Poland vs Ukraine Prediction 31 May 2026

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The main thing

    ๐Ÿ”Š Itโ€™s not just the World Cup participants who are playing friendly matches during this international window. Some sides are already gearing up for the Nations League. Both Poland and Ukraine missed out on the World Cup, but football never stands still. Hereโ€™s our prediction for their upcoming head-to-head friendly-a match that promises plenty of intrigue. 

    Head-to-Head

    ๐Ÿ“Š Poland have come out on top in their last three encounters. The sides havenโ€™t faced each other since 2024.

    Head-to-head statistics Poland - Ukraine

    100%
    2 Wins
    0%
    0 Draws
    0%
    0 Wins
    Total games
    2
    Total Goals Avg
    -
    Both teams scored
    0%
    1
    Total average
    0
    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Poland
    Poland
    Ukraine
    Ukraine
    -
    -
    6
    6
    5
    11
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    6
    5
    11
    0
    2
    07.06.24
    Int. Friendly Games
    Poland
    Poland
    Ukraine
    Ukraine
    -
    -
    6
    9
    8
    9
    0
    3
    3
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    9
    8
    9
    0
    3
    11.11.20
    Int. Friendly Games
    Poland
    Poland
    Ukraine
    Ukraine
    -
    -
    -
    -
    16
    11
    -
    -
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    16
    11
    -
    -
    21.06.16
    ECU
    Ukraine
    Ukraine
    Poland
    Poland
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    Empty
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    Poland Team Overview

    The team is entering a new era without Robert Lewandowski. The star striker has retired from international football, unfortunately not on a high note. Poland fell short in World Cup qualifying, losing to Sweden 2-3 and missing out on the tournament. In their group, they finished behind the Netherlands.

    The Nations League kicks off in September, and Poland need to be ready. They have two friendlies lined up, with Nigeria also among their opponents. All eyes will be on Poland as they adjust to life without Lewandowski, who was such a vital part of the team. Weโ€™re likely to see something close to their strongest lineup already, as thereโ€™s no time to ease into the new chapter.

    Match Results: Poland

    Last matches
    03.06.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Poland
    Poland
    Nigeria
    Nigeria
    -
    -
    5
    2
    9
    11
    2
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    2
    9
    11
    2
    2
    D
    31.05.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Poland
    Poland
    Ukraine
    Ukraine
    -
    -
    6
    6
    5
    11
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    6
    5
    11
    0
    2
    L
    31.03.26
    WC Qualification, UEFA
    Sweden
    Sweden
    Poland
    Poland
    1.91
    1.22
    2
    9
    15
    15
    2
    3
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1.91
    1.22
    2
    9
    15
    15
    2
    3
    L
    26.03.26
    WC Qualification, UEFA
    Poland
    Poland
    Albania
    Albania
    1.12
    0.67
    6
    2
    20
    12
    2
    3
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    1.12
    0.67
    6
    2
    20
    12
    2
    3
    W
    17.11.25
    WC Qualification, UEFA
    Malta
    Malta
    Poland
    Poland
    2.72
    1.48
    4
    9
    7
    6
    2
    2
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    2.72
    1.48
    4
    9
    7
    6
    2
    2
    W
    Empty
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    Ukraine Team Overview

    The team are following a path similar to that of their close rivals. Ukraine have posted comparable results and find themselves in much the same position in qualifying. They sit as the clear number two side in their group, but not much more than that. Despite boasting a solid squad, competing with Europeโ€™s elite often proves a bridge too far. While qualifying for the European Championship is a more manageable task, reaching the World Cup remains a far greater challenge-even with the expanded field of 48 teams.

    In their group, Ukraine finished behind the French and advanced to the play-offs. They were on course for a fraternal derby with Poland, but Viktor Gyรถkeres had other ideas. The Swedeโ€™s hat-trick dashed Ukraineโ€™s World Cup hopes with a 3-1 defeat. In addition to facing Poland, Ukraine will also take on Denmark.

    Match Results: Ukraine

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Poland
    Poland
    Ukraine
    Ukraine
    -
    -
    6
    6
    5
    11
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    6
    5
    11
    0
    2
    W
    31.03.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Ukraine
    Ukraine
    Albania
    Albania
    1.96
    0.44
    3
    3
    11
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.96
    0.44
    3
    3
    11
    3
    1
    0
    W
    26.03.26
    WC Qualification, UEFA
    Ukraine
    Ukraine
    Sweden
    Sweden
    0.93
    2.26
    9
    3
    12
    10
    2
    1
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    2
    0.93
    2.26
    9
    3
    12
    10
    2
    1
    L
    16.11.25
    WC Qualification, UEFA
    Ukraine
    Ukraine
    Iceland
    Iceland
    1.46
    0.8
    3
    10
    12
    6
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1.46
    0.8
    3
    10
    12
    6
    2
    1
    W
    13.11.25
    WC Qualification, UEFA
    France
    France
    Ukraine
    Ukraine
    3.75
    0.07
    7
    0
    9
    10
    1
    2
    4
    0
    0
    0
    4
    0
    3.75
    0.07
    7
    0
    9
    10
    1
    2
    L
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    ๐ŸŸจ Yellow Cards Prediction

    The nature of this match doesnโ€™t suggest a physical contest. Players have just wrapped up their club seasons and are unlikely to play aggressively. With no tournament stakes on the line, thereโ€™s little incentive for hard tackles. Referees in these friendlies also tend to avoid unnecessary bookings. Given that, the smart play is on under 2.5 total yellow cards at odds of 1.85.*

    โšฝ๏ธ Goals Prediction

    Poland will be without Robert Lewandowski. Times are changing, and while there are replacements available, the transition wonโ€™t be instant. The coaching staff is likely to use this fixture to experiment with different lineups. Donโ€™t expect a goal-fest from the hosts. The pick here is Poland under 1.5 team goals at odds of 1.69.*

    ๐Ÿšฉ Corners Prediction

    Again, the match status comes into play. Itโ€™s hard to anticipate a game packed with dangerous chances. More likely, both sides will engage in a midfield battle with few clear opportunities. Expect plenty of substitutions, which should further impact the gameโ€™s tempo and quality. The value lies with under 8.5 total corners at odds of 1.94.*

    *Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers. They are current as of publication time.

    Editorial Prediction

    Both national teams are just beginning their preparations for the new cycle, with players coming off demanding club seasons that have played out differently for each squad. High-scoring football is unlikely, as attacking flair probably isnโ€™t the main focus for either coaching staff at this stage. Expect a tactical battle, plenty of substitutions, and some fresh ideas on display. Under these circumstances, backing under 2.5 goals looks a solid bet. Our prediction: Ukraine edge it with a narrow 1-0 win.

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Bovada
    Place a bet-135
    Published: 29/05/2026, 11:05

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    Betting Tips: Poland - Ukraine

    Poland have won:
    poland-9in last 7 games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Poland Win
    MyBookie
    +105
    Poland have not lost:
    poland-9in last 12 games (Int. Friendly Games).
    poland-9in last 11 home games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Poland will not lose
    Everygame
    -417
    Ukraine have scored:
    ukraine-3in 14 of last 15 games (Int. Friendly Games).
    ukraine-3in 9 of last 10 away games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Ukraine will score goal
    MyBookie
    -192
    Poland have scored:
    poland-9in last 12 games (Int. Friendly Games).
    poland-9in last 11 home games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Poland will score goal
    Everygame
    -500
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 18
    Conceded - 11
    +7
    -3
    16 - Scored
    19 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    5
    2
    Draws
    1
    2
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    18
    Scored
    16
    11
    Conceded
    19
    2.9
    Match goals average
    3.5
    1.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.6
    1.1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.9
    7
    Both teams scored
    6
    50'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    56'
    View all stats