Botafogo vs Sport Rec. Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 31 October 2026
🔊 The final stage of the season adds extra weight to this match: Sport Recife are just one point away from the play-off places and need to approach every remaining round with maximum focus, while Botafogo FC SP sit comfortably in mid-table with nothing pressing to play for. Both sides have had mixed results across their last ten matches, which adds uncertainty to the outcome. The key question is one of goals: both teams score and concede regularly.
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Sport Recife and Botafogo FC SP drew 3-3 in their last head-to-head meeting in Série B on 10 July 2026. Botafogo FC SP led 2-0 at half-time, but Sport Recife fought back, finishing with 71% possession and 20 shots to Botafogo FC SP's 11.
Sport Recife have not lost any of their seven official matches against Botafogo FC SP, winning four and drawing three. The aggregate score across those meetings is 16-6 in Sport Recife's favour.
Head-to-head statistics Botafogo - Sport Rec.

Motivation - finishing the season on a high
Botafogo FC SP won their last Série B match away at Avaí 2-0 24 October 2026. The hosts had 27 shots to six and 14 corners to two in that game, but failed to score.
Botafogo FC SP have won four of their last five matches, showing a local upturn in form. Across their last ten games, the team have five wins and four defeats - far from consistent, but recent results are clearly positive. On average this season they score 1.14 goals per game and concede a similar amount (1.09), which points to a fairly balanced side. However, they have settled into mid-table by the end of the season and are not chasing any key objectives - their motivation is high mainly out of a desire to finish with their heads held high.
Match Results: Botafogo San Paulo

Every match is decisive
Sport Recife's previous Serie B match saw them beat Criciúma 2-1 at home 24 October 2026. The visitors had more shots - 25 against 15 - but Sport Recife were more accurate, hitting the target eight times compared to four.
Sport Recife remain highly motivated in the table - they are just one point away from the play-off places, and the stage of the season demands maximum focus. The team have won five and lost four of their last ten matches, with an above-average scoring rate for Série B - 1.34 goals scored per game against 1.4 conceded per game across the season, which hints at an open style of play at both ends. Sport Recife are frequently involved in goal exchanges: both teams have scored in 7 of their last 8 matches.
Match Results: Recife PE
Prediction for the 1st half
Sport Recife have conceded in the first half in 6 of their last 7 matches. That is a direct argument in favour of Botafogo FC SP scoring before the break, although there are no separate first-half scoring statistics for the hosts. We are going with Botafogo FC SP Team Total - Over 0.5 Goals in the First Half at odds of 2.16*.
Match Result Prediction
Botafogo FC SP have not won any of their last seven head-to-head meetings. Over the course of the season, Sport Recife have lost 9 of their 35 matches, while Botafogo FC SP have lost 14 of their 35. However, Sport Recife have lost 7 of their 17 away matches, so the head-to-head run does not remove the risk entirely. We are going with the Double Chance - Sport Recife at 1.45*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Sport Recife scored and conceded in 7 of their last 8 matches. Botafogo FC SP scored in 9 of their last 10 home matches, while Sport Recife conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game in their last ten away matches. Sport Recife themselves averaged 1.2 goals per game over that same away run, while Botafogo FC SP conceded 1.4 at home. Our pick is Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.79*.
Safer Bet
In 16 of Sport Recife's last 17 matches, there have been fewer than four goals. Botafogo FC SP's home averages this season are 1.53 goals scored and 1.29 conceded; Sport Recife's away figures are 1 scored and 1.12 conceded. There is both an extended run and suitable seasonal numbers to support a bet on Total Goals - Under 3.5. The odds are 1.26*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12.64%), 1-0 (9.68%) and 0-1 (9.16%). The highest probability among these belongs to 1-1. The probabilities for 1-0 and 0-1 differ by 0.52 percentage points.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The key trend here is that Sport Recife have both scored and conceded in 7 of their last 8 Serie B matches - a reflection of their attacking threat and defensive inconsistency, even with the added motivation of fighting for a play-off place. Botafogo FC SP are no defensive fortress either, regularly making errors at the back while consistently taking their chances in attack during a recent run of home wins. We think mutual goals are the logical expectation, and possibly more than just a couple. Our prediction: Total Goals - Over 2.