XI: Agirrezabala - Mantilla, Ramón, Belocian, Caricol - Prati, I. Martin, Canales - A. Martin, Vicente, Zabiri.
Real Madrid’s projected starting XI: Courtois - Dumfries, Konaté, Huijsen, Cucurella - Tchouaméni, Silva, Bellingham - Guler, Diomande, Mbappé.
Total Goals Prediction
When it comes to attacking football, Racing Santander are among the most entertaining sides in the league-even if their fans might wish they conceded a bit less. Across ten rounds, matches involving Racing have produced 41 goals, averaging an impressive 4.1 per game. At El Sardinero, the hosts have scored in all five home fixtures, netting 11 times in total.
Real Madrid also rarely play out low-scoring affairs, with their La Liga games averaging 3.5 goals overall. While Madrid possess superior attacking firepower, their away form leaves room for improvement defensively - José Mourinho’s men have shipped seven goals in five trips on the road. Racing regularly create chances even in difficult outings, and the backing of their home crowd gives them an extra edge. It’s reasonable to expect the hosts will find the net as well. The pick: both teams to score at 1.50*.
Corners Prediction
Racing Santander don’t just concede a lot of goals - their opponents consistently pin them back in their own half. This season, Racing Santander allow their rivals to win an average of 7.8 corners per match. The hosts themselves take another 5.1, bringing the combined average to 12.9 corners per game. In eight of their last ten fixtures, there have been at least 11 corners taken.
Real Madrid’s numbers are more modest - around 6.4 corners earned per game, with a total match average of 10.4. However, Los Blancos rank among the league’s best for shots and chances created, and against Racing Santander’s shaky defence, they’re likely to enjoy plenty of sustained attacking spells. Our pick: over 10.5 corners at odds of 1.70*.
Yellow Cards Prediction
Over ten rounds, Racing Santander have picked up 27 yellow cards. Real Madrid have collected 21 bookings, but their opponents are often forced to foul against the Madrid side’s technical players. As a result, the teams’ matches average around five cards per game.
The upcoming clash is set to put Racing Santander’s defence under serious pressure. José Alberto López’s side commit an average of 13.4 fouls per match, compared to just 8.8 for Real Madrid. Racing Santander are forced to break up opposition attacks more frequently, while Real Madrid prefer to control the tempo through possession and quick transitions. The smart play here is over 4.5 yellow cards.
Player Prop Bet
Kylian Mbappé is enjoying yet another outstanding season. The Frenchman has netted 11 goals in ten La Liga fixtures, comfortably leading Real Madrid’s scoring charts. In the previous clash against Barcelona, he bagged a brace, including a late winner. José Mourinho gives his striker plenty of positional freedom, allowing Mbappé to drift out wide and exploit space behind defenders. Given his current form and tactical role, it’s a solid bet that Kylian Mbappé will score.
High-Risk Bet
Heavy defeats have become an unwelcome theme for Racing Santander this season. Barcelona put seven past them, while Celta scored five - both thrashings coming on the road. Racing’s defensive frailties are especially evident late in matches: they've conceded eight goals after the 75th minute, more than in any other period.
Real Madrid, meanwhile, are specialists at turning up the pressure as the final whistle approaches. Of their 25 league goals, eight have come in the last 15 minutes of regulation time. José Mourinho boasts a deep bench, and his fresh legs can ruthlessly exploit tired defenders. For Real Madrid to secure a big win at El Sardinero, they’ll need to be clinical - especially if the hosts manage to get on the scoresheet. But Racing’s collapse against Barcelona is a stark reminder of how quickly a clash with a powerhouse can unravel. The smart play here is backing Real Madrid with a -3.5 handicap at odds of 3.40*.
Safer Bet
So far this season, Real Madrid are averaging 2.5 goals per game. Away from home, Los Blancos have found the net eight times in five matches. With several players capable of creating chances on their own, Real Madrid possess plenty of attacking options. Racing Santander, meanwhile, have conceded in all ten of their La Liga fixtures, allowing at least two goals in seven of those games. Even at home - where Racing remain unbeaten - opponents have scored eight goals across five matches. Prediction: Real Madrid to score over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.14*.
If the Match Takes a Different Turn
Racing Santander could spring an early surprise on the favourites before halftime. The hosts have shown little hesitation in going forward this season - 10 of their 15 league goals have come in the first half. Racing make the most of even limited chances; for instance, they managed to score twice against Barcelona despite being outplayed in most statistical categories.
Such boldness could prove to be a weapon at El Sardinero. Racing will look to harness the energy from their home crowd early on, and Zabiri’s pace and movement could trouble even Real Madrid’s experienced backline. We’re backing Racing Santander to score in the first half at 2.45*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
Racing Santander have been solid at home, but this time they're up against a different caliber of opposition. Real Madrid have shaken off their early-season inconsistency, improved their attacking cohesion, and their victory over Barcelona proved they can handle pressure at the highest level. The hosts often rely on their forwards to make up for defensive lapses - a strategy that might work against lower-table sides, but Real Madrid are ruthless in punishing any defensive gaps.
José Mourinho will undoubtedly demand full focus from his players right from kickoff. While Vinicius’ absence limits Madrid’s attacking options somewhat, the quality of Mbappé, Bellingham, and the rest of their forward line means they’re still likely to create plenty of chances. Racing Santander might find a way to score and make the opening stages tricky, but sustaining Madrid’s intensity for the full 90 minutes will be a tall order. Correct score prediction: 1-5. Main bet: Real Madrid to win with a -1.5 handicap.