Sport Rec. vs Botafogo Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 10 July 2026
📢 The Matchday 17 clash in Brazil’s Serie B between Sport Recife and Botafogo SP is shaping up to be a tightly contested affair, with both sides having plenty at stake. The hosts are still in the hunt for promotion, though they currently trail the automatic spots by six points. Meanwhile, the visitors need to stay sharp, as they sit just two points clear of the relegation zone. With such high stakes, defensive solidity and recent form are likely to play a crucial role in determining how this match unfolds.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 20 October 2024 and ended with a scoreline of 3:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Recife PE):
- ball possession percentage: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 1;
- fouls: 23 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 4;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Recife PE and Botafogo San Paulo:
- played 6 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 4, for the away team - 0, draws - 2;
- number of goals - 13 against 3;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.33, in the 2nd half - 1.33;
- average total goals in the match - 2.67.
Head-to-head statistics Sport Rec. - Botafogo

Recife PE Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Criciuma, away team - Recife PE). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here's the game statistics (Recife PE vs Criciuma):
- ball possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 17 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
Sport Recife head into this round on a noticeable downward trend: they are winless in their last five matches, with three draws and two defeats. The main issue has been their attack, goal production has dipped during this stretch, and over a longer span, their average remains just 0.9 goals per game. On the flip side, their defense has held up reasonably well, conceding roughly one goal per match, which has allowed them to scrape points even when the attack falters. With the club needing to close the gap on the leaders, a dramatic surge seems unlikely unless their attacking output improves.
Match Results: Recife PE

Botafogo San Paulo Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Botafogo San Paulo, away - Avai). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:1.
Here are the match stats (Botafogo San Paulo vs Avai):
- ball possession: 37% vs 63%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 2;
- fouls: 19 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
Botafogo São Paulo are battling to avoid relegation and have yet to find any real consistency. The team alternates solid performances with disappointing setbacks, and their main issue remains a lacklustre attack, averaging just 0.8 goals per game over their recent run. On the plus side, their defence has looked much more reliable, conceding less than a goal per match. This defensive resilience has allowed Botafogo to pick up crucial points and stay out of the drop zone.
Match Results: Botafogo San Paulo
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 6;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 3; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 0;
- Average first-half total: 1.33;
- Today's home team scores on average 1, while the visitors net 0.33.
First-Half Stats: Recife PE (home) vs Botafogo San Paulo (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- wins: 2 (25%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 1 (12.5%) vs 1 (12.5%);
- draws: 5 (62.5%) vs 7 (87.5%);
- Average goals scored: 0.63 vs 0.38;
- Average goals conceded: 0.25 vs 0.25.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 2;
- losses: 4 vs 4;
- draws: 3 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 0.7 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.4) vs 0.6 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 0.4).
- Botafogo San Paulo have drawn in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 away games (Serie B).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 6;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 0, draws - 2.
Statistics: Recife PE vs Botafogo San Paulo
- matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- wins: 6 vs 5;
- win percentage: 38% vs 31%;
- losses: 3 vs 7;
- draws: 7 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 3;
- losses: 4 vs 5;
- draws: 3 vs 2.
- Botafogo San Paulo won with a +1.5 handicap in last 19 games.
- Botafogo San Paulo won with a +1.5 handicap in last 17 games (Serie B).
- Botafogo San Paulo won with a +1.5 handicap in last 9 away games.
- Botafogo San Paulo won with a +1.5 handicap in last 8 away games (Serie B).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.17, the guests - 0.5;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.67;
- both teams scored: overall - 3; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Recife PE vs Botafogo San Paulo
- average total in the tournament: 1.88 vs 2;
- average total goals scored: 1.13 vs 1.06;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.31 vs 0.5;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.81 vs 0.56;
- Recife PE: average total at home in the tournament - 1.38;
- Botafogo San Paulo: average total away in the tournament - 0.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 1) vs 0.8 (away - 0.2).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 6 Recife PE games against Botafogo San Paulo (Serie B).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 5 Recife PE home games (Serie B).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 6;
- both teams scored all-time - 3 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Recife PE vs Botafogo San Paulo
- number of matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 8;
- number of BTTS matches for Recife PE at home - 5 (63%);
- number of BTTS matches for Botafogo San Paulo away - 2 (25%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Recife PE at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Botafogo San Paulo away - 0 (0%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (23/161, 14.3%);
- Recife PE at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (3/8, 37.5%);
- Botafogo San Paulo away most often play: 1:0 (4/8, 50%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 17.58% (odds 5.35)
0:0 - 13.47% (odds 6.6)
1:1 - 11.52% (odds 5.87)
⭐ Editor's Pick
Sport Recife head into this clash as clear favourites, but their recent form suggests we shouldn’t expect a dominant display from the hosts. With a winless run hanging over them, they may adopt a more cautious approach at home than usual. Botafogo SP also tend to play low-scoring games on the road: in 12 of their last 13 away fixtures in Serie B, no more than two goals have been scored. Given these trends, backing under 2.5 goals looks like a well-founded prediction.