Monza vs Padova Prediction 27 September 2025
📢 What to expect from the clash between Monza and Padova in the 5th round of Serie B? Monza currently sit in 5th place and have been in decent form with two wins in their last four outings. However, their attack has been less prolific, averaging only one goal per match. Meanwhile, Padova find themselves in 15th position, displaying less consistency with just one victory in their last four games. The odds favor the home side, but it's not out of the question for the visitors to spring a surprise, thanks to their defensive resilience.
Head-to-Head
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Monza and Padova:
- played 11 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 5, for the away team - 6, draws - 0;
- number of goals (home/away) - 10 against 13;
- average total goals in the match - 2.09.
Head-to-head statistics Monza - Padova
Monza Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Monza, away team - Sampdoria). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here's the game statistics (Monza vs Sampdoria):
- ball possession: 64% vs 36%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 1;
- fouls: 14 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 1 vs 3.
Monza continue their push for top spots in the league, currently sitting in 5th place on the table. Over their last four matches, the team has secured two victories but also suffered one defeat. The Biancorossi display average scoring ability, netting around one goal per game. However, they are solid defensively, conceding only three goals since the start of the season.
Match Results: Monza
Padova Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Padova, away - Virtus Entella). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here are the match stats (Padova vs Virtus Entella):
- ball possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 8;
- fouls: 16 vs 19;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 4;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
Padova find themselves in the lower half of the standings, sitting in 15th place. Over their last four games, they've managed just one victory, alongside two losses and a draw. "Calcio" are known for their disciplined defense, conceding an average of about one goal per match. Their form in the last ten official matches has been inconsistent, with four wins and four losses.
Match Results: Padova
Latest news
Monza
Monza face a few squad issues. Patrick Ciurria is suspended following a red card in the last match. Additionally, Omari Forson remains doubtful as he recovers from a meniscus injury, and Valentin Antov is dealing with ligament damage.
Padova
Padova are also dealing with several squad issues. Alessandro Boi and Cristian Pastina are sidelined due to injuries. Adding to their woes is Jacopo Bacci, who is nursing a muscle injury, leaving his participation in the upcoming match uncertain.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 11;
- home team wins - 5, away team wins - 6, draws - 0.
Statistics: Monza vs Padova
- matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
- wins: 2 vs 1;
- win percentage: 50% vs 25%;
- losses: 1 vs 2;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 4;
- losses: 6 vs 4;
- draws: 1 vs 2.
- Padova won with a +1.5 handicap in last 10 games against Monza.
- Padova won with a +1.5 handicap in 45 of last 47 games.
- Padova won with a +1.5 handicap in 21 of last 22 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.91, the guests - 1.18;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.09;
- both teams scored: overall - 4; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Monza vs Padova
- average total in the tournament: 1.75 vs 2;
- average total goals scored: 1 vs 0.75;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.25 vs 0.25;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.75 vs 0.5;
- Monza: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- Padova: average total away in the tournament - 0.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.7 (home - 0.6) vs 0.7 (away - 0.6).
- Monza have scored under 1.5 goals in last 9 games against Padova.
- Monza have scored under 1.5 goals in 14 of last 15 games.
- Monza have scored under 1.5 goals in last 11 home games.
Prediction on corners
Monza: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5; at home field - 5.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.8; at home field - 3.6.
Padova: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.25, away - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; away - 4.
Prediction on cards
Monza: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.25; at home - 2.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.8; at home - 1.4.
Padova: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.75, away - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.4; away - 2.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 11;
- both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Monza vs Padova
- number of matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 2;
- number of BTTS matches for Monza at home - 0 (0%);
- number of BTTS matches for Padova away - 1 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for Monza at home - 1 (20%);
- BTTS matches for Padova away - 1 (20%).
Editorial Prediction
Monza come into the upcoming match as clear favorites, but their attacking play raises questions. The team has scored no more than once in 14 of their last 15 official games. This trend is also evident in head-to-head encounters-over the last nine matches against Padova, the hosts have not managed to score more than once either. Thus, betting on Monza's individual total under 1.5 goals appears to be a well-founded prediction.No comments
Betting Tips: Monza - Padova
in last 9 games against Padova.in 14 of last 15 games.in last 11 home games.
in last 5 Alberto Ruben Arena games.in 4 of last 5 away games.in last 10 games against Monza.in 45 of last 47 games.in 21 of last 22 away games.
Comparison of Teams Stats
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