Cerezo Osaka vs Kagoshima Prediction 7 October 2026

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Key points

    🔉 The Emperor's Cup meeting between Cerezo Osaka and Kagoshima United promises an interesting contest given the form of both sides. The hosts have been alternating wins with draws and defeats across their last five matches, while the visitors have shown impressive consistency, winning four of their previous five games. Both teams are producing decent numbers in attack: Cerezo Osaka's average over their last ten matches is 1.2 goals scored per game, while Kagoshima United's is 2.1. That balance of form points towards a scoring match.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 These two sides have never met before.

    Cerezo Osaka Team Overview

    Cerezo Osaka have been inconsistent: two wins from their last five matches, alongside three less favourable results, suggest a team capable of delivering on their potential but also of slipping up. Over their last ten matches they have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game, but have conceded even more - 1.4 per match. That points to a tendency for open play and a defence that is not particularly reliable, especially against opponents with a pronounced attacking threat.

    Match Results: Cerezo Osaka

    Last matches
    29.09.26
    J. League Cup
    Fujieda
    Fujieda
    1
    Cerezo Osaka
    Cerezo Osaka
    -
    -
    5
    7
    -
    -
    2
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    7
    -
    -
    2
    1
    W
    19.09.26
    J1 League
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    Cerezo Osaka
    Cerezo Osaka
    1.27
    1.99
    7
    4
    10
    9
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.27
    1.99
    7
    4
    10
    9
    2
    3
    D
    12.09.26
    J1 League
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Cerezo Osaka
    Cerezo Osaka
    4.09
    0.42
    9
    4
    8
    5
    0
    1
    6
    1
    3
    0
    3
    1
    4.09
    0.42
    9
    4
    8
    5
    0
    1
    L
    06.09.26
    J1 League
    Cerezo Osaka
    Cerezo Osaka
    Tokyo Verdy
    Tokyo Verdy
    0.91
    1.17
    10
    3
    9
    10
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.91
    1.17
    10
    3
    9
    10
    1
    0
    D
    02.09.26
    J1 League
    Cerezo Osaka
    Cerezo Osaka
    Kashiwa Reysol
    Kashiwa Reysol
    1.57
    1.07
    7
    9
    4
    3
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.57
    1.07
    7
    9
    4
    3
    1
    0
    W
    Empty
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    Kagoshima United Team Overview

    Kagoshima United are in excellent form, with four wins and one draw from their last five matches. Over their last ten games, they have shown not only consistent attacking output - averaging 2.1 goals scored per match - but also a relatively solid defence, conceding just 1.1 per game. Going forward, the visitors look particularly confident on the road: they have scored at least one goal in each of their last eight away matches.

    Match Results: Kagoshima United

    Last matches
    04.10.26
    JL3
    Kagoshima United
    Kagoshima United
    Fukushima United
    Fukushima United
    -
    -
    6
    8
    -
    -
    2
    0
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    6
    8
    -
    -
    2
    0
    W
    26.09.26
    JL3
    Giravanz Kitakyushu
    Giravanz Kitakyushu
    Kagoshima United
    Kagoshima United
    -
    -
    9
    8
    9
    11
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    9
    8
    9
    11
    0
    1
    D
    19.09.26
    JL3
    Kagoshima United
    Kagoshima United
    Tochigi
    Tochigi
    -
    -
    5
    5
    11
    17
    1
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    5
    11
    17
    1
    3
    W
    13.09.26
    JL3
    Reilac Shiga
    Reilac Shiga
    Kagoshima United
    Kagoshima United
    -
    -
    6
    9
    6
    18
    2
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    9
    6
    18
    2
    3
    W
    05.09.26
    JL3
    Kagoshima United
    Kagoshima United
    Ryukyu
    Ryukyu
    -
    -
    5
    7
    11
    6
    0
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    5
    7
    11
    6
    0
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction for the outcome

    Kagoshima United have covered the +1.5 handicap in 32 consecutive matches, which points to an exceptionally consistent trend on that line. On top of that, they have gone unbeaten in 15 of their last 16 matches, further underlining their competitiveness. On that basis, the bet is on Kagoshima United - Handicap +1.5 at 1.53*.

    Total Goals Prediction

    Kagoshima United have scored in eight consecutive away matches, reflecting consistent attacking output on the road. The team also average 2.75 goals per game across their last 10 away matches, with the seasonal figure even higher at 4 goals away from home. This makes Kagoshima United Team Total - Over 0.5 a straightforward bet to consider, priced at 1.73*.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three most likely outcomes are 1-1 (9.33%), 2-1 (8.65%) and 1-2 (6.76%). All three carry comparable probabilities, though 1-1 stands out as the most likely result among them. This reflects an expectation of a relatively even and open game.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The statistics for both sides point towards backing both teams to score. Cerezo Osaka play without a strong defensive focus and regularly allow opponents to create chances, while Kagoshima United consistently take their opportunities up front - as shown by a run of eight consecutive away matches in which they have scored and the fact that they have been involved in matches where both teams scored in five consecutive games this season. The attacking intent of both sides makes this a logical outcome - Both Teams to Score - Yes.
    Both Teams to Score – (Yes)
    Odds+105
    Published: 06/10/2026, 10:57
    Alexander Martilionis
    Alexander Martilionis
    Football expert
    11
    0
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    30 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    3 - Losses
    Wins - 7
    Draws - 2
    Loss - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 12
    Conceded - 14
    -2
    +10
    21 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    7
    2
    Draws
    2
    3
    Losses
    1
    Goal difference
    12
    Scored
    21
    14
    Conceded
    11
    2.6
    Average total per match
    3.2
    1.2
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.1
    1.4
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    5
    Both teams scored
    7
    75'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    43'
    View all stats