Boston Riv. vs Progreso Prediction

    🔅 The Uruguayan Primera clash between Boston River and Progreso promises to be a tense battle, given their recent performances. Boston River have been consistent at home, winning 4 of their last 10 matches and averaging 1.5 goals per game. Meanwhile, Progreso continue to struggle on the road, having lost their last six away matches consecutively. Despite these challenges, both teams are eager to climb higher in the Primera standings. How will this encounter conclude? Read on for our prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place in June and ended with a 2-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Progreso were the home side):

    • possession percentage: 48% vs 52%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 3.

    📊Analytical review of the previous official encounters between Boston River and Progreso:

    • 18 matches played;
    • home wins - 6, away wins - 5, draws - 7;
    • goals scored (home/away) - 24 to 19;
    • average total goals per match - 2.39.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    38%
    8 Wins
    33%
    7 Draws
    29%
    6 Wins
    Total games
    21
    Total Goals Avg
    2.38
    Both teams scored
    52%
    1.33
    Total average
    1.05
    2.76
    Yellow cards
    2.38
    Last matches
    22.03.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Boston River
    Boston River
    -
    -
    10
    1
    -
    -
    4
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    10
    1
    -
    -
    4
    1
    29.01.26
    UCL
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1
    -
    -
    2
    4
    -
    -
    7
    4
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    2
    4
    -
    -
    7
    4
    31.08.25
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    5
    2
    -
    -
    4
    4
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    5
    2
    -
    -
    4
    4
    19.06.25
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Boston River
    Boston River
    -
    -
    5
    3
    -
    -
    0
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    3
    -
    -
    0
    3
    09.03.25
    Primera Division
    CA Progreso
    CA Progreso
    Boston River
    Boston River
    0
    0
    4
    7
    0
    0
    3
    3
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    0
    4
    7
    0
    0
    3
    3
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Boston River Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place in the Uruguay Cup, with hosts Paso De La Arena facing Boston River. The game ended with a 0-3 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (Boston River vs Paso De La Arena):

    • possession: 62% vs 38%;
    • corners: 7 vs 7;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 4.

    Boston River currently sit in 7th place in the league, largely due to their reliable home performances. The team boasts solid stats, having won half of their home matches this season, and they are known for their well-organized defense, conceding an average of just 1.16 goals per game. Their style is focused on ball control with a gradual buildup of attacking plays through the flanks. In their most recent match, they faced Progreso away and secured a 2-0 victory, boosting their confidence ahead of the upcoming clash.

    Match Results: Boston River

    Last matches
    01.06.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    4
    6
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    4
    6
    L
    26.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1.59
    0.66
    7
    4
    6
    13
    1
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.59
    0.66
    7
    4
    6
    13
    1
    2
    L
    23.05.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    2
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    2
    2
    L
    20.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Boston River
    Boston River
    O´Higgins
    O´Higgins
    1.40
    1.58
    4
    7
    11
    11
    2
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1.40
    1.58
    4
    7
    11
    11
    2
    2
    W
    16.05.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    7
    3
    -
    -
    2
    3
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    3
    -
    -
    2
    3
    W
    Empty
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    Progreso Team Overview

    The visiting team recently played their last official match in the Primera tournament, with Progreso as hosts and Danubio as visitors. The match concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.

    Here's the game statistics (Progreso vs Danubio):

    • possession: 41% vs 59%;
    • corners: 7 vs 6;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 2.

    Progreso are struggling, sitting in 11th place after a string of poor results, particularly on the road. They face challenges both in converting chances-averaging less than one goal per match-and in defense, conceding around 1.69 goals per game. The visitors are still searching for their form under the pressure of needing to climb the Primera Division standings.

    Match Results: Progreso

    Last matches
    30.05.26
    Primera Division
    Danubio
    Danubio
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    2
    2
    W
    23.05.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    -
    -
    3
    6
    -
    -
    7
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    6
    -
    -
    7
    2
    L
    16.05.26
    Primera Division
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    4
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    4
    L
    10.05.26
    Primera Division
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    4
    3
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    4
    3
    L
    03.05.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    -
    -
    5
    3
    -
    -
    3
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    3
    -
    -
    3
    3
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 18;
    • Home wins - 6, Away wins - 5, Draws - 7.
    Trends
    • Progreso have lost their last 6 away matches (Primera).
    👉Prediction: Boston River Win(odds: 1.92)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Today's home team average goals scored - 1.33, away team - 1.06;
    • Average total goals in head-to-heads - 2.39;
    • Both teams scored: overall - 9 times; at the home ground - 5 times.

    Statistics: Boston River vs Progreso

    • Average tournament total: 2.4 vs 2.65;
    • Average goals scored: 1.24 vs 0.96;
    • Average first-half total: 0.48 vs 0.27;
    • Average second-half total: 0.76 vs 0.69;
    • Boston River: average home total in the tournament - 1.43;
    • Progreso: average away total in the tournament - 0.92;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 2) vs 0.8 (away - 0.6).
    Trends
    • Progreso have scored under 1.5 goals in 11 of their last 12 matches (Primera).
    • Progreso have scored under 1.5 goals in their last 6 away matches (Primera).
    👉Prediction: Progreso Total goals Under (1.5)(odds: 1.28)

    Corner Prediction

    Boston River: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 4.12; at home - 4.5;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 4.2; at home - 4.8.

    Progreso: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 5.65, away - 5.15;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 5.4; away - 5.6.
    Trends
    • Total corners under 10.5 hit in 8 of Boston River's last 9 home matches.
    • Total corners under 10.5 hit in 7 of Boston River's last 8 home matches (Primera).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (10.5)(odds: 1.47)

    Card Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches

    • Average yellow cards in head-to-heads - 5.44 (2.72 for the home team and 2.72 for the visitors);
    • Average yellow cards at the home ground - 4.5 (2.5 for the home team and 2 for the visitors).

    Boston River: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 2.92; at home - 2.93;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 3; at home - 3.8.

    Progreso: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 2.92, away - 2.77;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2.8; away - 3.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (6.5)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 18;
    • Both teams scored overall - 9 times;
    • At the home ground - 5 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.9)

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    Analyzing the current form of the teams and their head-to-head statistics, a victory for Boston seems likely. The hosts have the advantage of playing on home turf, while Progreso have struggled in away matches. Considering Progreso's losing streak on the road and the strong performances of the hosts backed by their fans, a Boston win appears to be the most reasonable bet.

    Our choice
    Boston River Win at odds of -115*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (31 August 2025, 08:48)

    Betting Tips: Boston River - Progreso

    Progreso have lost the 2nd half
    ca-progresoin last 6 away games (Primera Division).
    2nd Half Boston River Win
    Everygame
    +110
    Progreso have lost
    ca-progresoin last 6 away games (Primera Division).
    Boston River Win
    Everygame
    -125
    Boston River have not lost
    ca-boston-riverca-progresoin 8 of last 9 home games against Progreso.
    ca-boston-riverin 9 of last 10 home games (Primera Division).
    Progreso have not won
    ca-progresoin last 6 away games (Primera Division).
    Boston River will not lose
    Everygame
    -476
    Boston River have scored
    ca-boston-riverin 12 of last 13 home games.
    ca-boston-riverin 9 of last 10 home games (Primera Division).
    Progreso have conceded
    ca-progresoin 23 of last 24 away games (Primera Division).
    Boston River will score goal
    Everygame
    -500
    View more facts

    Boston Riv. - Progreso Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    6.
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    1565414-1023
    7.
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1564516-1722
    8.
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    1556415-1621
    10.
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    1545616-2217
    11.
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1536617-2715
    12.
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1536613-2014

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    0 - Draws
    7 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 7
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 22
    -9
    -7
    9 - Scored
    16 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    2
    0
    Draws
    1
    7
    Loses
    7
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    9
    22
    Conceded
    16
    3.5
    Match goals average
    2.5
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.9
    2.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.6
    6
    Both teams scored
    5
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    100'
    View all stats