Stuttgart vs Freiburg Prediction
🔊 Can Stuttgart extend their unbeaten streak? The Baden-Württemberg derby takes center stage at the "MHP Arena" in the 20th round, with Freiburg visiting. Freiburg are also in the hunt for European competition spots, though their away form leaves much to be desired. Last season, Sebastian Hoeneß's side were anything but welcoming, handing Julian Schuster's team a heavy defeat. Moreover, the Swabians are eager to avenge their away loss from the first half of the season.
Head-to-Head
📊 Thanks to three late goals, Freiburg managed to overturn their first-leg deficit at the Europa-Park Stadion. Ermedin Demirović found the net for the Swabians, while the comeback for the Brazilians of Breisgau was secured by Igor Matanović (with a brace) and Derry Scherhant.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Stuttgart Team Overview
⚪ Stuttgart enter the round in fourth place following a commanding 3-0 victory over Borussia Mönchengladbach last weekend. Before celebrating the goal scorers, it's important to highlight the outstanding performance of Alexander Nübel, who saved a penalty as early as the 13th minute. Jamie Leweling and Deniz Undav then rewarded their goalkeeper with goals, while another was recorded as an own goal.
🔴 Stuttgart have won three of their last four league matches in 2026 and remain unbeaten in six consecutive games since suffering a heavy defeat to Bayern (0-5) on December 6. The Swabians occupy fifth place with 36 points, the same as fourth-placed Leipzig, trailing only on goal difference.
🏆 On Thursday, Stuttgart concluded the group stage of the Europa League, failing to break into the top eight despite a home victory over Young Boys (3-2). Undav found the net again, with goals also coming from Demirović and Chema Andrés. Hoeneß's side advanced to the playoffs as a seeded team and will face reigning Scottish champions Celtic for a spot in the round of 16.
Match Results: Stuttgart
Freiburg Team Overview
⚫ Freiburg extended their unbeaten home run in the Bundesliga to eight matches with a come-from-behind victory over Cologne (2-1). After an own goal by Max Rosenfelder in the 10th minute, Sherhand equalized just a minute later, and Matanovic put Schuster's side ahead right before halftime.
⚪ Since the start of the year, Freiburg have dropped points only once in four rounds, narrowing the gap to the top six to five points. The "Brazilians of Breisgau" now sit in seventh place with 27 points, level with Eintracht Frankfurt, but ahead on goal difference. Sixth-place Bayer Leverkusen have 32 points and a game in hand.
🏆 Freiburg's unbeaten streak in the Europa League was snapped on Thursday in Lille - Olivier Giroud converted a decisive penalty in the final minutes. Despite the loss, the team from the Black Forest advanced directly to the Round of 16, bypassing the playoff rounds. They will face the winner of one of the playoff ties: Brann vs. Bologna or Dinamo Zagreb vs. Genk.
Match Results: Freiburg
Latest news
Stuttgart
🎙️ Sebastian Hoeneß after the win over Young Boys: "It was a crazy match. For the first 30 minutes, we played exactly as we had planned - it was a pleasure to watch the guys, and the only criticism is that we didn't score more. Then we conceded, and the game opened up again. It was tense towards the end, but we deserved the victory. Overall, we've performed very well in this stage and can confidently prepare for the playoffs and upcoming matches."
❌ Dan-Axel Zagadou remains unavailable. Tiago Tomás and Lazar Jovanović are still doubtful.
Freiburg
🎙️ Julian Schuster on reaching the Round of 16 and the derby: "Of course, we wanted to go through the group stage unbeaten. But we've directly qualified for the Round of 16 and will continue our European campaign in March. There's little time left to prepare for the derby. Stuttgart have become much more stable throughout the season and have found their rhythm."
❌ Lucas Höler has returned to training with the main squad. Lukas Kübler and Philipp Lienhart are not ready for Sunday's match. Daniel-Kofi Kyereh is still in recovery.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
Florian Badstübner has been appointed as the main referee for the match at "MHP Arena". Over his last 10 games, he has averaged 2.3 yellow cards per match. The Swabians average 1.8 yellow cards, while the "Brazilians of Breisgau" average 1.6. We opt for over 2.5 total yellow cards - this outcome has occurred in six of Freiburg's last seven matches.
⚽ Goal Prediction
We anticipate a high-scoring encounter and select the option both teams to score (yes) - as was the case in the first round match and in six of Freiburg's last seven Bundesliga games.
🚩 Corner Prediction
The hosts average 5.5 corners, while the visitors average 4.5. Based on the history of their last 11 head-to-head matches, we choose Stuttgart's individual total under 6.5 corners, despite the home advantage factor.
Editor's Prediction
Stuttgart are formidable at home and eager for revenge. Freiburg, despite the odds, aren't clear underdogs but have managed just one win in their last eight away league matches and are currently on a run of three away games without a victory, including a Europa League encounter.
We predict over 2.5 goals - this outcome has occurred in the last six consecutive head-to-head meetings. Stuttgart have lost only once at the "MHP Arena" this season, and draws are rare here - just two instances. In the other ten home games, the "Swabians" have claimed victories.
Considering the tight schedule, we anticipate a Stuttgart victory with a scoreline of 2-1. Unlike Freiburg, Hoeneß's team plays both their Europa League match on Thursday and their Sunday game at home, while the "Breisgau Brazilians" face their second away trip in four days.
Betting Tips: Stuttgart - Freiburg
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