Barcelona vs Alaves Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 31 October 2026

📊 Across 35 meetings, Barcelona have won 26, drawn four and lost five, with an average of around 3.2 goals per game. Alaves rarely get much out of one of their most difficult opponents, particularly away from home. That said, the last meeting ended in a surprise win for the Basques (1-0) in May of this year, ending a run of 16 matches without a victory against Barcelona.

Barcelona are averaging four goals per match and have scored at least four in six of their ten league rounds. Their output against sides from the bottom half of the table has been particularly striking - Racing conceded seven, Rayo and Valencia five each, and Levante four. Even after setbacks in the Champions League and El Clásico, Flick's side have lost none of their attacking threat.

Alaves look more defensively solid than most of Barcelona's previous opponents. In ten rounds, the Basques have conceded just 11 goals and kept their opponents to at most one goal in seven of those ten matches. However, almost all of those games came against sides with more modest attacking resources. At Camp Nou, the visitors will spend long periods defending without the ball, and the pace of Barcelona's players can break down even a compact defensive block. Bet: Barcelona Team Total - Over 3 goals at 1.60*.

In terms of corners, Barcelona are among the leaders in La Liga. Over ten matchdays, the Catalans have averaged 7.2 corners per game, while allowing opponents just 2.8 - the fewest in the division. In 7 of their 10 matches, Barcelona's opponents have managed no more than three corners.

Alaves' numbers are higher than those of Barcelona's recent opponents. In four away matches, the Basque side have had fewer than four corners on only one occasion. However, the head-to-head record at Camp Nou tells a different story - in eight previous visits, Alaves have never earned more than four corners. Barcelona rarely allow opponents to settle for long in and around their penalty area, so even a few successful counter-attacks from the visitors won't necessarily translate into a high corner count. Our pick: Alaves Team Total Corners - Under 3.5 at 1.61*.

Over their opening ten league matches, Barcelona have picked up 15 yellow cards. Alaves are slightly higher with 17 bookings. That works out to an average of 3.2 cards per game between the two sides. No more than four yellows were recorded in 6 of Barcelona's 10 matches and in 7 of Alaves's 10.

The difference in foul counts is also modest. Barcelona average 10.2 fouls per match, Alaves 13.7. The visitors will likely spend a significant portion of the game without the ball, but Sánchez Flores's side are not among the roughest teams in La Liga. Barcelona, meanwhile, tend to win possession back through pressing rather than persistent fouling. On that basis, the pick is Total Bookings - Under 4.5 Yellow Cards.

Raphinha is La Liga's top scorer. In nine matches, the Brazilian has scored 13 goals, and in El Clásico he was again one of the few Barcelona players capable of troubling Real Madrid's defence. In that match he had six shots and scored Barcelona's only goal. Even a recent spell out through injury has not affected his scoring form. We're backing Raphinha to Score.

Barcelona are capable of building a serious advantage before half-time. Across 10 league rounds, they have scored 18 first-half goals, nine of them in five home matches. Flick's side have been winning the first half in 13 of their last 14 league matches at home. The game against Racing was particularly striking, with the hosts putting four goals past them before the break.

Alaves, by contrast, rarely allow opponents to establish an early lead. Over ten rounds they have conceded just three first-half goals, and their last five league matches have all reached half-time level. But at Camp Nou that will require maximum concentration from the first minute. Barcelona will surely look to seize the initiative quickly after two consecutive defeats. Our pick: Barcelona Team Total - Over 2 goals in the 1st Half at 2.95*.

In the current season, Barcelona have scored just once in only one match - the most recent El Clásico. In all nine other games, they have found the net at least twice. Alaves, for their part, have not yet conceded more than two goals in a single match. Away from home, though, they have let in three goals on one occasion and two goals in two further matches. Against Barcelona, solid defensive work alone is unlikely to be enough. Barcelona have several players capable of deciding a moment on their own and rarely stop pressing forward after scoring the first goal. We're backing Barcelona Team Total - Over 1.5 goals at 1.12*.

Despite their impressive results, Barcelona do not always maintain their concentration in the early stages of matches. In 6 of their last 7 games across all competitions, they conceded before half-time. What makes it particularly frustrating for Flick is that these problems arise even when the team are controlling the ball and look considerably stronger than their opponents. 

Alaves have scored five first-half goals in La Liga this season, but away from home they have rarely managed to get on the scoresheet before the break. That said, if the Basques can exploit the space early on, Barcelona will be forced to push forward more. Bet: Alaves to Score in the 1st Half at 3.30*.

*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.

⭐️Editorial Prediction

Barcelona remain the clear favourites, but after defeats to PSG and Real Madrid they need to show that their former confidence is still there. A home match against Alaves is a good opportunity to return to winning ways: the Catalans are superior to their opponents in terms of player quality and create dangerous chances far more frequently. Alaves can defend, but their usual reliability will not be enough against a team this prolific.

At the same time, the hosts' defence is far from watertight. Barcelona have conceded in 8 of their last 9 matches across all competitions, and Alaves have scored in 3 of their 4 away La Liga matches this season. We're expecting goals at both ends. Predicted score: 4-1. Main bet: Both Teams to Score - Yes.