Padova vs Monza Prediction 1 February 2026
📢 How will the match between Padova and Monza unfold in the 22nd round of Serie B? This season, Padova have been inconsistent, currently sitting 12th in the Serie B standings. The team is striving to achieve stability, particularly in their home matches where they often find the back of the net. Meanwhile, Monza are confidently placed third and are in impressive form with five victories in their last ten games. The visitors aim to solidify their position for promotion. An intriguing tactical battle is anticipated.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 27 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Monza):
- ball possession percentage: 61% vs 39%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 3;
- fouls: 10 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Padova and Monza:
- played 12 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 7, for the away team - 5, draws - 0;
- number of goals (home/away) - 14 against 10;
- average total goals in the match - 2.
Head-to-head statistics Padova - Monza
Padova Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Sudtirol, away team - Padova). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.
Here's the game statistics (Padova vs Sudtirol):
- ball possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
- fouls: 17 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 7.
Padova can't boast stability, having won just three of their last ten matches while suffering five defeats and securing two draws. However, they are quite productive at home, scoring at least once in eight out of nine games. The Biancoscudati aim to control possession and launch attacks down the flanks, but their defense remains a problematic area.
Match Results: Padova
Monza Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Monza, away - Pescara Calcio). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.
Here are the match stats (Monza vs Pescara Calcio):
- ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 8;
- fouls: 12 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
The "Biancorossi" have been showing consistent form, securing five wins and three draws in their last ten matches. Their solid defense rarely concedes goals, and they maintain an average of 1.7 goals per game, which keeps them comfortably in third place in the standings. In their last head-to-head clash against Padova, Monza suffered a 0-1 defeat at home, providing them with extra motivation for revenge.
Match Results: Monza
Latest news
Padova
The hosts have one lineup concern. Jacopo Bacci is still not fully recovered from his injury, so his availability for the match will be determined closer to game time.
Monza
The visitors face a tougher situation. Leonardo Colombo will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards, while Omari Forson and Valentin Antov are still not at their best following knee injuries. Both remain doubtful and might not take the field.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 12;
- home team wins - 7, away team wins - 5, draws - 0.
Statistics: Padova vs Monza
- matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- wins: 6 vs 12;
- win percentage: 29% vs 57%;
- losses: 8 vs 4;
- draws: 7 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 5;
- losses: 5 vs 2;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
- Padova won with a +1.5 handicap in last 11 games against Monza.
- Padova won with a +1.5 handicap in last 6 home games against Monza.
- Padova won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 home games (Serie B).
- Padova won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 games (Serie B).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.17, the guests - 0.83;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2;
- both teams scored: overall - 4; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Padova vs Monza
- average total in the tournament: 2.14 vs 2.33;
- average total goals scored: 0.95 vs 1.52;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.33 vs 0.71;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.62 vs 0.81;
- Padova: average total at home in the tournament - 1.2;
- Monza: average total away in the tournament - 1.3;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 1) vs 1.7 (away - 1.2).
- Monza have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 away games against Padova.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 12;
- both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Padova vs Monza
- number of matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Padova at home - 7 (70%);
- number of BTTS matches for Monza away - 5 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Padova at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Monza away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (35/210, 16.7%);
- Padova at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (3/10, 30%);
- Monza away most often play: 1:1 (2/10, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:1 - 13.76% (odds 5.6)
1:1 - 12.76% (odds 5.8)
0:0 - 9.7% (odds 7.6)
Editorial Prediction
Monza head into the match as clear favorites, a status backed by their superior league position and overall squad quality. The visitors aim to dominate the game and secure three points without delay. However, Padova remains a tricky opponent for Monza on the road; in their last five head-to-heads at Padova's ground, Monza have not scored more than one goal per match. Therefore, we predict Monza's total goals will be under 1.5.
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Betting Tips: Padova - Monza
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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