Progreso vs Boston Riv. Prediction

    💥 The clash between Progreso and Boston River promises to be intriguing. Both teams find themselves at the lower end of the standings, yet their trajectories differ. Progreso has recently shown signs of change in their play, which was evident in their latest result-a victory. Meanwhile, Boston River are struggling offensively, as reflected in their modest goal-scoring record. Expect a game focused on defense with cautious attacking plays.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams ended with a scoreline of 2-1. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Progreso as the home side):

    • possession percentage: 42% vs 58%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 7 vs 4.

    📊Analytical review of the previous official encounters between Progreso and Boston River:

    • 20 matches played;
    • home wins - 6, away wins - 7, draws - 7;
    • goals scored (home/away) - 22 to 27;
    • average total goals per match - 2.45.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    29%
    6 Wins
    33%
    7 Draws
    38%
    8 Wins
    Total games
    21
    Total Goals Avg
    2.38
    Both teams scored
    52%
    1.05
    Total average
    1.33
    2.38
    Yellow cards
    2.76
    Last matches
    22.03.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Boston River
    Boston River
    -
    -
    10
    1
    -
    -
    4
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    10
    1
    -
    -
    4
    1
    29.01.26
    UCL
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1
    -
    -
    2
    4
    -
    -
    7
    4
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    2
    4
    -
    -
    7
    4
    31.08.25
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    5
    2
    -
    -
    4
    4
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    5
    2
    -
    -
    4
    4
    19.06.25
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Boston River
    Boston River
    -
    -
    5
    3
    -
    -
    0
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    3
    -
    -
    0
    3
    09.03.25
    Primera Division
    CA Progreso
    CA Progreso
    Boston River
    Boston River
    0
    0
    4
    7
    0
    0
    3
    3
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    0
    4
    7
    0
    0
    3
    3
    Empty
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    Progreso Team Overview

    The last official match took place in the Primera tournament, with Cerro as the home side and Progreso as the visitors. The game concluded with a scoreline of 0-1.

    Here are the match statistics (Progreso vs Cerro):

    • possession: 55% vs 45%;
    • corners: 5 vs 2;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 4.

    Progreso currently sit in 13th place in the league, boasting a decent record over their last ten matches with five wins, three losses, and two draws. However, their form in the last five games is less impressive, with just one win, two draws, and two losses. The team concedes more goals (an average of 1.67 per match) than they score (0.83). Their strength lies in their home performances, where they often avoid defeat thanks to a more organized defense.

    Match Results: Progreso

    Last matches
    30.05.26
    Primera Division
    Danubio
    Danubio
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    3
    7
    -
    -
    2
    2
    W
    23.05.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    -
    -
    3
    6
    -
    -
    7
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    6
    -
    -
    7
    2
    L
    16.05.26
    Primera Division
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    4
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    4
    L
    10.05.26
    Primera Division
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    4
    3
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    4
    3
    L
    03.05.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    -
    -
    5
    3
    -
    -
    3
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    3
    -
    -
    3
    3
    L
    Empty
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    Boston River Team Overview

    The visiting team recently played their last official match in the Primera tournament, with Boston River hosting Racing Montevideo. The encounter ended 0-1.

    Here's how the game statistics break down (Boston River vs Racing Montevideo):

    • possession: 42% vs 58%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 9;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 8.

    Boston River sit in 15th place, struggling with inconsistent performances both throughout the season and in their recent five matches, which include two draws, two losses, and a single victory. The team suffers from a lack of scoring prowess, averaging just 0.33 goals per game while conceding an average of 1.17 goals per match. Over their last ten outings, they've managed only three wins, often faltering against well-organized defenses.

    Match Results: Boston River

    Last matches
    01.06.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    4
    6
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    4
    6
    L
    26.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1.59
    0.66
    7
    4
    6
    13
    1
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.59
    0.66
    7
    4
    6
    13
    1
    2
    L
    23.05.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    2
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    2
    2
    L
    20.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Boston River
    Boston River
    O´Higgins
    O´Higgins
    1.40
    1.58
    4
    7
    11
    11
    2
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1.40
    1.58
    4
    7
    11
    11
    2
    2
    W
    16.05.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    7
    3
    -
    -
    2
    3
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    3
    -
    -
    2
    3
    W
    Empty
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    First Half Statistics: Progreso (Home) vs Boston River (Away)

    • Number of matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
    • Number of wins: 1 (50%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Number of losses: 1 (50%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 2 (100%);
    • Average total goals scored: 1.5 vs 1;
    • Average total goals conceded: 1 vs 0.5.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Number of wins: 3 vs 1;
    • Number of losses: 3 vs 2;
    • Number of draws: 4 vs 7;
    • Average first half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.6) vs 0.9 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.5).
    Trends
    • Boston River have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Draw(odds: 1.98)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 20;
    • home team wins - 6, away team wins - 7, draws - 7.

    Statistics: Progreso vs Boston River

    • matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
    • wins: 1 vs 0;
    • win percentage: 17% vs 0%;
    • losses: 3 vs 4;
    • draws: 2 vs 2.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 5 vs 3;
    • losses: 3 vs 5;
    • draws: 2 vs 2.
    👉Prediction: Progreso will not lose(odds: 1.45)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.1, the guests - 1.35;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.45;
    • both teams scored: overall - 11; at the home team's field - 4.

    Statistics: Progreso vs Boston River

    • average total in the tournament: 2.5 vs 1.5;
    • average total goals scored: 0.83 vs 0.33;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.33 vs 0.17;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 0.17;
    • Progreso: average total at home in the tournament -  1;
    • Boston River: average total away in the tournament - 0.5;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 1) vs 0.7 (away - 1).
    Trends
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in last 7 Progreso home games (Primera Division).
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Boston River away games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (1.5)(odds: 1.35)

    Prediction on corners

    Progreso: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.33; at home field - 4;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.5; at home field - 2.75.

    Boston River: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3, away - 2;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.3; away - 4.25.
    Trends
    • Boston River have taken under 4.5 corners in 14 of last 15 games.
    • Boston River have taken under 4.5 corners in last 10 games (Primera Division).
    • Boston River have taken under 4.5 corners in last 5 away games.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Boston River Total Under (4.5)(odds: 1.57)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 20;
    • both teams scored all-time - 11 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 4 times.

    Statistics: Progreso vs Boston River

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 2;
    • number of BTTS matches for Progreso at home - 1 (50%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Boston River away - 1 (50%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 5;
    • BTTS matches for Progreso at home - 2 (50%);
    • BTTS matches for Boston River away - 3 (75%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.91)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (11/47, 23.4%);
    • Progreso at home most often finish matches: 0:3 , 2:2 (1/2, 50%);
    • Boston River away most often play: 1:1 , 2:0 (1/2, 50%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 13.39% (odds 6)
    1:0 - 10.05% (odds 7.5)
    0:1 - 9.76% (odds 7.5)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:1)(odds: 6)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Analyzing the current trends and team form, a low-scoring match appears to be the most likely outcome. This prediction is supported by the fact that Boston River are on a six-game streak of low-scoring encounters. Additionally, both teams struggle with converting chances in attack. Meanwhile, Progreso's solid home performance will help them control the flow of the game. We are betting on under 2.5 goals.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (2.5) at odds of -167*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (20 March 2026, 12:44)

    Betting Tips: Progreso - Boston River

    Boston River have drawn in the 1st half
    ca-boston-riverin 6 of last 7 games (Primera Division).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +100
    Progreso have lost the 2nd half
    ca-progresoin last 4 home games (Primera Division).
    2nd Half Boston River Win
    Everygame
    +200
    Progreso have not won
    ca-progresoin 9 of last 10 games (Primera Division).
    Boston River will not lose
    Everygame
    -238
    Progreso have not lost
    ca-progresoca-boston-riverin 7 of last 8 home games against Boston River.
    Boston River have not won
    ca-boston-riverin 12 of last 13 games (Primera Division).
    ca-boston-riverin 11 of last 12 away games (Primera Division).
    ca-boston-riverin 9 of last 10 games.
    ca-boston-riverin 8 of last 9 away games.
    Progreso will not lose
    Everygame
    -238
    View more facts

    Progreso - Boston Riv. Table position

    Primera Division 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    12.
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    1552816-1917
    13.
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1552814-2017
    14.
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    1543817-2215
    15.
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1524912-2310
    16.
    Cerro
    Cerro
    152498-2410

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    7 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 0
    Loses - 7
    10 matches
    Scored - 9
    Conceded - 16
    -7
    -9
    13 - Scored
    22 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    3
    1
    Draws
    0
    7
    Loses
    7
    Goal difference
    9
    Scored
    13
    16
    Conceded
    22
    2.5
    Match goals average
    3.5
    0.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    1.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    2.2
    5
    Both teams scored
    6
    100'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats