Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers FC Prediction 31 July 2026
🔊 Dundalk host Sligo Rovers at Oriel Park in round 25 of the Premier Division. The hosts sit fourth, seven points off third place. Sligo are bottom of the table, five points from safety. Neither side is in great shape - Dundalk have lost three of their last five, while Sligo have won just two of their last ten. Both teams have been leaking goals regularly, which suggests this one could be fairly open.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between these two sides took place on 25 April 2026 and ended 2-0. Here's how the stats looked that day (Sligo Rovers were the home side):
- possession: 36% vs 64%;
- corners: 1 vs 11;
- fouls: 5 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview from official meetings between Dundalk and Sligo Rovers:
- 54 matches played;
- home wins - 26, away wins - 19, draws - 9;
- goals - 80 vs 59;
- average first-half total - 1.19, second-half - 1.39;
- average match total - 2.57.
Head-to-head statistics Dundalk - Sligo Rovers FC
Dundalk Team Overview
The team's last official match took place in the Premier Division (St. Patrick's Athletic at home, Dundalk away). The match ended 1-1.
Stats from the game (Dundalk vs St. Patrick's Athletic):
- possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corners: 3 vs 7;
- fouls: 18 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
In the previous round, Dundalk drew away at St Patrick's Athletic (1-1) and remain fourth in the table. The gap to the European places is now seven points, which makes it significantly harder for Ciaran Kilduff's side to qualify for Europe this season. Form has dipped lately - three defeats, one win and one draw in the last five matches.
Not long ago, though, the team put together a run of four wins and a draw. At home, Dundalk tend to be involved in high-scoring games: over 2.5 goals landed in seven of their last eight league matches at Oriel Park. Both Teams To Score - Yes has also come in seven of their last eight home matches.
Match Results: Dundalk
Sligo Rovers Team Overview
The away side's last official match took place in the Premier Division (Sligo Rovers at home, Drogheda United away). It finished 2-2.
Match stats (Sligo Rovers vs Drogheda United):
- Possession: 58% vs 42%;
- Corners: 4 vs 9;
- Fouls: 17 vs 12;
- Yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 2 vs 3.
Sligo Rovers drew at home with Drogheda United last round (2-2) and remain rooted to the bottom of the table, deep in a relegation fight. Darren Perse's side are five points off eighth place and have the worst goal difference in the league - 22:42.
Recent form doesn't help either: two wins and six defeats in their last ten competitive matches. Sligo have lost five straight games against the +1.5 handicap, and their average is under 1.5 goals scored per game. That said, the defence is among the worst in the division - they've been conceding 2.3 goals per match on average over those same ten games.
Match Results: Sligo Rovers
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head:
- played - 54;
- first-half wins for the home side - 11; for the away side - 6; draws - 10;
- average first-half total: 1.19;
- today's hosts average 0.63 goals in the first half, the visitors - 0.56.
First-half stats: Dundalk (home) vs Sligo Rovers (away)
- matches played in the league: 12 vs 12;
- wins: 6 (50%) vs 1 (8.33%);
- losses: 2 (16.67%) vs 6 (50%);
- draws: 4 (33.33%) vs 5 (41.67%);
- average goals scored: 1.17 vs 0.92;
- average goals conceded: 0.33 vs 0.67.
Last 10 matches (overall):
- wins: 6 vs 4;
- losses: 2 vs 5;
- draws: 2 vs 1;
- average first-half total: 1.5 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.5) vs 1.4 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.7).
- Dundalk have scored in the first half in 6 matches in a row.
- Dundalk have scored in the first half in 5 consecutive matches (Premier Division).
Total Prediction
Head-to-head matches (average total):
- home side - 1.48, away side - 1.09;
- in head-to-head matches - 2.57;
- both teams scored: all time - 19 times; at the home team's ground - 10 times.
Average total stats: Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers
- in the league: 3.04 vs 2.56;
- goals scored: 1.56 vs 0.88;
- 1st half: 0.80 vs 0.48;
- 2nd half: 0.76 vs 0.40;
- Dundalk: at home in the league - 1.75;
- Sligo Rovers: away in the league - 0.67;
- last 10 matches: 1.4 (home - 1.25) vs 1.5 (away - 1.6).
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Dundalk's last 8 home matches (Premier Division).
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Sligo Rovers' last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Sligo Rovers' last 9 matches (Premier Division).
Both Teams To Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- matches played - 54;
- both teams scored - 19 times overall;
- at the home team's ground - 10 times.
Stats: Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers
- matches played this season: 25 vs 25;
- matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): 18 vs 12;
- Dundalk: BTTS at home - 8 (67%);
- Sligo Rovers: BTTS away - 5 (42%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 8 vs 7;
- Dundalk: BTTS at home - 3 (75%);
- Sligo Rovers: BTTS away - 2 (40%).
- Dundalk have scored and conceded at home in 7 of their last 8 matches (Premier Division).
- Dundalk have scored and conceded in 6 matches in a row.
- Dundalk have scored and conceded in 5 consecutive matches (Premier Division).
Correct Score Prediction
Most common results this season:
- most frequent score in the tournament: 1:1 (16/124, 12.9%);
- Dundalk at home most often finish matches: 1:0, 1:2, 2:1 (2/12, 16.7%);
- Sligo Rovers away most often play: 1:0 (3/12, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 10.47% (odds 7.5)
1:0 - 9.98% (odds 8.5)
1:1 - 9.38% (odds 9)
⭐ Editorial prediction
Dundalk still have a chance to join the fight for European places, so they will aim for a win in the home match. Sligo Rovers, meanwhile, can no longer afford to play too cautiously - the team needs points to reduce the gap to the safety zone. This league situation makes a defensive scenario unlikely.
Dundalk regularly play high-scoring matches at Oriel Park: over 2.5 goals has landed in 7 of their last 8 home league games, while the "both teams to score" market was successful in 6 of Dundalk's previous 7 home matches. At the same time, Sligo Rovers remain one of the most vulnerable defensive teams in the league, having conceded 42 goals this season.
The main editorial prediction is over 2.5 goals. Predicted score - 2:1 in favour of Dundalk.
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Betting Tips: Dundalk - Sligo Rovers
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