Stuttgart vs Freiburg Prediction
π Can Stuttgart reach their second consecutive German Cup final? The current holders host Freiburg, a team that has never won the national cup and has only reached the final once. Despite the contrasting odds, the visitors seem to have the edge over the hosts. Julian Schuster's side have won six of their last seven matches. Meanwhile, Sebastian HoeneΓ's squad have lost five of their last ten games, including three at home. Our editorial team anticipates a hard-fought and high-quality match, especially as it's a clash between the fourth and seventh teams in the Bundesliga.
Head-to-Head
π In the first round of the championship, Freiburg triumphed over Stuttgart 3-1 at the Europa-Park Stadion, coming from behind and scoring all three goals late in the match. Igor MatanoviΔ netted a brace, while Derry Scherhant added another. For the Swabians, Ermedin DemiroviΔ was on the scoresheet. In the return fixture of the second round at the MHP Arena, Stuttgart got their revenge with a 1-0 victory. DemiroviΔ once again scored the decisive goal late on. The Swabians have won their last three home games against the Breisgau Brazilians.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Stuttgart Team Overview
βͺ In the league, Stuttgart continue their quest for a Champions League spot. In their last outing, Sebastian HoeneΓ's side traveled to face Bayern Munich (4-2) at the Allianz Arena. The hosts needed just a point to secure the title, but Stuttgart started brightly, with Chris FΓΌhrich opening the scoring in the 21st minute. However, before halftime, the Swabians conceded three goals and a fourth early in the second half, effectively ending their hopes of a result. Late on, Chema Andres netted a stunning goal, but it proved inconsequential to the outcome.
π΄ Stuttgart hold fourth place and will fight to maintain their top-four position until the season's end. They trail third-placed RB Leipzig by three points while leading Hoffenheim by two and Bayer by four. Ahead lies a challenging schedule: Werder Bremen, Hoffenheim, Bayer Leverkusen, and Eintracht Frankfurt, alongside a cup tie with Freiburg.
π In the DFB-Pokal, Stuttgart began with a hard-fought win over Eintracht Braunschweig (3-3, 4-4, pens. 8-7). They then defeated Mainz (2-0), Bochum (2-0), and Holstein Kiel (3-0). The semifinal will be their first home match in this tournament edition. Last season, Stuttgart claimed the DFB-Pokal by defeating Arminia Bielefeld (4-2) in the final. The club also lifted the trophy in 1996/97, 1986/87, 1957/58, and 1953/54 and reached the final three more times.
Match Results: Stuttgart
Freiburg Team Overview
βͺ Julian Schuster's team heads into the match in excellent form, riding a four-game winning streak. The "Brazilians of Breisgau" have advanced to the Europa League semi-finals after dismantling Celta Vigo (3-0, 3-1). Up next, they face Braga. Freiburg are also picking up momentum in the league with victories over Mainz (1-0) and Heidenheim (2-1), with goals from Yohan Mansambi and Maximilian Eggestein in the latter match.
π΄ The team sits in seventh place, holding only a theoretical chance of securing a European spot through the league, trailing sixth-placed Bayer by 9 points. Ahead are challenging fixtures against Borussia Dortmund, Wolfsburg, Hamburg, and Leipzig.
π In the DFB-Pokal, Freiburg have yet to face a Bundesliga club. They have defeated Lotte (2-0), Fortuna DΓΌsseldorf (3-1), and Darmstadt (2-0). In the quarter-finals, they edged past Hertha Berlin on penalties (1-1, pens. 5-4). This marks the club's fourth semi-final appearance in the tournament's history. In the 2012/13 season, Freiburg fell to Stuttgart (1-2). In the 2021/22 season, they reached the final but lost to Leipzig on penalties. In the 2022/23 season, they again bowed out to Leipzig (1-5) in the semi-finals.
Match Results: Freiburg
Latest news
Stuttgart
ποΈ Sebastian HoeneΓ after the match against Bayern: "Now we need to quickly shift our focus to the German Cup semifinal against Freiburg. Reaching the final is our main goal. The defeat in Munich doesn't change that."
β The Swabians have almost no absences in their squad: only 19-year-old midfielder Lazar Jovanovic is missing.
Freiburg
ποΈ Julian Schuster on the packed schedule: "We're not used to such a tight schedule at the end of April. It's crucial to maintain maximum focus: recovery, nutrition, hydration, and sleep-all of it matters."
β Max Rosenfelder and Patrick Osterhage are injured and will miss the match.
π¨ Yellow Card Prediction
The match will be officiated by Tobias Welz. In his last outing, he handed out seven yellow cards, averaging 4.5 over his past 10 matches. This season, the home side averages 1.9 cautions per game (57 in total), while the visitors average 1.5 (46). Considering the referee's strictness and the high stakes of the encounter, we anticipate a fiercely contested battle and opt for over 3.5 yellow cards.
β½ Goal Prediction
Stuttgart have been strong at home this season, but they have lost three of their last six at the "MHP Arena." Given the visitors' current form, it is reasonable to expect a goal from Freiburg. Schuster's team has scored in seven consecutive matches.
π© Corner Prediction
In their first head-to-head this season, Freiburg won the corner count 7-1, while Stuttgart took the second meeting 6-2. However, in their last 13 encounters, the under 9.5 corners bet has consistently hit, so we're sticking with this option.
π Player Statistics Bet
Deniz Undav returns after missing the last match due to suspension. He is a key attacking player and one of the league's top scorers. He has netted 18 goals and provided 5 assists in the Bundesliga, tallying 23+13 in the goal+assist system over 40 matches. Therefore, we are considering a bet on Deniz Undav to score at odds of 1.85*.
π± Risky Bet
The odds for a Freiburg win look inflated at 5.2*. However, betting on the visitors to win in regular time remains risky. Freiburg have failed to win at "MHP Arena" in their last three visits and have not scored a single goal (aggregate score 0:10). Nonetheless, their current form suggests they could spring a surprise: six wins in seven matches, including three on the road.
π If the Match Takes an Unexpected Turn
The game's script could change with an early sending-off. In two of the last five head-to-head meetings, Freiburg players were sent off. One dismissal occurred before halftime and significantly impacted the outcome, while another happened in stoppage time without affecting the result. An early red card in this match could drastically alter its course. The odds for a red card in the first half are 13*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
Editorial Prediction
Stuttgart are considered favorites, but the odds for Freiburg seem somewhat inflated. Schuster's side are in good form and continue to perform well on multiple fronts. Meanwhile, Stuttgart have been inconsistent, losing three of their last five matches.
We anticipate goals and our main prediction is over 2.5 goals. This outcome has occurred in six of the last seven head-to-head encounters and in six of Freiburg's last seven games. As for the result, we foresee a possible 2-2 draw in regulation and extra time, with the decision coming down to a penalty shootout.
Betting Tips: Stuttgart - Freiburg
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Other predictions
